Def Mon Profile picture
Dec 2, 2022 21 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Ukraine update🧵December 2nd

The presentation today is NOT blessed by the VDV wizard. He does however have a history of blessing the VDV, so that explains A LOT.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper…
Yesterdays thread
twitter.com/DefMon3
Shellings locations reported by the Ukrainian general staff today.
High concentration in the Svatove, Donetsk and Kherson area. The only reason to shell the right bank of the Dnipro at this stage would be to terrorize the civilian population.
Shelling locations show a higher number for 2nd day in a row, usually I don't think this means anything but possible UA advances might explain it. It could be increased efforts by RU to hold the AFU back
Weather by @davidhelms570
The prognosis still show cold weather for the coming week.
It does however look like the cold weather wont last that long. Predictability included in the prognosis below.
Kupyansk
Recent "geotagged" images show possible AFU advances around Yahidne, I'm not ruling out AFU presence in Yahidne, but that is only based on them reaching Orlyans'ke weeks ago and the recent images possibly showing them south of Yahidne.
h/t @NOELreports
Video of position south of Yahidne t.me/ukwarzone/9694
I believe these are images from a drone of the same place, posted about 1 week ago.
Location: 49.6492, 37.9480
Source: t.me/dvish_alive/19…
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novoselivs'ke, Stel'makhivka and Chervonopopivka. Wargonzo reported AFU advances south of Chervonopopivka, reaching the outskirts of the town.
Additionally they reported offensive operations by the AFU south of Kreminna.
Regarding Novoselivs'ke, there was a video today showing RU troops at the north end of the town. I have considered this town contested for a long time and the town does not seem to be able to provide any cover based on the destruction there.
The video from Novoselivs'ke also looks staged, I think it's likely neither side will try to stay in town.

It's not unlikely the AFU is trying to utilize the colder dryer weather and have increased the intensity of operations.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks by PMC Wagner in the direction of Hryhorivka, Vyimka and Sivers'k. I have been told double digits of the mercenaries will not be composing any more music.
Allegedly captured mercenary from Wagner, he was threated to be sent back to his own if he did not speak. He was recruited from prison for involevement with drugs about a month ago. He was captured after only 5 days in Ukraine.
t.me/ukrnastup/67991
Soledar
Video from LDNR showing them shelling AFU position in the marked area.
Soledar
48.6640, 38.09138
t.me/millnr/9826
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bakhmut, Opytne, Klishchiivka, Kurdyumivka and Pivnichne. This makes me believe Kurdyumivka still is contested.
Video showing Orc life outside Bakhmut
48.575943,38.038702
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Pervomais'ke Krasnohorivka and Mar'inka. Russian forces continue to prepare for an attack in this area.
The ground is definitely frozen. Unsure to what extent and how it would withstand an entire mechanized unit.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Def Mon

Def Mon Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DefMon3

Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 24
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
Read 14 tweets
Jun 22
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992 Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 15
"Residents of Saada Abad district chant slogans: Death to Khamenei the dictator Death to the murderer Khamenei Death to the Republic of Executions"
Read 5 tweets
Jun 7
Since last fall, Russia have increased their effort to build shelters for aircrafts. I have identified 14 localtion where they have build or are building shelters. Image
Kirovske
45.1709, 35.1761
10 U shaped walls, no roof. Image
Engels AirBase
51.49953, 46.23520
Construction recently started, ground work for 10 shelters. Image
Read 15 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(