Def Mon Profile picture
Dec 5, 2022 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
🇺🇦 Update🧵December 5th

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Yesterdays thread
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Shelling locations reported by the Ukrainian general staff.
Weather
Temperatures above freezing expected in both the south and the north during the last part of the week.
Interesting weather data if you want to dig deeper in to ground temperatures and cumulative temperatures.
Svatove-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshchanka and Bilohorivka. The ground must be hard by now in this area, but we are still not seeing any real movement.
Bakhmut North
After russian "success" south of Bakhmut (captured Ozarianivka), they seem to have increased the intensity of attacks to the north too. The AFU repulsed attacks around Bilogorivka, Yakovlivka, Soledar, Bakhmutske and Bakhmut.
108th Mountain Assault Battalion keep Russian car salesmen busy, they operate in the Spirne area.
Bakhmut South
The AFU repulsed attacks around Opytne, Klishchiivka and Andriivka. The shellings in the area indicate Kurdyumivka might still be contested.
Donetsk
The cousin marrying drunks in the Donetsk area tried to attack Mar'inka and Novomykhailivka. Their attacks were repulsed by the AFU.
After looking at all defenses the Russians are building and the fact that neither side seems to be able to exploit breakthroughs, I think it's possible the RU defensive lines being built will last for a while.

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More from @DefMon3

Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 24
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
Read 14 tweets
Jun 22
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992 Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 15
"Residents of Saada Abad district chant slogans: Death to Khamenei the dictator Death to the murderer Khamenei Death to the Republic of Executions"
Read 5 tweets
Jun 7
Since last fall, Russia have increased their effort to build shelters for aircrafts. I have identified 14 localtion where they have build or are building shelters. Image
Kirovske
45.1709, 35.1761
10 U shaped walls, no roof. Image
Engels AirBase
51.49953, 46.23520
Construction recently started, ground work for 10 shelters. Image
Read 15 tweets

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