Stears Profile picture
Dec 14, 2022 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Neither Atiku’s nor Tinubu’s manifesto inspires confidence that either candidate can steer Nigeria in the right direction.

Are things different with Peter Obi’s manifesto? Let’s find out!

THREAD
#StearsManifestoWeek 1/11
Let's start with electricity, every Nigerian's pain point.

The LP power sector plans are structured according to the sections of the electricity value chain: generation, transmission, distribution, and a bonus section for financing.

2/11
Unlike the PDP and APC, the Labour party’s power manifesto plans ended with financing sources, from long-term multilateral debt to private sector support.

3/11
With the exception of generation gaffes like aiming to harness wind power for electricity, the LP demonstrates a better understanding of the issues in the power sector.

4/11
Regarding monetary policy, PO acknowledges that the root causes of Nigeria’s inflation and foreign exchange dilemmas are more supply-side driven and require a mix of fiscal and monetary policy interventions.

5/11
The Labour Party admits fiscal policy’s contributions to taming inflation and aims to pursue a unified exchange rate system. These plans, if implemented, are necessary to stem the tide of rising poverty in Nigeria.

6/11
Moving forward to agriculture, LP’s plans fully grasp the problems embattling the agriculture sector compared to the APC and PDP. They are also relevant and implementable with good chances of success.

7/11
In terms of security, the Labour Party appreciates the steps needed to arrest the insecurity in the country, but additional detail in terms of cost and timelines are necessary to drive success. The APC and PDP took the lead here.

8/11
Fiscal policy is another area where the LP’s manifesto falls short. Although LP’s attempt to maintain a balanced budget is admirable, implementation, at least in the next four years, is unlikely.

9/11
Overall, Peter Obi’s promises for each sector inspired slightly more confidence that things could be generally positive.

10/11
View a more detailed breakdown of Peter Obi’s manifesto analysis in our latest free-to-read article.

#StearsManifestoWeek
11/11
bit.ly/3BB70fg

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More from @StearsInsights

Nov 1, 2023
According to Wale Edun, Nigeria's Finance Minister, a massive foreign exchange (FX) inflow of $10 billion is expected in the coming weeks.

🔍 Let's dive into what this FX windfall means for businesses and investors.

1/14
When this money arrives, Nigeria's foreign reserves will gradually increase, confirming receipt of the funds.

However, the reserves won't rise in absolute terms by the full $10 billion.
2/14
With the money, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will continue its FX interventions and attempt to address the backlog of foreign exchange, leading to these possible implications.
3/14
Read 14 tweets
Mar 19, 2023
🚨 A key LGA in Lagos highlights the extent of voter suppression.

One particular local government, Amuwo-Odofin, stands out, as reports highlight the impact of voter intimidation, violence and disruption on turnout in the state election.

THREAD
Amuwo-Odofin is in Lagos West Senatorial District, the district with the highest concentration of Igbo communities in Lagos.
Amuwo-Odofin is also the only LGA that Labour Party won in the gubernatorial and presidential elections, indicating that it is an LP stronghold.

The APC also recorded its lowest share of votes (18.2%) in Amuwo-Odufin across all twenty Lagos LGAs in the presidential election.
Read 14 tweets
Mar 19, 2023
Compared to the presidential elections, APC's victory margin in Apapa has increased from 56.9% to 72.9%, while their vote share in Lagos Island has gone up from 82% to 91%. What is the reason for this increase?

Read more here:

bit.ly/3YXHXMp
In this update, we highlight a major reason for this increase would be voter suppression which occurred across Lagos state.

stears.co/elections/nige…
For context, in Ikeja, where the LP won the presidential elections with 30,004 votes to the APC's 21,276 votes, the APC has now won the same local government with 32,273 votes to the LP's 15,174 votes.

stears.co/elections/nige…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 17, 2023
Who are the top four contenders for the Gubernatorial race in Lagos State?

From experienced politicians to media moguls, these four leading contenders are vying for your vote to become the next governor of Lagos. 🧵 Image
1. Funsho Doherty, the Governorship Candidate for African Democratic Congress (ADC), and Rosemary Giwa-Amu, his Deputy Governorship Candidate. ImageImage
2. Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the Governorship Candidate for All Progressives Congress (APC), and Dr. Obafemi Hamzat, his Deputy Governorship Candidate. ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Mar 9, 2023
Just yesterday, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) announced the postponement of the 2023 Governorship and State Assembly Elections, causing a further delay for Nigerians anticipating the polls.

Here’s why the postponement is taking place 🧵
The elections, previously scheduled for March 11th, were rescheduled by one week to March 18th, 2023, due to legal issues concerning the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS). 2/8
The postponement was to accommodate an ex-parte order by the Presidential Election Petition Tribunal to allow some political parties to inspect materials used for the presidential election. 3/8
Read 9 tweets
Dec 12, 2022
Peter Obi, seems to be the best option for giving Nigeria the direction and energy it needs, but he also has the smallest chance of winning.

#StearsPremiumToday
bit.ly/3VWomvy
We say Peter Obi has the smallest chance of becoming president among the top parties (APC, PDP & LP) because the Labour Party is trying to do something not done so far in Nigerian politics: Win the presidency without holding a single governorship and almost zero legislative seats
Currently, the APC and PDP hold a total of 35/36 governorship and 420/469 federal legislative seats. The Labour Party holds only 1 senate seat. In this article, we talk about how important structure is in Nigerian politics.

stears.co/premium/articl…
Read 5 tweets

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