Mark Hertling Profile picture
Dec 10, 2022 12 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Today, I RT this @WSJ article on logistics challenges w/in Ukraine.

It generated a bunch of "but what about..." from many who may not understand what goes into decisions related to delivering weapons to allies/partners.

So here's a 🧵on that. 1/
wsj.com/articles/many-…
The @DeptofDefense is focused on planning & analysis as an organization for decision-making.

Each decision is based on a variety of practical & national security considerations.

As citizens concerned primarily about our own national security, we expect nothing less. 2/ Image
When an ally or partner (like Ukraine) requests support - weapons, ammunition, military manpower, etc - there are no rash decisions.

The requests are analyzed, weighed against multiple factors, assessed, and then military & civilians make recommendations to the @SecDef. 3/ Image
When a country asks for "X," here are just *some* of the things that weigh into the analysis:

-Do we have x?
-Do we have enuf of x to provide it w/o putting US security (& contingency plans) at risk?
-How is the partner going to use x?
-Is there an alternative system to x? 4/ Image
-How much does x cost?
-What are the logistical & maintenance requirements for x?
-Can the partner provide log/maintenance support for x (or will they need US support/contractors)?
-What's the possibility that foes would gain information about x that may harm our security?
5/ Image
-What are the long-term costs/recurring costs of providing x?
-If x comes from reserve/national stockpiles, what is the timeline for replenishment?
-If x is a piece of equipment, do we have adequate ammo supplies to support its use given rates of fire? 6/ Image
-Can our industrial base support the transfer of x to the partner with ammo, parts, maintenance?
-What is the training program to support transfer of x?
-Does the transfer of x meet @POTUS guidance & is it acceptable to Congress (& the American people)? 7/ Image
These questions are a sample of what is analyzed by those who are:
-experts in tactical application of weapons
-logistical support of equipment
-understanding of stockpiles & supply chains
-operational requirements & other national security commitments/global contingency plans.8/ Image
Wait...we're not done!

After all this analysis is conducted, it's time for a decision.

Civilians & military experts then take "The Book" to the @SecDef. They brief him on the various pros/cons of providing x, and he makes the decision. The item is provided...or not. 9/ Image
Truthfully, this is what all successful businesses do when making decisions...except with these decisions there are several other factors:

US National Security.
Life & death scenarios.
Support for allies/partners.

Yeah, a bit tougher than what most businesses do. 10/
I am a huge supporter of Ukraine's fight for sovereignty & I want to see them beat the RU as soon as possible.

But having once been involved in taking "The Book" to the SecDef during a time of war, I also know there are many considerations that go into these decisions.11/ Image
This process is deliberate decision making. It's used by most militaries in the world.

It's a prudent method to ensure US national security WHILE also helping our allies.

UKR will want many things. The US (& @NATO) will find the best way to help. 12/ Image

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More from @MarkHertling

Nov 30, 2024
WRT national security & global threats, an extremely dangerous time re US "foes." -Massive Russian strikes in Ukraine -Georgia's "frozen conflict" heating up. -Moldova dealing with Russian troops in Transnistria -Russian economy collapsing...due to Putin's wars --Assad flees to Russia 1/4
-China intimidates Philippines, assaults Hong Kong's autonomy, represses Tibet & Xinjiang, threatens Taiwan, blocks international trade routes -N. Korea troops & weapons in Russia, increases missile capabilities -Hamas destroyed, but Hezbollah, IJ, MB & the Africa terror groups still active. 2/4
-Piracy increases in Persian Gulf and Red Sea regions -US, Mexico & Philippines rated as most active human trafficking countries -Draughts, famine & other climate change factors + outcome of conflicts causes increased migration into US & Europe. -Domestic terrorism indicators rising. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Nov 5, 2024
It's interesting & emotional that @VP will be spending election night at her alma mater @HowardU in Washington, D.C.

A beautiful campus, an excellent institute of higher learning...

...and one that is connected to my own alma mater, @WestPoint_USMA

How so? A short 🧵 1/ Image
Howard U. is name after one of its founder & its first university president, Oliver Otis Howard.

An 1850 graduate of Maine's Bowdoin College at the age of 19, Howard entered & became a member of the class of 1854 at West Point.

He graduated 4th in his class of 46 cadets. 2/ Image
In 1855, Howard married Lizzy Waite (they would have 7 children).

Howard's 1st assignment was Florida during the Seminole Wars. While there, he converted to evangelical Christianity & considered being a minister.

After the war, he was sent to West Point to teach Math. 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 4, 2024
Today, I remembered a couple of Iraqis I met during my last deployment in 2007-8, during the surge

It had to do with trust, confidence...and voting.

A short 🧵 1/10 Image
Image
The 1st was Muhammed, the man in the white thobe.

The battalion commander in the area asked me to come meet him, as Muhammed had been an insurgent who pledged allegiance to the new Iraqi government.

A fascinating guy. Spoke good English, had been a university student. 2/ Image
He told me he had been fighting the coalition, but he realized the "power of the finger was better than the power of the gun."

He was talking about the finger tdipped in blue ink indicating voting.

He said he would stop fighting, go back to school, & study politics. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Oct 4, 2024
Watching the Israeli operations in S. Lebanon today, as the IDF releases numerous photos of arms caches found in & near homes. 1/7Image
Image
Image
These are similar to what US forces found throughout Iraq when we were there.

Using civilian locations provides terror organizations w/ unique advantages:
- difficult to find
- difficult to target
- when found, striking/destroying results in civilian casualties. 2/Image
This morning, the IAF also struck a 3.5 km tunnel complex between Syria & Lebanon that provided a means of bringing those weapons to Hezbollah.

Between 0900-1100 hrs local time today, Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets & drones into N. Israel. 3/Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 22, 2024
During a break in an MBA leadership class, a student asked me: What's it like serving in government, and what did you do to keep yourself fired up?

A thread 🧵 1/11
My response?

Sometimes it's tough - especially during deployments & the tough times being away from family.

But the vast majority of the people you work with, and the things you get to do, make it all worthwhile. 2/
Having never been on an airplane & having never left my hometown until I joined the Army, the adventures and the places I went to serve were awesome!

New countries, unique cultures, different languages, seeing the world, meeting new people? Yeah, nothin' better. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Sep 18, 2024
A few thoughts on what occurred in two different conflicts yesterday...the use of "killer pagers" by Israel and Ukraine's attack on the large ammo cache at Toropets military base 300+ miles inside Russia.

A short 🧵 1/12
First, the pagers.

In this article (gifted) from the @nytimes, the author claims there "no clear strategy" for this coordinated attack.

I disagree. Having used electronic & signals countermeasures in Iraq, the strategy is clear. 2/

nytimes.com/2024/09/18/wor…
Terrorist organizations - unlike conventional militaries who have encrypted signal capabilities - must find ways to communiate. It is important to continue to disrupt & counter this ability.

In Iraq, terrorist use of cell phones allowed US and ISF to glean valuable information & disrupt their networks. 3/
Read 13 tweets

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