Today, I RT this @WSJ article on logistics challenges w/in Ukraine.
It generated a bunch of "but what about..." from many who may not understand what goes into decisions related to delivering weapons to allies/partners.
The @DeptofDefense is focused on planning & analysis as an organization for decision-making.
Each decision is based on a variety of practical & national security considerations.
As citizens concerned primarily about our own national security, we expect nothing less. 2/
When an ally or partner (like Ukraine) requests support - weapons, ammunition, military manpower, etc - there are no rash decisions.
The requests are analyzed, weighed against multiple factors, assessed, and then military & civilians make recommendations to the @SecDef. 3/
When a country asks for "X," here are just *some* of the things that weigh into the analysis:
-Do we have x?
-Do we have enuf of x to provide it w/o putting US security (& contingency plans) at risk?
-How is the partner going to use x?
-Is there an alternative system to x? 4/
-How much does x cost?
-What are the logistical & maintenance requirements for x?
-Can the partner provide log/maintenance support for x (or will they need US support/contractors)?
-What's the possibility that foes would gain information about x that may harm our security? 5/
-What are the long-term costs/recurring costs of providing x?
-If x comes from reserve/national stockpiles, what is the timeline for replenishment?
-If x is a piece of equipment, do we have adequate ammo supplies to support its use given rates of fire? 6/
-Can our industrial base support the transfer of x to the partner with ammo, parts, maintenance?
-What is the training program to support transfer of x?
-Does the transfer of x meet @POTUS guidance & is it acceptable to Congress (& the American people)? 7/
These questions are a sample of what is analyzed by those who are:
-experts in tactical application of weapons
-logistical support of equipment
-understanding of stockpiles & supply chains
-operational requirements & other national security commitments/global contingency plans.8/
Wait...we're not done!
After all this analysis is conducted, it's time for a decision.
Civilians & military experts then take "The Book" to the @SecDef. They brief him on the various pros/cons of providing x, and he makes the decision. The item is provided...or not. 9/
Truthfully, this is what all successful businesses do when making decisions...except with these decisions there are several other factors:
US National Security.
Life & death scenarios.
Support for allies/partners.
Yeah, a bit tougher than what most businesses do. 10/
I am a huge supporter of Ukraine's fight for sovereignty & I want to see them beat the RU as soon as possible.
But having once been involved in taking "The Book" to the SecDef during a time of war, I also know there are many considerations that go into these decisions.11/
This process is deliberate decision making. It's used by most militaries in the world.
It's a prudent method to ensure US national security WHILE also helping our allies.
UKR will want many things. The US (& @NATO) will find the best way to help. 12/
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WRT national security & global threats, an extremely dangerous time re US "foes." -Massive Russian strikes in Ukraine -Georgia's "frozen conflict" heating up. -Moldova dealing with Russian troops in Transnistria -Russian economy collapsing...due to Putin's wars --Assad flees to Russia 1/4
-China intimidates Philippines, assaults Hong Kong's autonomy, represses Tibet & Xinjiang, threatens Taiwan, blocks international trade routes -N. Korea troops & weapons in Russia, increases missile capabilities -Hamas destroyed, but Hezbollah, IJ, MB & the Africa terror groups still active. 2/4
-Piracy increases in Persian Gulf and Red Sea regions -US, Mexico & Philippines rated as most active human trafficking countries -Draughts, famine & other climate change factors + outcome of conflicts causes increased migration into US & Europe. -Domestic terrorism indicators rising. 3/4
Watching the Israeli operations in S. Lebanon today, as the IDF releases numerous photos of arms caches found in & near homes. 1/7
These are similar to what US forces found throughout Iraq when we were there.
Using civilian locations provides terror organizations w/ unique advantages:
- difficult to find
- difficult to target
- when found, striking/destroying results in civilian casualties. 2/
This morning, the IAF also struck a 3.5 km tunnel complex between Syria & Lebanon that provided a means of bringing those weapons to Hezbollah.
Between 0900-1100 hrs local time today, Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets & drones into N. Israel. 3/
A few thoughts on what occurred in two different conflicts yesterday...the use of "killer pagers" by Israel and Ukraine's attack on the large ammo cache at Toropets military base 300+ miles inside Russia.
A short 🧵 1/12
First, the pagers.
In this article (gifted) from the @nytimes, the author claims there "no clear strategy" for this coordinated attack.
I disagree. Having used electronic & signals countermeasures in Iraq, the strategy is clear. 2/
Terrorist organizations - unlike conventional militaries who have encrypted signal capabilities - must find ways to communiate. It is important to continue to disrupt & counter this ability.
In Iraq, terrorist use of cell phones allowed US and ISF to glean valuable information & disrupt their networks. 3/