🧵 There's been a lot of criticism that #gptchat provides inaccurate information. Thought I'd test this with a series of military-themed questions. I'll let experts judge the accuracy of the results.
‘The IDF requires an officer to sign off on any recommendations from its “big data processing" systems, according to an intelligence official … The Gospel and other AI tools do not make decisions autonomously, the person added.’ washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
“Another machine learning tool, called Lavender, uses a percentage score to predict how likely a Palestinian is to be a member of a militant group, allowing the IDF to quickly generate a large volume of potential human targets” washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
“Reviewing … data from intercepted communications, satellite footage, and social networks, the algorithms spit out the coordinates of tunnels, rockets & other … targets. Recommendations that survive vetting by an intel analyst are placed in the target bank by a senior officer.”
The Pentagon's annual report on Chinese military power is out. It has a number of interesting things in it. media.defense.gov/2024/Dec/18/20…
It deals extensively with the corruption purges in the Chinese armed forces—at least 15 high ranking officers or industry execs removed July-Dec 2023—concluding that this "may have disrupted its [PLA] progress toward stated 2027 modernization goals" media.defense.gov/2024/Dec/18/20…
"With basic mechanization considered achieved in 2020, the 2027 goal is a short-term marker and represents a modification, not a compression in timeline, for the PRC’s ambition to achieve complete military modernization of the PLA by 2035." media.defense.gov/2024/Dec/18/20…
Senior US admin official says Assad wouldn't have been toppled absent US support for Ukr & Israel. No "serious" outreach from Assad to USG. US urged Iraq to "stay out of it". And: "future here will be written by Syrians. We are not coming up with a blueprint from Washington"
Asked if USG is in contact with HTS, the US official says: " it's safe to say there's contact with with all Syrian groups". Says HTS is a "broad kaleidoscope" and US has to be "smart" in dealing with it, "mindful and pragmatic about about the realities on the ground."
US official: "I can't speculate on Russian bases ... we'll see what the Syrians who have worked for decades to overthrow the yoke of the Assad regime think about that when it comes to the Russian facilities. But I leave it to the Russians and others to speculate on that."
Punchy intro to CDS Xmas lecture at RUSI from @MTSavill: “last month's announcement of cuts… is emblematic of a dept. that is struggling to reconcile people and money with existing commitments at a very time when the threats that we face are growing in scale and complexity”
Radakin warns North Korean deployments could become a larger flow: “This year's most extraordinary moment was the deployment of thousands of North Korean soldiers on the border of Ukraine and the possibility of tens of of thousands more to follow” as part of DPRK-Russia pact
Radakin: “The UK nuclear deterrent is the one part of our inventory of which Russia is most aware and has more impact on Putin than anything else. This is why successive British governments are investing substantial sums of money” on subs, warheads & nuclear enterprise.
Reading the just released “War and Peace” by General Sir Richard Barrons, who is currently co-writing the UK’s strategic defence review.
Barrons on serving in Bosnia. “The experience of working in a broken, rundown, deeply factionalised and occasionally bizarre environment was pretty faithfully replicated by my stints in the Ministry of Defence in London”
“By this time (1997) I understood the MoD well enough to know that it was the place that politicians, civil servants and the leadership of the armed forces came to throttle each other - pausing only occasionally … to fend off nuclear holocaust”
An instructive podcast, published six days ago, with Pete Hegseth, Trump's nominee for the secretary of defence position. A few takeaways: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/143…
Hegseth: "I would probably talk a lot about the military industrial complex... the companies that influence the way we procure weapons and way we fight. Well, there's the veterans industrial complex too...allow the private market to provide for vets ... the VA hates that."
Hegseth: "The budget of the VA is twice the size the Marine Corps...massive, massive, it's the second largest federal department in the federal government...And yet, VA, you can't be seen in a timely manner, and you're treated like a number..." Criticises "traditional" vet orgs.