Tren Griffin Profile picture
Dec 18 4 tweets 2 min read
1/ When IBM visited Microsoft in July 1980 about licensing software for a PC the goal was get a product to market in less than a year. IBM didn't have big sales forecasts for this PC. In 1980 Microsoft BASIC was used on almost all PCs and was the largest PC language supplier.
2/ The IBM PC was 16 bit and Microsoft kept the right to license the software to other manufacturers for compatible PCs. That the value in the value chain would primarily accrue to the software and the chip suppliers didn't fit the IBM business model.
3/ IBM had other groups working on other PC versions like the Displaywriter and the Datamaster. The PC running Microsoft software was just one project. Microsoft had more people working on the PC than IBM As Bill Gates sad about the IBM PC interview: "It's just a miracle."
4/ "IBM had a 50 year run and did very well. They just did not adjust to the microprocessor. Something like that could come along for us, we just have to be humble enough and bright enough to see it coming.” Bill Gates
The Irish Times, October 21, 1994
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More from @trengriffin

Dec 16
1/ "To anyone who participated in wrongdoing at FTX or Alameda Research and who has not yet come forward, I would strongly encourage you to come see us before we come see you. We are not done.” Damian Williams, US Attorney, Southern District of New York newyorker.com/news/news-desk…
2/ "They're going to take a meticulous look at each and every one of these people, and, assuming that the allegations are true, a large number are going to want to plead out and coöperate. People who are first in the door get better terms.” Alex Lipman, former SEC branch chief
3/ Not even remotely valiant.

"Speaking before the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday, Kevin O’Leary, a former FTX spokesman and a star of “Shark Tank,” made a valiant effort to defend the industry.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 11
"Inertial confinement fusion, which involves bombarding a tiny pellet of hydrogen plasma with the world’s biggest laser, achieved net energy gain in a fusion experiment in the past two weeks." ft.com/content/4b6f0f…
"The fusion reaction at the US government facility produced about 2.5 megajoules of energy, which was about 120 per cent of the 2.1 megajoules of energy in the lasers"
"The heating of the fuel generated by fusion must exceed the losses due to heat conduction and radiation. A fusion reaction can only take place in a plasma (a hot, ionized gas) at temperatures exceeding 100 million degrees." physics.aps.org/articles/v15/67
Read 5 tweets
Dec 6
"In early November, Adrian Butkus, a 43-year-old father of two, put $600,000 — much of his life savings — into an account at BlockFi, a cryptocurrency trading firm. BlockFi had marketed the account as risk free, yielding 6.5% interest."
nytimes.com/2022/12/05/bus…
Is it likely US prosecutors are currently (and will be in the future) discussing relationships between BlockFi and another individual and entities controlled by that individual with former associates of that individual in connection with a plea agreement?
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Do you know what percentage of BlockFi's assets went to FTX and Alameda?

Clue: Alameda defaulted on "approximately $680 million" of collateralized loans from BlockFi, "the recovery on which is unknown," the court filing said. cnbc.com/amp/2022/11/28…
Read 4 tweets
Nov 30
1/ "SpaceX is developing a breakthrough new direct to cell satellite network. We are seeking mechanical engineers to solve a wide range of novel engineering challenges to architect the largest deployable antenna array designed at SpaceX to date." linkedin.com/jobs/view/mech…

AAPL tho
2/ "Closing the link with the phone, given low power levels, is why these satellites plan to have huge antennas."

"More constrained link budget limits you to providing a very low data-rate messaging service, which is what Apple and Globalstar are doing.”
interactive.satellitetoday.com/via/december-2…
3/ "The satellites orbit the earth at eight km per second. At 250 [satellites], you can start having them close enough to the right latitude to be able to connect them, but you need about 1,000 to have global coverage in the world everywhere." sdxcentral.com/articles/inter…
Read 5 tweets
Nov 24
On Thanksgiving my story about Alton Brown might be relevant:

“I learned in culinary school that am not a very good cook. I am not Eric Ripert.” “I wasn’t willing to do anything to the food that sacrificed story." Alton Brown
25iq.com/2017/11/04/bus…
"We gravitate around the campfire that is food because, as a species, we require connectivity to each other. Food is one of the last universal things that we’ve got to do that. We don’t have it in politics. We don’t have it in religion. We don’t have it in culture.” Alton Brown
Cooking connects me with my mother. Eating her food made me happy beyond words. When I make something she once made for me (raspberry freezer jam) she is there virtually as a tiny figure sitting on my shoulder smiling at me.

Brussels sprouts with sweet onions on the grill.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 22
"I fundamentally believe storytelling is what fuels Disney." Bob Iger

Storyline: There is a warrior CAC, who is expensive up front, but who can secure an annuity from customers that can create shareholder value if the warlords COGS and churn are friendly. 25iq.com/2016/12/09/why…
A business that acquires shareholders intelligently will work to attract supporters who understand how it creates value. That's involves a type of story. The 1997 Amazon letter is a story.

The shareholders who own Disney aren't exactly the same as shareholders who own Netflix.
Joy Covey: "Most companies depart from their best long-term business thinking in order to please Wall Street. And they often do things that are not in the best long-term interest of the business because they’re under pressure from investors for short-term results." Jeff Bezos:
Read 4 tweets

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