Yesterday I talked about Genera Zaluzhnyi and it turns out today I need to talk about another general. I had no idea but today is the birthday of General Vatutin. In my opinion he was the best commander the Soviet's had during WWII. Far better than Zhukov and was the only early
commander they had who could fight the Germans to a standstill on their terms and even counter-attack. Sadly Stalin promoted him to lead the 1st Ukrainian front where he seized Kyiv from the Germans. Unfortunately for him, he was not seen as a liberator but as just another
invader and in Feb of 1944 the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) killed him. The UPA was born in the 1920's and fought for Ukrainian indepedence from Poles, Russians and Germans. The Soviets did not finally extinguish it until the 1950's but some veterans survived and live among us
today. Despite the Soviets and Communists poles killing, imprisoning and deporting over a million Ukrainians after the end of WWII. I am not going to white wash the UPA, they were a product of their times and were antisemitic and anti-Pole and did horrible things. They took part
in the Holocaust and that is unforgivable. However they are proof that the idea of an independent Ukraine free from foreign domination is not a post-Soviet invention but something we can trace unbroken to the collapse of the Czar's empire. Would anyone for example claim that the
Czechs, Slovaks or Croats are not a real people simply because they did not achieve nation-state status until an empire died in WWI? Would you condemn American, French, English and Spanish people today because their great grandparents held views we find abhorrent today, would you
denounce your own grandparents? Of course not, we have repudiated their views on race and religion and left them to history while we build tolerant inclusive societies. Ukraine is doing the same. Of course this is not the truth that Russia wants out there. They want people to
think the Ukrainians are frozen in time and still have a 1944 worldview on things. Nothing could be further from the truth. The far right in Ukraine failed to win any seats in the Rada (parliament), the nation has a Jewish president and Ukrainians over every stripe from ethnic
Ukrainians and Russians to Cossacks, ethnic Hungarians, ethnic Polish to 2nd generation Ukrainians whose parents were from Africa have rallied to the defense of Ukraine. They are all Ukrainians. In contrast, it is the Russians who maintain the ancient world view. Yesterday
would have been Dugina's birthday. She is a great case in point. Well her father is, look at his writings and the influence he has had, compare it to the world view of the demonic Austrian that unleashed WWII. Not much daylight there. He is not alone, we see similar statements
the top to the bottom of Russian society. It is Russia who has failed to learn the lesson of WWII: that we are all in this together. She still wants an empire built on exploitation of those she sees as others, less than, fit only to be ruled. This is what we oppose. Never Again,
or to donate to charities that support the war effort or the impacted civilians like @MriyaAid, @UkraineAidOps, @U24_gov_ua and @3xR_team. Its why I am proud to be a #FELLA and member of #NAFO. I fight against the Russian narrative of hate. Speaking of hate, many of my readers
readers know that @SarahAshtonLV recently donated her uniform to the Smithsonian. The Russian's hate her. If you could boil every Russian hate-trope into a single person and set them free upon the Earth she would be it. I think that is an even bigger achievement than the donation
truth be told. Congrats to her on both accomplishments. PS: in case you missed it in my writing above this is the type of society Ukraine is building and why Russia hates it. They cannot stand the ideas of merely being one among many.
Until Ukraine Wins On Ukraine's Terms: Slava Ukraini! @mfa_Russia <--- still losing and thy days are numbered. Ceterum censeo delendam esse Russia. 20 new nations are waiting to be born as the last empire falls.
So recently Gen Zaluzhnyi gave an interview in which he said a few things of things of note. 1. He expects an attack from Belarus in the Spring. 2. Ukriane has a winter offensive getting ready to kick off and 3. He needs the equivalent of two divisional sets of heavy equipment.
To the first point, if he is serious that he expects an attack out of Belarus in the spring this will tie down significant Ukrainian forces. If he expects a 100-200K strong invasion force he has to match that. The old adage is the attacker needs 3x what the defender needs but
applies only when the battle is joined. Until then the attacker has the advantage because he only has to be strong where he wants to attack, while the defender must be strong enough everywhere he might attack. This is why demonstration forces can tie down such large numbers of
Today's topic is a bit dirty so put on your muck boots. Most of us have seen pictures or video of American forward operating bases in Afghanistan and Iraq. Everything from small encampments trying to keep observation on a valley to bigger bases with mobile Burger Kings and PX
stores. We've never seen an American or allied soldier hungry or freezing and haven't since Korea. America has always been able to sustain its troops in large part because we had permissive environments. Permissive is not a word to use in Ukraine. First the sheer density of air
defense systems and relative scarcity of rotary wing aircraft make the US model impossible even on a small scale and scale matters. Hundreds of thousands of men are fighting in Ukraine and tens of thousands are on the front lines. Each and every one of them needs a lot of food,
Lets talk partisans, no not the political ones, the Ukrianian ones. From knife in the back teams to grandma's with cell phones partisans have been active in this war. Likely often teamed up with stay behinds and SOF teams they fill a few critical roles. First is the kinetic side
partisan warfare: assassinations, sabotage, small unit battles. This has been going on since the war began. We have all seen the reports of X or Y Russian official or collaborator getting blown up, or the reports of isolated Russian troops getting knifed on the darkened streets
of Kherson etc. Kinetic actions serve two primary functions. First is to aid the main war effort. A supply convoy that gets ambushed or hits an IED/minefield can't add to the fight at the front line. Occupation troops detailed off to fight partisans can't fight the Ukrainian Army
Lets talk peace. Seems to be what Russia wants to talk about so lets do it. Of course anyone engaging in such a discussion needs to know a few things. First, Russia has never honored a single international agreement she signed. Most importantly the Budapest Memorandum. She signed
that in 1994 and promised to respect Ukraine's borders. Second, Russia does not feel bound by international law. For example, it is illegal under Interational law to annex territory or forcibly transfer children. More of those international agreements Russia signs but does not
honor. Third any pause in the fighting will provide time for Russia to train her mobiks, reconstitute units and dig in making any future Ukrainian counter-offensive much harder and bloodier and also limit Russian losses to the cold and wet by allowing the bulk of the invaders to
There is one part of Ukraine that while frozen is extremely hot. Building up a clear picture of what's going around Bakhmut is not possible. Opsec, dis/mis-info, fog of war and the ever-changing realities of the moment to moment have mostly drawn a curtain over what we can the
city. However there are a couple of specks of light we can use to infer something. First, it looks like the Ukrainian defenders are undergoing a replacement cycle. It looks like the 93rd Brigade is being pulled out and replaced.
Thats pretty typical of meat grinders, units can only sustain high intensity operations for so long before they first lose their edge and eventually just lose. We know its high intensity from a couple of other sources. First is this
One of the things we value in Arkansas is family. Having 2 of my 3 kids and all 3 of my grandbabies here was awesome but tiring. Luckily I have heat and power and the weather was merely wet not freezing.
How many Ukranian grandparents who live rural lives like me are suddenly refuges because they have a wood stove or a generator? The strike on Odesa means those with such grandparents are the lucky ones. They may have to leave the city but don't have to become refugees. There is
Only 1 answer to Russian evil: send more, send better and send now. That's the message elected leaders like @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton and @RepFrenchHill need to hear everyday. That message needs to be backed by action. Who are you donating to? There are several good charities