Cumulative temperature in the north by @davidhelms570
Based on this, he tells me the soil should be sub zero (frozen) temperatures down to a 10cm depth.
Svatove-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshanka and Bilohorivka.
Kupyansk
I have moved the AFU area of extended operations to include Yahidne, this does not mean they have control over the area, but they that I believe they are operating in the area. I should have done this yesterday. See yesterdays thread for reason.
Kreminna
Wargonzo reported AFU took control of a small settlement close to Kreminna. I have no idea which one it is, but my guess would be one these: Dibrova, Kuz'myne, Chervonopopivka or Holykove.
Me personally think it's the tiny one east of Dibrova with the name of Kuz'myne.
Bakhmut
RU forces attacked in 10 locations all the way from Berestove to Kurdyumivka. These attacks were reported to be repulsed by the AFU.
Settlements like Andriivka and Kurdyumivka were mentioned, this shows why we should not call them captured before we see evidence of positions being consolidated.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Berestov, Bilogorivka, Yakovlivka, Soledar, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, Opytne, Klishchiivka, Andriivka, Kurdyumivka,
Donetsk
We have the usual suspects in this area.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Vodiane, Pervomaiske, Vesele, Maryinka and Novomykhailivka.
My conclusion about the failed UA attack on Pisky actually being a failed RU attack on Vodiane, see yesterdays thread for details.
Video of RU mobnik "Chunk" fighting in Novoselivs'ke
Part 1
Source: t.me/pozALABAI/6246
Part 2
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?