Def Mon Profile picture
Dec 17, 2022 17 tweets 5 min read Read on X
🇺🇦 Update🧵December 17th

This thread is brought to you by a pole dancing Igor Girkin. Who doesn't love a pole dancer with a moustache?

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Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today Image
14 day by @davidhelms570 Image
Svatove
Wargonzo reported AFU attacks in the direction of Sofiivka. ImageImage
Kreminna
The AFU repulsed attacks around Chervonopopivka and Ploshchanka. Wargonzo reports the AFU attacked in the direction of Holykove. I think the AFU are continually progressing at a slow pace in this area. Image
Siversk
The AFU repulsed an attack around Bilohorivka. I consider this town contested and I believe the AFU only have consolidated positions in the western parts of the town. Image
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bakhmut, Opytne, Zelenopillya and Andriivka. Wargonzo reports the AFU counterattacked around Kurdyumivka and Ozarianivka. I think the AFU are trying to buck back RU forces which crossed the canal around Ozarianivka. Image
This is roughly what I think is going on around the city Bakhmut. Earlier in the week it was reported RU units managed to get in to the very eastern part of the residential areas of Bakhmut. Image
Even if they get in there and managed to establish a positions, they still need to be supplied. They might just send in new wagnerites as the old ones run out of supplies, that would be a very Russian solution to the problem.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Maryinka, Pobyeda and Novomykhailivka. Wargonzo reported additional RU attacks in the area of Vodyane, Pervomais'ke and Nevel's'ke. Image
There are some reports about explosion's in Luhansk. Local reporters claim it is RU planes going supersonic and/or Air Defense. At the same time, local chats report they lost electricity and gas. That must be the worst case of supersonic boom I've ever heard of.
You can read the unrolled version of this thread here: typefully.com/DefMon3/9CpUhrL
It seems Girkin got lost on his way back from powdering his nose. But I found him again, he is back preforming his duty at the pole. Image
RU MoD today. Now lets talk about the unprofessional behavior of the Russian federation... Image
A M777 in the foreground with M270/M142 launching towards a beautiful pink sky in the background.
Source: t.me/NMFTE/5972

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Grok canceling vatniks 🤣 Image
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This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
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The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
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Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
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I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
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A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992 Image
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