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Def Mon Profile picture
@DefMon3
Dec 2, 2022 • 21 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
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Ukraine update🧵December 2nd

The presentation today is NOT blessed by the VDV wizard. He does however have a history of blessing the VDV, so that explains A LOT.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper…
Yesterdays thread
twitter.com/DefMon3
Shellings locations reported by the Ukrainian general staff today.
High concentration in the Svatove, Donetsk and Kherson area. The only reason to shell the right bank of the Dnipro at this stage would be to terrorize the civilian population.
Shelling locations show a higher number for 2nd day in a row, usually I don't think this means anything but possible UA advances might explain it. It could be increased efforts by RU to hold the AFU back
Weather by @davidhelms570
The prognosis still show cold weather for the coming week.
It does however look like the cold weather wont last that long. Predictability included in the prognosis below.
Kupyansk
Recent "geotagged" images show possible AFU advances around Yahidne, I'm not ruling out AFU presence in Yahidne, but that is only based on them reaching Orlyans'ke weeks ago and the recent images possibly showing them south of Yahidne.
h/t @NOELreports
Video of position south of Yahidne t.me/ukwarzone/9694
I believe these are images from a drone of the same place, posted about 1 week ago.
Location: 49.6492, 37.9480
Source: t.me/dvish_alive/19…
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novoselivs'ke, Stel'makhivka and Chervonopopivka. Wargonzo reported AFU advances south of Chervonopopivka, reaching the outskirts of the town.
Additionally they reported offensive operations by the AFU south of Kreminna.
Regarding Novoselivs'ke, there was a video today showing RU troops at the north end of the town. I have considered this town contested for a long time and the town does not seem to be able to provide any cover based on the destruction there.
The video from Novoselivs'ke also looks staged, I think it's likely neither side will try to stay in town.

It's not unlikely the AFU is trying to utilize the colder dryer weather and have increased the intensity of operations.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks by PMC Wagner in the direction of Hryhorivka, Vyimka and Sivers'k. I have been told double digits of the mercenaries will not be composing any more music.
Allegedly captured mercenary from Wagner, he was threated to be sent back to his own if he did not speak. He was recruited from prison for involevement with drugs about a month ago. He was captured after only 5 days in Ukraine.
t.me/ukrnastup/67991
Soledar
Video from LDNR showing them shelling AFU position in the marked area.
Soledar
48.6640, 38.09138
t.me/millnr/9826
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bakhmut, Opytne, Klishchiivka, Kurdyumivka and Pivnichne. This makes me believe Kurdyumivka still is contested.
Video showing Orc life outside Bakhmut
48.575943,38.038702
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Pervomais'ke Krasnohorivka and Mar'inka. Russian forces continue to prepare for an attack in this area.
The ground is definitely frozen. Unsure to what extent and how it would withstand an entire mechanized unit.

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More from @DefMon3

Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 12
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings. Image
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459 Image
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Aug 9
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ. Image
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones. Image
Read 13 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jul 8
Grok canceling vatniks 🤣 Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 32 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jul 5
This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
france24.com/en/europe/2025…
Read 4 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jun 24
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
Read 14 tweets

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