Stears Profile picture
Dec 14 11 tweets 4 min read
Neither Atiku’s nor Tinubu’s manifesto inspires confidence that either candidate can steer Nigeria in the right direction.

Are things different with Peter Obi’s manifesto? Let’s find out!

THREAD
#StearsManifestoWeek 1/11
Let's start with electricity, every Nigerian's pain point.

The LP power sector plans are structured according to the sections of the electricity value chain: generation, transmission, distribution, and a bonus section for financing.

2/11
Unlike the PDP and APC, the Labour party’s power manifesto plans ended with financing sources, from long-term multilateral debt to private sector support.

3/11
With the exception of generation gaffes like aiming to harness wind power for electricity, the LP demonstrates a better understanding of the issues in the power sector.

4/11
Regarding monetary policy, PO acknowledges that the root causes of Nigeria’s inflation and foreign exchange dilemmas are more supply-side driven and require a mix of fiscal and monetary policy interventions.

5/11
The Labour Party admits fiscal policy’s contributions to taming inflation and aims to pursue a unified exchange rate system. These plans, if implemented, are necessary to stem the tide of rising poverty in Nigeria.

6/11
Moving forward to agriculture, LP’s plans fully grasp the problems embattling the agriculture sector compared to the APC and PDP. They are also relevant and implementable with good chances of success.

7/11
In terms of security, the Labour Party appreciates the steps needed to arrest the insecurity in the country, but additional detail in terms of cost and timelines are necessary to drive success. The APC and PDP took the lead here.

8/11
Fiscal policy is another area where the LP’s manifesto falls short. Although LP’s attempt to maintain a balanced budget is admirable, implementation, at least in the next four years, is unlikely.

9/11
Overall, Peter Obi’s promises for each sector inspired slightly more confidence that things could be generally positive.

10/11
View a more detailed breakdown of Peter Obi’s manifesto analysis in our latest free-to-read article.

#StearsManifestoWeek
11/11
bit.ly/3BB70fg

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More from @StearsInsights

Dec 12
Peter Obi, seems to be the best option for giving Nigeria the direction and energy it needs, but he also has the smallest chance of winning.

#StearsPremiumToday
bit.ly/3VWomvy
We say Peter Obi has the smallest chance of becoming president among the top parties (APC, PDP & LP) because the Labour Party is trying to do something not done so far in Nigerian politics: Win the presidency without holding a single governorship and almost zero legislative seats
Currently, the APC and PDP hold a total of 35/36 governorship and 420/469 federal legislative seats. The Labour Party holds only 1 senate seat. In this article, we talk about how important structure is in Nigerian politics.

stears.co/premium/articl…
Read 5 tweets
Dec 7
The CBN came out with another one of its surprise announcements yesterday.

The apex bank introduced a policy that limits over-the-counter cash withdrawals from commercial banks to ₦100,000 (c. $225) for individuals & ₦200,000 (c. $451) for businesses per week.

THREAD 1/16 Image
This announcement has stirred an uproar across social media with questions like: “What are the reasons behind this new policy?” and “Is this to aid financial inclusion or target politicians?”

2/16
Well, the CBN stated that the revised naira withdrawal policy is to complement the launch of the newly redesigned naira notes, which is in line with its cashless policy and financial inclusion mandate.

3/16
Read 17 tweets
Dec 7
The World Bank estimates that 45% of Nigerians don’t have access to electricity from the grid. That’s 99 million people.

APC & PDP have promised to solve this problem if elected. But which of them is better placed to give 🇳🇬 24HRs electricity?

THREAD #StearsManifestoWeek
1/8
At a glance, here are APC and PDP’s plans for the power sector.

2/8 Image
As seen in the table, the APC’s manifesto acknowledges most of the bottlenecks in the power sector. It also highlights improvement strategies—from tariffs to metering, generation and transmission capacity, rural electrification, and solar adoption.

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Dec 6
Since 2015, Nigeria has been in the top 10 of the most terrorised countries in the world. Atiku plans to solve this insecurity problem by hiring 1 million police officers, while Tinubu wants to ‘recharge’ Lake Chad.

Who has a more effective plan?

THREAD
#StearsManifestoWeek 1/8
There is a likely consensus that Nigeria is under-policed, but both presidential candidates view the solution differently.

2/8
Tinubu aims to reallocate the existing police workforce away from VIP security and guard duties while handing over those functions to the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC).

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Dec 5
According to his manifesto, Bola Tinubu of the All Progressive Congress (APC) plans to achieve a 10% GDP growth rate for Nigeria over the next four years, if elected.

What is the possibility and implication of this growth plan?

THREAD 1/5
#StearsManifestoWeek
First, Tinubu’s growth plan is audacious, given the current state of the economy. Since 2014, the Nigerian economy hasn’t achieved an annual growth above 4%.

However, this ambition comes at a price. Image
To achieve APC’s growth target, Tinubu will have to spend based on growth plans for the country rather than the amount the country earns. And so, if his government’s revenue doesn’t meet its growth requirement, it will need to borrow until it reaches its desired growth goal.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 19
Nigeria’s Liquified Natural Gas company (NLNG) has declared Force Majeure.

So what does this mean for Nigerians? We have answers for you.

THREAD 1/16
By declaring force majeure, NLNG is saying that it cannot supply LNG to customers it has contracts with due to unforeseen circumstances (the flooding in Nigeria).

But NLNG has been going through it since last year.

2/16
Oil and gas companies like Shell supply natural gas to NLNG, which converts natural gas, a gas (duh), to a liquid called liquified natural gas (LNG) for export via ship to other countries.

3/16
Read 16 tweets

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