Gabrielius Landsbergis🇱🇹 Profile picture
Dec 4, 2022 10 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Why aren’t we sending Ukraine all the tools needed to end the war? Why are we avoiding specifics during the debate on Ukraine‘s membership of NATO? Because the belief is still alive that after the war we can return to business as usual, as if February 24th was just a glitch.
The tactic of leaving Russia undefeated and ready for future partnership is toxic. It leads to calls to end the war by negotiation instead of ending it with a Ukrainian victory. Some even suggest Ukrainian territorial concessions to the invaders as a gift.
That isn’t how the rules-based international order works. Russia shouldn’t get invited to ‘peace’ negotiations as a reward for brutally invading, occupying and murdering its neighbours again and again.
The creeping normalisation of Russia's actions is fundamentally wrong. Also misguided is the belief that the current security architecture of multilateral regional and global organizations must be preserved as the ‘best we have’.
International organisations completely failed to prevent conflict of a magnitude unseen in Europe since WW2. At the very least there must be change within those organizations. But we should not rule out the possibility of some organisations disappearing and new ones forming.
With previous conflicts in Europe, the security architecture was rethought after the fighting ended, new structures appeared. For example, the United Nations appeared after mistakes made during the League of Nations era.
First Russia has to face defeat on the battlefield. For that Ukraine needs all our help. All the weapons, all the assistance we can give. Otherwise Russia will continue trying to reinvent the continent according to its own imperialist world vision.
It is in Europe's interest to fight off and defeat the invader. After this defeat a new system needs to be created out of the lessons learnt from previous mistakes.
Reliance on economic exchange as a principle of mutual assurance, desecuritization, veto power on security issues given to the aggressors – these are some of the misconceptions which failed to ensure the safety of the continent.
Our strategy needs to be rethought and reflected in a new security architecture that will ensure the safety of the continent for decades to come. And we should start creating this new system with Ukraine, not with Putin’s Russia.

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More from @GLandsbergis

Apr 4
Nice stories don’t win wars. Without significant deliveries of weapons and real security guarantees the glorious narrative of unity and solidarity with Ukraine is wearing thin and rapidly approaching cynicism. 🧵👇
Comforting stories can help win elections. But if they are false they immobilise us, prevent us from taking real action, while Ukrainians continue to die for us. 🧵
Ukrainians have performed miracles and repeatedly embarrassed the “experts”. We should be grateful to have such an ally, but instead of helping them win, we ask them to fight with one hand tied behind their back. 🧵
Read 8 tweets
Feb 28
We declare red lines for ourselves, but not for Russia. We publicly tie our own hands while leaving Putin free to pillage, rape and destroy. We create strategic transparency, not strategic ambiguity. It's time to change course. 🧵
Putin is prepared to cross borders, subvert democratic governments, ignore treaties and rewrite the past in an attempt to legitimise the invasion and annexation of his so-called “lands of historic Russian interest”. 🧵
Putin threatens NATO with nuclear missiles, trains his armed forces for invasions, puts his economy into war mode, uses chemical weapons and orders assassinations on NATO soil. He has weaponised migrants, engaged in cyber attacks and launched disinformation campaigns. 🧵
Read 10 tweets
Feb 23
Today we, the Baltic States 🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 and Czechia 🇨🇿 come to this Council to address the entire international community with a very simple message:

For all our sakes, wake up. 🧵
Mme President,
I speak on behalf of Czechia, Estonia, Latvia, and my own country Lithuania.
Today and tomorrow, many will yet again call on Russia to end its brutal war against Ukraine. 🧵
Many will say that Russia’s unprovoked aggression goes against everything these United Nations stand for. Some will question the credibility of this Council to defend the rules-based international order. 🧵
Read 17 tweets
Feb 21
Europe had a security architecture with Russia which was supposed to guarantee inviolability of borders, sovereignty and territorial integrity. The UN Charter, Helsinki Accords, Budapest Memorandum, Istanbul commitments, to name but a few of the agreements. 🧵
When eastern flank countries were on their way to NATO, there were those who felt the need to reassure Russia by concluding the NATO-Russia Founding Act of 1997. But Russia rendered this obsolete with attacks against Georgia and Ukraine. 🧵
We tried again with the Minsk Agreements, attempting to convince ourselves that this time agreements would work. We know how this ended. So I am baffled as to why anyone would suggest that this trail of failed agreements with Russia would end if we tried one more agreement. 🧵
Read 6 tweets
Feb 18
During the Munich conference I was asked why I am so gloomy. Well, somebody has to tell it like it is, so here’s how it is: Things are not going well. 🧵 Image
It is good practice to evaluate things honestly - with all their gloominess. And if we don't shock ourselves back into action it will get worse. In Ukraine, in the rest of Europe and possibly globally. 🧵
Ukraine is starved of ammunition and forced to pull back, Europe is facing challenges which might test Article 5, and global instability emerges because autocrats are emboldened by Russia's action and our cautious response. This is not pessimism. This is fact. 🧵
Read 9 tweets
Jan 21
We need to change our strategy from “as long as it takes” to “whatever victory takes”. So what would victory take? Let’s compare Poland’s recent procurements to the amount of equipment the world has given Ukraine: 🧵1/4 Image
Poland is a similar size to Ukraine and has a similar population. Poland thinks more than 1000 tanks and hundreds of HIMARS are necessary to defend Poland. So why do we ask Ukrainians to liberate territory with less than a tenth of that? 🧵2/4
Remember that Poland is a NATO member and can count on backup from the armies of other NATO members. Ukraine cannot. “Whatever victory takes” is much, much more than we have given. 🧵3/4
Read 4 tweets

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