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Johnathan Wood Profile picture
@Johnathan_Wood1
Dec 19, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Justin Fields was really bad for the first month of the season. 51% completion, 7.0 yds/att, 2 TD/4INT, and only 37 rush yards/gm (4.3 yds/carry).

A switch flipped in MIN game. Now 9 games since: 66% completion, 7.6 yds/att, 13 TD/6 INT, and 95 rush yds/gm (7.8 yds/carry)
For a little more context, NFL average is 65% completion, 7.1 yards/attempt, and 1.9 TD/INT (Fields at 2.2 over last 9 games). So Fields has now been an above-average passer for over 2 months.

Fields' NFL ranks if you look at his last 9 games:
CMP %: 16th
YPA: 7th
Rating: 8th
oh yeah, and Fields is also doing that while rushing for 95 yards/game, a mark that only one player in the NFL can top right now. And while playing behind a bad OL throwing to bad WRs.
Obviously the passing volume needs to increase. It will when they have the personnel around Fields to make that possible. He's not the reason they can't pass right now. The OL + pass catchers are. He's the only reason the offense can do ANYTHING.

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More from @Johnathan_Wood1

Johnathan Wood Profile picture
Dec 30, 2022
🧵 Something to keep in mind when talking about the Bears' resources this offseason: they have a TON of needs. Let's start with a look at their current 2023 depth chart, showing every player under contract for 2023 (per Over The Cap).
Positions where I am really not happy with the current starter on that list:
RB (at least need a platoon pass catching guy)
WR (VJJ not a starter)
LG
C
RT
DEx2
NT
3T
LB (Sanborn 1, assuming base nickel)
CB (Vildor not a starter)

That's 11 starters needed, at a minimum.
So yes, the Bears have a really high draft pick, and a lot of money to spend. But it's not like they can allocate those resources to just a few players. Upgrades are needed pretty much everywhere.
Read 6 tweets
Johnathan Wood Profile picture
Dec 19, 2022
A note on Fields' passing volume: in his last 9 games, Fields is throwing for 175 yards per game. That's not great - would be just under 3000 yards for a 17 game season. He's been efficient when he throws, but doesn't throw it much.
A big reason for the lack of throws is Fields scrambling, often due to combination of poor pass protection + nobody getting open. In the last 9 games, Fields averages 24 passes + 5 scrambles per game. So about 1 in 6 pass plays end with Fields needing to run.
If you factor in the scrambles, Fields has 29 pass plays for 231 yards per game over the last 9 games. That's a bit more reasonable in volume (would be just under 4,000 yards on a full season), and is still insanely efficient (8.2 yards/play).
Read 7 tweets
Johnathan Wood Profile picture
Aug 27, 2021
THREAD:

One thing I've been thinking about in the wake of Javon Wims' cut yesterday: Chicago's offense should be much less predictable based on personnel.

They've been very obvious in terms of run/pass splits based on who's on the field in the past.
I've been tracking this for years, but here's the writeup for 2020, when the Bears had 4 players who were obvious run/pass tells.

dabearsblog.com/2021/examining…
In 2020, the Bears were:

Far more likely to run with Wims in the game,
Far more likely to pass with any of Graham, Miller, or Cohen in the game.

This was true even within the same personnel groupings (ie 3 WR sets with/without Wims, or Miller, etc.).
Read 7 tweets
Johnathan Wood Profile picture
Aug 22, 2021
Thread: Whole lot of people using yesterday as an opportunity to say Nagy failed Trubisky, not the other way around. I'm just over here like... no. The Bears' offense has distinct problems that come from both of them.
The Bears have frequent issues with getting the play call in on time, confusion lining up, taking delay of game, wasting timeouts to avoid delay of game, too many pre-snap penalties. That's on Nagy.
Nagy needs to remember the KISS principle: Keep It Simple, Stupid. He tries to outsmart everybody and makes it too complicated in the process. Watch a great playcaller like Kyle Shanahan or Sean McVay, and things look easy for the offense. It never looks easy for the Bears.
Read 13 tweets
Johnathan Wood Profile picture
Aug 21, 2021
Nagy can say all he wants about playing starters more in the preseason, but their WR1, WR2, TE1, LT, RT, and RG all sat today. Of course Andy Dalton looks like shit. He can't elevate backups.

Bears know this and don't care. They clearly already made up their mind about week 1.
so what actually happened today that mattered? Not a whole lot, honestly.

All of Chicago's CBs fighting for starting roles had terrible days. Bilal Nichols got hurt. That's about it.
As for Fields, he can run well and throws a beautiful deep ball. We knew both of those things already. The stats look ugly, but that's because he's throwing to used car salesmen trying to play in the NFL, and none of them can create separation or catch.
Read 11 tweets
Johnathan Wood Profile picture
Mar 23, 2021
THREAD

Here's what people miss when they say "Bears have a ton of cap space next year, they can push money to the future with no issues."

Bears currently slated for just over $60M in cap room in 2022 on Over the Cap. overthecap.com/salary-cap/chi…
$60M seems like a lot of money, right?

Well, that doesn't account for the rookies Bears will draft this year, who have contracts that eat into it. We'll say probably $5M, depending on where exactly they end up drafting.

Or 2022 rookies, another $3-10M, depending on picks
They also need another $10M+ in room this year to sign their draft class and any FA to round out the roster. Unless they cut Akiem Hicks and/or Jimmy Graham, that likely gets borrowed from the future as well.
Read 13 tweets

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