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Jon Ralston Profile picture
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Dec 1 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Good morning from The #WeMatter State.

Many of you know there is no bigger Michigan fan than I -- U-M, that is. But the notion that the state of MI should go first in the Dem presidential nominating process is laughable for many reasons. NV remains the obvious first choice.
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First, why would the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee give a nod to a state that doesn't even meet its criteria? Michigan is not only not as diverse as NV, but check out the requirements below: "the cost and logistical requirements of campaigning in state" must be considered.
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Second, why would the Dems give a head start to MI Gov. Gretchen Whitmer were she to run for president in 2024 -- er, I mean 2028? It's obviously not fair. No one in NV, even @AaronDFordNV, is running for president anytime soon. So MI should not even be considered.
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@AaronDFordNV All eyes should be on NV, as our new woman in DC, @birenbomb, reports today:

thenevadaindependent.com/article/with-d…

And even Minnesota sees why MI should be out (not that Minnesota should be in!):

politico.com/news/2022/11/3…

#WeMatter

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More from @RalstonReports

Jon Ralston Profile picture
Nov 16
Let me tell you about the NV GOP leaders and who these people really are:
Last night, the party chair and GOP national committeewoman, who also lost for state treasurer, appeared at a GOP rally in Vegas and played the blame game when plenty of mirrors are available.
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Chairman @McDonaldNV yelled about "backstabbers" who endorsed against @VoteFiore and @Chattah4Nevada, two of the worst candidates ever to be nominated by the party and who were defeated. McDonald has presided over the worst GOP cycles and has never taken any responsibility.
2/4
But Fiore's speech was one of the most repellent, revolting things I have seen, and for her, that's saying something. The RNCwoman called one of the GOPers who endorsed against her an alcoholic whore whom she all but accused of sleeping with a married Dem elected official.
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jon Ralston Profile picture
Nov 14
Generally I have ignored most of the election week trolls (or not seen them), but since so many socialists are taking credit for the Dem victories here, I need to clarify:

The state party had as little to do with the Dem victories as the state GOP did with the gov's race.
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The amateurs running the state party were an impediment every step of the way and if the pros here had not played nice with them when they had to but set up parallel orgs to actually raise $ and, you know, turn out voters, Georgia might still be important.
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CCM and others won here in spite of the NV Dems, which put out pabulum-filled news releases and nothing more. They even tried to hurt the incumbent Dem LG in the primary - and she ended up losing in the general. Well done, geniuses. This was the Reid Machine/Culinary. Period.
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Read 4 tweets
Jon Ralston Profile picture
Nov 12
Good morning from The #WeMatter State.

By the end of the day we may know if NV has rendered Georgia irrelevant or if everyone still has Georgia on their minds.

Adam Laxalt is ahead by 862 votes, or .09%, closer than when his grandfather beat Harry Reid in 1974 for this seat.
There are 23,000 or so votes to count in Clark County. If Catherine Cortez Masto can win just 55 percent of those, under what she has done since Tuesday, she will be ahead. That would leave about 8,000 or so in Washoe, where she won by 10% Friday, and a few thousand rural votes.
We won't know whether the patterns will hold until votes are released sometime today and/or tonight.

You can keep asking me when and I will keep telling you: Hell if I know. It has been haphazard so far.

Don't forget there also are about 5.5K votes from Clark provisionals, too.
Read 6 tweets
Jon Ralston Profile picture
Nov 11
Thread on NV ballot-counting:
I know the "NV takes too long" memes have started (again), and we deserve it. But let's go over what is happening and what is not:

1. This is only the second mail-dominant election we have had. And the process required by law is laborious.
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It would be a fruitful discussion for lawmakers to have if this is the best way to run a railroad. Changing deadlines, providing more resources, etc. Sure, the Dems changed the law to help them. But guiding principle should be maximizing accessibility to voting.
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2. Those crying fraud -- from Trump to Lindsey Graham -- either don't understand the process or don't care. They also are bad at math. All campaigns knew the rules since the mail ballot law passed last year. Anyone acting like Louis Renault now is playacting, lying or both.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jon Ralston Profile picture
Nov 11
Good morning from The #WeMatter State, and Happy Veterans Day, especially to those who served.

Here's where we are:

Laxalt leads by 9K statewide over CCM.

The news of this early AM is below, and let me tell you what it means.

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This is part of the 57K mail ballots (there are actually more but wait) to be counted in Clark.

Those first 35K will put a huge dent in Laxalt's lead, and CCM, if indies are breaking to Ds as they have been, will pick up more than 6K.

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If CCM continues pace of getting 60 percent and Laxalt gets 35 percent, she will pick up 9K in this batch alone.

If it's 55-40, she will add more than 5K.

The margin could be greater (65-30?).

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Bottom line: Unless trend suddenly shifts, this batch will help her a lot.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jon Ralston Profile picture
Nov 11
The latest on Washoe from Sean. As he said, we are trying to sort through the confusion about Clark ballots, but with mail, it is fluid because of ballots that need to be cured. In Clark, there are more than 7,100 ballots taken out of the mix and still eligible for curing.
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Not all of those ballots will be cured , but many will be. There are also more than 5,000 provisional ballots that will be counted, but we will not know all the cured ballots and provisionals until next week.

You with me so far?

So here is what we know about Clark:
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There are 56,259 ballots that have not been counted -- some of those will not be tabulated because they will need cures. Impossible to tell how many.

There are also some Clark County ballots that will be tabulated by tonight. We don't know how many. Trying to find out.
3/
Read 4 tweets

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