1/ Russian sources say that a fire in Crimea on 10 December in which two mobilised Russian soldiers reportedly died was caused by a potbelly stove in a barracks lacking any lighting or heating. It highlights yet another hazard facing the mobilised. ⬇️
2/ According to the pro-war TalipoV Online Telegram channel, "The bottom line is that mobilized from the mainland of Russia were sent to Sovetskoe, but the place of deployment, to put it mildly, was not ready to accommodate people.
3/ There was no light or heating.
The locals helped as much as they could, bringing food and building materials.
To resolve the issue, the Crimean authorities got involved, the issue with the light should have been resolved the other day, it was kept under control.
4/ The barracks was heated by potbelly stoves, somewhere there was a violation of security measures, as a result of which there was a fire.
No casualties were reported, but two people were unofficially reported dead.
5/ I hope that appropriate conclusions will be drawn, including about those who approved the location of the military.
At the moment, the situation is under the personal control of the Head of the [Crimean] Republic, the military is being provided with comprehensive assistance."
6/ There have been many reports of terrible living conditions in barracks (see thread below). Soldiers have described them as little more than slums, often filthy, poorly maintained and lacking heat or electricity.
7/ In this instance, it's likely that the poor living conditions led indirectly to the soldiers' deaths. Most likely a stove was accidentally knocked over and set fire to a wooden floor – an accident waiting to happen. /end
@ian_matveev has posted an excellent thread analysing the current military situation in Ukraine. In the first of a series, he looks at the likelihood of a joint Russian-Belarusian attack on northern Ukraine. Translation follows. ⬇️
The Russian army's winter stalemate. Part 1. Is an offensive from Belarus possible or not?
Today we will begin to examine what the Russian army may undertake in the coming months and go over all fronts. Let's start from the top - with the alleged new attack from Belarus. 🧵 /1
I should say right away that Putin's army may act unpredictably, because it depends on the Kremlin's decisions. Therefore I'll proceed from the Russian army's somewhat perverse and certainly criminal logic. Don't consider all this as a prediction, more as a reasoning. /2
1/ Mobilised Russians are falling sick en masse with bronchitis and pneumonia at their training camp in Siberia, where they are living in tents in temperatures of -30°C (-22°F) according to their wives. They are being given no medicines and are having to buy their own. ⬇️
2/ Baikal Journal reports that the wives of mobiks from Irkutsk are speaking out about the way their husbands are being treated. One has written on the VK (social media) page of Irkutsk regional governor Igor Kobzev that the men are all sick but aren't being treated:
3/ “There is no proper medical care, they buy medicines themselves, they are already on a third round of antibiotics – and all this in tents. Do you want them not to reach the Special Military Operation zone at all?” She asks the governor to "take action".
1/ Vladimir Putin is equated to the Archangel Michael in a new prayer book issued by the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) to Russian troops in Ukraine. The book also frames the Orthodox Cross with Kalashnikov rifles, highlighting the ROC's overt support for Putin's war. ⬇️
2/ The "We Can Explain" Telegram channel reports that the Russian TV channel Spas has broadcast an interview with a military clergyman who explains that "where the commander has a divine spirit, the company is invincible".
3/ The prayer book was likely presented to Russian soldiers in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine. It shows an icon of the Mother of God with "Russia" stripes and medals and refers to "Supreme Commander Vladimir" as Russia's "archistrategos."
1/ After people stopped to watch a fight in the street between a Chechen traffic cop and a special forces officer, Chechen dictator Ramzan Kadyrov has ordered that all the onlookers are to be rounded up and sent to fight in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ According to the Baza Telegram channel:
"[On 10 December] Turpal Eskiev, a traffic cop, was serving in the center of Urus-Martan when an SOBR [National Guard special forces] officer approached him very close.
3/ The National Guard officer specifically began to drift in front of the traffic police officer and provoke him because of old grievances. Words were exchanged, and the fellow slapped the traffic cop, who [metaphorically] opened fire in response (fortunately, not at people).
1/ Many observers have noted the difficulties that the Russians face in coping with winter in Ukraine, including deficiencies in clothing, discipline and leadership. But there's another critical factor worth highlighting: supplies of food and water. ⬇️
2/ I've been following the personal stories of Russia's contract and mobilised soldiers for some months now, and a consistent theme in all theatres of the Ukraine war has been a lack of food supplies. It's been a problem since the start of the invasion in February.
3/ Let's consider what a soldier needs in cold weather. The US Army says: "Depending on your exertion level, Soldiers should consume between 4,500 and 6,000 calories and 3.5 to 5 quarts of water per day. Light infantrymen will require the upper end of that scale."
1/ Russian prisoners who refuse to sign up to fight in Ukraine are being subjected to physical abuse and forced to make self-incriminating 'blackmail videos', according to leaked photos and video. ⬇️
2/ The Russian human rights organisation Gulagu.net has published what it says is evidence of staff in penal colony no. 4 in Kaluga Oblast abusing prisoners who refused to go to war "because of their beliefs and did not approve of other inmates being sent to war."
3/ A brief video shows a man bent over being urged by a prison guard to repeat "louder!" that he rejects the "thieving tradition", in other words the very strict thieves' code that governs the inmates of Russian prisons.