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Def Mon Profile picture
@DefMon3
Dec 2, 2022 • 21 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
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Ukraine update🧵December 2nd

The presentation today is NOT blessed by the VDV wizard. He does however have a history of blessing the VDV, so that explains A LOT.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper…
Yesterdays thread
twitter.com/DefMon3
Shellings locations reported by the Ukrainian general staff today.
High concentration in the Svatove, Donetsk and Kherson area. The only reason to shell the right bank of the Dnipro at this stage would be to terrorize the civilian population.
Shelling locations show a higher number for 2nd day in a row, usually I don't think this means anything but possible UA advances might explain it. It could be increased efforts by RU to hold the AFU back
Weather by @davidhelms570
The prognosis still show cold weather for the coming week.
It does however look like the cold weather wont last that long. Predictability included in the prognosis below.
Kupyansk
Recent "geotagged" images show possible AFU advances around Yahidne, I'm not ruling out AFU presence in Yahidne, but that is only based on them reaching Orlyans'ke weeks ago and the recent images possibly showing them south of Yahidne.
h/t @NOELreports
Video of position south of Yahidne t.me/ukwarzone/9694
I believe these are images from a drone of the same place, posted about 1 week ago.
Location: 49.6492, 37.9480
Source: t.me/dvish_alive/19…
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novoselivs'ke, Stel'makhivka and Chervonopopivka. Wargonzo reported AFU advances south of Chervonopopivka, reaching the outskirts of the town.
Additionally they reported offensive operations by the AFU south of Kreminna.
Regarding Novoselivs'ke, there was a video today showing RU troops at the north end of the town. I have considered this town contested for a long time and the town does not seem to be able to provide any cover based on the destruction there.
The video from Novoselivs'ke also looks staged, I think it's likely neither side will try to stay in town.

It's not unlikely the AFU is trying to utilize the colder dryer weather and have increased the intensity of operations.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks by PMC Wagner in the direction of Hryhorivka, Vyimka and Sivers'k. I have been told double digits of the mercenaries will not be composing any more music.
Allegedly captured mercenary from Wagner, he was threated to be sent back to his own if he did not speak. He was recruited from prison for involevement with drugs about a month ago. He was captured after only 5 days in Ukraine.
t.me/ukrnastup/67991
Soledar
Video from LDNR showing them shelling AFU position in the marked area.
Soledar
48.6640, 38.09138
t.me/millnr/9826
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bakhmut, Opytne, Klishchiivka, Kurdyumivka and Pivnichne. This makes me believe Kurdyumivka still is contested.
Video showing Orc life outside Bakhmut
48.575943,38.038702
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Pervomais'ke Krasnohorivka and Mar'inka. Russian forces continue to prepare for an attack in this area.
The ground is definitely frozen. Unsure to what extent and how it would withstand an entire mechanized unit.

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More from @DefMon3

Def Mon Profile picture
Jul 14, 2024
The Russians have captured Urozhaine. They have wasted huge resources in doing so.
1/x
A few weeks a go I made this post:
2/x
You can go to to look at Russian vehicle looses, there is about 50? here. ukr.warspotting.net/map/
Image
Read 8 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jul 2, 2024
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV. Image
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
Video of the 2nd SP bde.
Read 6 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Feb 15, 2024
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds. Image
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so. Image
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks. Image
Read 4 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jan 28, 2024
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"

So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.

(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov) Image
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now. Image
Read 21 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 24, 2023
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove. Image
Legend and map link
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Image
Kupyansk-Svatove
Russian recon forces attacked UA positions in Krokhmal'ne. Further south, AFU were seen advancing in to Novoselivs'ke. Image
Read 13 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 10, 2023
An overview of the Ukrainian frontline changes for the last week. Image
Legend
Old UA line, is the estimated UA forward line on 2023-09-02
Interactive map can be found here:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Image
Kupyansk - Svatove
No noticeable changes, but it's clear RuAF are trying to advance west of Svatove, but without any major success.
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets

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