Svatove
Wargonzo reported AFU attacks in the direction of Sofiivka.
Kreminna
The AFU repulsed attacks around Chervonopopivka and Ploshchanka. Wargonzo reports the AFU attacked in the direction of Holykove. I think the AFU are continually progressing at a slow pace in this area.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed an attack around Bilohorivka. I consider this town contested and I believe the AFU only have consolidated positions in the western parts of the town.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bakhmut, Opytne, Zelenopillya and Andriivka. Wargonzo reports the AFU counterattacked around Kurdyumivka and Ozarianivka. I think the AFU are trying to buck back RU forces which crossed the canal around Ozarianivka.
This is roughly what I think is going on around the city Bakhmut. Earlier in the week it was reported RU units managed to get in to the very eastern part of the residential areas of Bakhmut.
Even if they get in there and managed to establish a positions, they still need to be supplied. They might just send in new wagnerites as the old ones run out of supplies, that would be a very Russian solution to the problem.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Maryinka, Pobyeda and Novomykhailivka. Wargonzo reported additional RU attacks in the area of Vodyane, Pervomais'ke and Nevel's'ke.
There are some reports about explosion's in Luhansk. Local reporters claim it is RU planes going supersonic and/or Air Defense. At the same time, local chats report they lost electricity and gas. That must be the worst case of supersonic boom I've ever heard of.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?