Svatove
It appears the RU activity has increased in this area. I think the UA forces still have the upper hand here, but the weather prevents any serious attempts. There was a short cold streak last week and I think it resulted in UA progress around Chervonopopivka.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novoselivske, Stelmakhivka, Novoehorivka, Makiivka and Chervonpopivka.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bilohorivka and Verkhn'okam'yans'ke. This are is important for Ukraine to hold because of their offensive on Kreminna, which would get a lot harder if they lost ground along the SD river.
Bakhmut north
Increased intensity in attacks by the RU forces in this area. they attacked Yakovlivka (which they claimed they captured) Soledar, Bakhmut and Bakhmutske (which they claimed they captured). These attacks were repulsed by the AFU.
Looking at this map by Wargonzo posted this morning, it does not seem like they claim control of Yakovlivka. The map it self does not seem to line up with RU claims, so it might just be a shitty map maker.
Bakhmut south
RU attacks around Kurdyumivka (which they claimed they captured), Klishchiivka and Mayorsk. In my opinion, if there is fighting on the outskirts of a small settlement, it's contested.
Donetsk
Continued attacks around Avdiivka and Mar'inka (which RU claimed they were very close to capturing about a month ago).
Zaporizhzhia direction
(if you can spell Zaporizhzhia without cheating, you are a god)
Continued higher intensity in the shelling pattern here, the reason is currently unknown, but it's worth watching.
The UA general staff reported a strike on the RU 58th Combined Arms Armys command in Melitopol. Result unknown. The 58th has been in charge of the Zaporizhzhia front since the beginning of this invasion.
As an interesting fact, the first reported HIMARS strike I can remember in this war was on the command of the 20th Combined Arms Army which I believe was in charge of the Izium front.
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?