Cumulative temperature in the north by @davidhelms570
Based on this, he tells me the soil should be sub zero (frozen) temperatures down to a 10cm depth.
Svatove-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshanka and Bilohorivka.
Kupyansk
I have moved the AFU area of extended operations to include Yahidne, this does not mean they have control over the area, but they that I believe they are operating in the area. I should have done this yesterday. See yesterdays thread for reason.
Kreminna
Wargonzo reported AFU took control of a small settlement close to Kreminna. I have no idea which one it is, but my guess would be one these: Dibrova, Kuz'myne, Chervonopopivka or Holykove.
Me personally think it's the tiny one east of Dibrova with the name of Kuz'myne.
Bakhmut
RU forces attacked in 10 locations all the way from Berestove to Kurdyumivka. These attacks were reported to be repulsed by the AFU.
Settlements like Andriivka and Kurdyumivka were mentioned, this shows why we should not call them captured before we see evidence of positions being consolidated.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Berestov, Bilogorivka, Yakovlivka, Soledar, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, Opytne, Klishchiivka, Andriivka, Kurdyumivka,
Donetsk
We have the usual suspects in this area.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Vodiane, Pervomaiske, Vesele, Maryinka and Novomykhailivka.
My conclusion about the failed UA attack on Pisky actually being a failed RU attack on Vodiane, see yesterdays thread for details.
Video of RU mobnik "Chunk" fighting in Novoselivs'ke
Part 1
Source: t.me/pozALABAI/6246
Part 2
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The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility.
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances.
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992
Since last fall, Russia have increased their effort to build shelters for aircrafts. I have identified 14 localtion where they have build or are building shelters.
Kirovske
45.1709, 35.1761
10 U shaped walls, no roof.
Engels AirBase
51.49953, 46.23520
Construction recently started, ground work for 10 shelters.