The Republicans lost #PASen by 263,000 votes to Fetterman.

To avoid this, the nominee would need to flip half those votes or inspire 263,001 other voters to show up.

How big is this task? The runner up to Oz in the primary couldn't find 951 votes to win from among 1.3 million!
Dr. Oz won only 420K votes from among 1.346 million in the GOP Primary.

This left 926K non-Oz voters up for grabs.

McCormick needed just 951 of those to beat Oz yet didn't do it.

But he would make up the 263,000 GOP vote gap in the general?

Primary voters don't always choose the best general election candidate, but a person who can't win a primary can't win a general (where many of the primary voters are needed to win).

68.8% of the GOP didn't vote for Oz.

His margin was only 950 votes.

Yet McCormick choked.
Trump's choices in the GA primaries received...

28% Governor.

33% Sec of State.

50% Lt Governor.

68% Senate.

Clearly, results vary based on choices that the non-Trump wing put up or failed to put up. If they failed in the primary they were going to fail the general.

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More from @YossiGestetner

Dec 13
1/ The collapse of @SBF_FTX (yes, both FTX and SBF's alleged net worth) underscores the need for @Forbes, and others but especially Forbes, to change how they estimate the net worth of the allegedly most wealthy people.

@Steven_Ehrlich @ChaseWithorn @SteveForbesCEO
2/ If a handful of investments funds put up, say, $100 million in your company and give it a valuation of $2.5 billion, #Forbes400 will call you a billionaire if you own half the company. This is done no matter how much revenue or profit the company has.

cc @KerryDolan
3/ This valuation is done even if companies of similar structure, revenue and profit trade at much lower multiples in the public market.

Oops. Strike that. Did I compare privately-held companies with no public books to publicly-traded companies that file reports quarterly?

Oy.
Read 12 tweets
Dec 12
Days ago Mr. Wonderful was still shilling for SBF saying he would invest with him again.
Here.

18 minutes.

Last week, @kevinolearytv suggested on @CNBC that SBF was not necessarily a fraud.

Despite the positive media coverage of him in recent weeks, the basic facts showed that he didn't just "mismanage" a company.

It wasn't about "lack of controls."

It was a MASSIVE FRAUD!
Read 5 tweets
Dec 9
Twitter's shtick alone may have impacted the 43,000 votes spread in 3 states that decided the 2020 elections.
Thousands of conservatives wasted years, literal YEARS, writing tweets and threads thinking - over time doubtful - that they have a fair shot here. Yet it was rigged all along, AND the public was gaslit that what they feel/see is happening isn't happening.
What was called by the public shadow banning, was called "Visibility Filters" inside Twitter so they denied that shadow banning took place while not admitting the existence - or extent - of the filters and the bias of its implementation.

Why didn't this leak all these years?
Read 4 tweets
Dec 8
In 1996, the Defense of Marriage Act AGAINST SSM, passed the Senate 85-14 and 342-67 in House.

Recently, the Senate passed what is essentially a reversal backed by 12 GOPs and today every House Dem + 39 Republicans voted for it.

Vote Republican. Yesterday's Democrats; Today.
The Respect of Marriage Act is "Yesterday's Democrats Today" on high speed because yesterday's Democrats voted totally opposite of it.

Maybe not. "Yesterday's Democrats Today" is usually a 10-15 year lag.

DOMA would not get most Dems 10-15 years ago as it did 25 years ago.
As always, I'm not discussing the policy itself.

I'm discussing the politics of politics.

Time and again, Democrats set the agenda and Republicans follow along 5-10 years later. First a fraction of them and then the rest.

Vote Republican. Yesterday's Democrats; Today.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7
Some of "Trumps Candidates" won 50-68% of the high turnout vote. Is your stance that a quarter-plus of the voters that you need for the general are idiots?

Others (Oz) won only 32% of the primary so why couldn't you consolidate the rest 68% behind your "quality candidate"?
Remember 68%.

68% is what @HerschelWalker got in the high turnout Primary so when you attack him as a choice, you are attacking those whom you need in November.

68% is what Dr Oz did NOT get in the primary yet the GOP couldn't consolidate the rest of the party behind quality.🤡
Fetterman won 57% in the Dem Primary.

Why didn't Republicans find a Fetterman-like candidate and line up 57% of the vote behind him?

68% did not vote for Oz so I am sure if the GOP found a Fetterman Quality (🤡), that guy would win primary AND general.

Read 5 tweets
Dec 7
Thank you defeatists Never Trumpers for whining all month how no-chance @HerschelWalker has in the runoff which helped depress GOP vote.

Thank you!

Go ahead. Let me read your latest Blame-Trump Thread/Article.

(Walker is a rubber stamp for @LeaderMcConnell so whatever).
For an OMG-BAD candidate, Walker held his own.

In 2018, Abrams lost to Kemp by 1.4 points. She was held up as a good candidate and ran again in 2022.

Walker lost to an incumbent Senator by only 0.9 points in November, and it is quite close in the runoff (despite defeatist NTs).
A reminder to @EWErickson et al that in early 2020, Kemp appointed Loeffler as Senator as the Establishment's choice to the seat now held by Warnock.

"McConnell backs Georgia governor’s pick for Senate amid Trump skepticism." - Politico 12/3/09.

Go ahead. Blame Trump!
Read 19 tweets

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