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Dec 16 • 3 tweets • 2 min read
Doug Mastriano (R) ended his losing #PAGov campaign with more than $1 million in cash. This is about 15% of the money he had for the entire general election campaign. Josh Shapiro (D) outspent Mastriano by a whopping $66 million to $7 million margin. 1/3
inquirer.com/politics/elect…
Doug Mastriano's shoestring #PAGov campaign was so broke it did not launch its first TV ad until October & then only spent $393,000 in TV advertising in the final weeks. His having over a $1 million left over in his campaign is pretty remarkable malpractice. 2/3
One PA GOP strategist called Mastriano's campaign cash hoard "one of the most irresponsible and selfish actions I’ve seen a candidate for office at any level take” & blamed GOP downballot state House losses on Mastriano. 3/3

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More from @RRHElections

RRH Elections Profile picture
Dec 5
New York Councilman Ari Kagan is expected to switch parties from Democrat to GOP tomorrow. Kagan represents a district that includes Coney Island & other southern Brooklyn neighborhoods. nydailynews.com/news/politics/…
Redistricting put Councilman Kagan in the same district with progressive Councilman Justin Brannan (D) who Kagan is expected to challenge next year. This part of southern Brooklyn swung heavily to the GOP in the 2022 election.
Worth nothing that both Kagan and Alec Brook-Krasny, who Kagan beat in the 2021 NYC Council Democratic primary, are now both Republican elected officials in Brooklyn. Brook-Krasny switched partied earlier this year & was elected to the state Assembly as a Republican in November.
Read 4 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
Nov 22
Asian voters in NYC overwhelmingly swung from Democrats to Republicans this year. Lee Zeldin (R) carried the majority Asian 40th Assembly District in Queens and the heavily Asian 47th & 49th Assembly districts in Brooklyn.
nypost.com/2022/11/20/nys…
Precinct analysis shows that Asian majority election districts in NYC voted more Republican than than non-Hispanic White districts did.
Lee Zeldin won 23 predominantly Asian election districts in the 47th & 49th Assembly Districts which included Chinese-populated Sunset Park and even carried 1 election district in Manhattan in Chinatown.
Read 4 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
Nov 18
What do these places have in common? More pics to follow, and the answer will be at the end of the thread. (1/x) ImageImageImageImage
More clues. (2/x) ImageImageImageImage
A few more clues. (3/x) ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
Nov 18
We are now barely 36 hours from the political highlight of the year.

The presentation of the 12th Annual RRH Turkey of the Year award.

Please join us for a trip down memory lane as we celebrate the first 11 winners of our award for memorable, embarrassing failure.
We christened this award in 2011, when we realized we needed some way to recognize all the joy Anthony Weiner had brought to us that year. From the first sext to the press conferences hijacked by Breitbart and Howard Stern, what a first winner! rrhelections.com/index.php/2011…
In 2012, Todd Akin legitimately shut down the GOP's chances of a Senate majority with his mind-bogglingly stupid comments about rape, which nudged Rick Perry and his three departments out of the way: rrhelections.com/index.php/2012…
Read 12 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
Nov 8
Quick Election Eve thread on the bane of every nerd's existence this time of year: MIRAGES.

A mirage happens when a state counts heavily R or D ballots particularly early or late in the process, giving one party the appearance of a big lead that disappears as votes are counted.
Ohio, for example, is a BLUE MIRAGE state. In 2020, Ohio counted heavily Dem early/mail ballots first, and Biden led the state deep into the evening. He lost by 8 after the heavily R election day votes were counted.
Pennsylvania is a RED MIRAGE state, although first results will be heavily Dem out of Philly. But the overwhelmingly Dem mail votes will be counted at the end, so don't get too excited over an evening GOP lead.
Read 13 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
Nov 8
On Election Eve, just want to give a shout to all the young analysts who have done such great work with detailed maps, previews, and forecasts this year--including, but hardly limited to @Elections_Daily, @SplitTicket_, @CNalysis. Awesome stuff, all. Looking forward to tomorrow!
For those who haven't read yet, here's final predictions from @Elections_Daily. @decunningham2, @JosephSzymanski, @krazgreinetz, @Jacob_Walters39 and the team have done amazing work all cycle, including building the great Election Shuffler tool. elections-daily.com/2022/11/07/ele…
The new kid on the block this cycle is @SplitTicket_ and their final preview is here. Great job by @HWLavelleMaps @lxeagle17 @Thorongil16 @politicsmaps split-ticket.org/2022/11/06/our…
Read 5 tweets

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