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Christian Mölling Profile picture
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Dec 20 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
#Puma

es wäre gut, wenn sich jetzt alle mal den Schaum vor dem Mund abwischen würden.

➡️Militärische Fähigkeit = Systemleistung

Es braucht
1⃣ Mängelbericht, den alle Akteure des Systems unterzeichnen
2⃣ auf der Grundlage - Plan für Problemlösung, den alle Akteure mittragen
3⃣ zu dem Plan gehört, das alle aus ihrer Komfortzone raus müssen - inkl. Verträge und Zuständigkeiten ändern.

Die einseitigen Schuldzuweisungen - noch zudem vor einem Bericht, bringen nur böses Blut - am Ende sitzen doch wieder alle in einem Boot.
➡️ Alternativen gibt es immer - theoretisch -die haben aber negative Konsequenzen
➡️ Neue Beschaffung 5+ Jahre
➡️ Risiken: u.a. Germanisierung
➡️ Kosten
➡️ NATO Beiträge 2025+ ( 30k Soldaten etc)👎
Politik

➡️die Ministerin trifft in diesem Falle wirklich keine Schuld

➡️ Das Gesetz der Politik (Ministerin wg anderer Dinge in der Defensive) führt aber zu bekannten Übersteuerung der Arbeitsebene: Handlungsfähigkeit demonstrieren.

➡️Das ist ein sehr risikoreicher Weg

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More from @Ce_Moll

Christian Mölling Profile picture
Nov 10
⚔️Month 9 of the war:⚔️
🇩🇪 government has no plan for Ukraine war🇩🇪

Key note Tuesday evening German Security Community:
Head of Chancellors office

Question:
given
a) your remarks about🇩🇪 gov having been very much forward looking in its policy even before🇷🇺 started the war..

1
b) the declared goal of GER gov to enable UKR together with allies to take back territory..

➡️Does the Ger Gov have its own assessment of what UKR needs for the next 6 months or so to do so
➡️based on that, does it have a plan how it will contribute to this shared objective?
2
➡️Even if we are not delivering more weapon systems, what efforts has Germany undertaken to ensure that those systems already delivered will stay active through the proper flow of ammunition and spare parts?

3
Read 7 tweets
Christian Mölling Profile picture
Nov 10
⚔️Month 9 of the war:⚔️
🇩🇪 government has no plan for Ukraine war🇩🇪

Key note Tuesday evening German Security Community:
Head of Chancellors office

Question:
given
a) your remarks about🇩🇪 gov having been very much forward looking in its policy even before🇷🇺 started the war..

1
b) the declared goal of GER gov to enable UKR together with allies to take back territory..

➡️Does the Ger Gov have its own assessment of what UKR needs for the next 6 months or so to do so
➡️based on that, does it have a plan how it will contribute to this shared objective?
2
➡️Even if we are not delivering more weapon systems, what efforts has Germany undertaken to ensure that those systems already delivered will stay active through the proper flow of ammunition and spare parts?

3
Read 7 tweets
Christian Mölling Profile picture
Oct 22
Money and Guns

🇩🇪Defence budget (VHH) and inflation
IMF October 2022 projection: Rise in inflation - which effects?

A thread, proudly presented together with @_schuetzt
[1/x]
NATO 2% Target:

Existing underfunding is reinforced GER would have to invest nominally even more due to inflation - but a manageable EUR 6.7 bn between 2022 & 2027. Reason: poor GDP outlook balances out higher inflation. [2/x]
Loss of purchasing power

Increased inflation costs real purchasing power in EP14. Between 2022 & 2027, about EUR 13 bn more purchasing power will be lost than in the previous April inflation estimates. [3/x]
Read 8 tweets
Christian Mölling Profile picture
Aug 7
#Amnesty International

After workingthrough the reaction on the AI report below - observations:

1. looks like the meltdown of another NGO / Do-gooders group - crashing into a real war in Europe

Ukraine: Ukrainian fighting tactics endanger civilians amnesty.org/en/latest/news…
2. unable to contextualize facts and give them the appropriate position in the overall picture
3. as experts indicate: insufficient knowledge of the chosen topic ( IHL/law of armed conflict)
4. marginal communication skills - CEO made pissy statement - since then - nothing
5. no anticipation that social media is part of the war fighting environment: Russia took the @amnesty report and turned it against Ukraine
6. unclear why @amnesty Ukraine office warnings have not been taken into account
6.1: head of this office declined
...
Read 7 tweets
Christian Mölling Profile picture
May 27
Wer lügt? -
möchte lösen: keine(r)

unter den NATO-Staaten gibt es informelle Gruppen. Die Quad (4): USA, D,F,UK. Bei ihren Treffen verständigt und informiert man sich, tauscht sich aus, entwickelt eine Linie, die von allen getragen werden kann../1

zdf.de/nachrichten/po…
Man weiss min, was die anderen planen und kann sich dazu verhalten. Oft setzt eine gemeinsame Linie einen Impuls für die Linie in der NATO ingesamt. Das dürfte hier nicht der Fall sein. Die Bindewirkung hängt auch von der Vehemenz ab, mit der diese Linie vorgetragen wird.../2
Nix Beschluss: In der Quad gibt es auch mit Blick auf UKR unterschiedliche Haltungen und Risikobereitschaft. Und: Deutschland kann hier Impulse setzen, wenn es eine eigene Politiklinie hat. Hier scheint der Hase im Pfeffer: Merkelinische Sicherheitspolitik: .../3
Read 7 tweets
Christian Mölling Profile picture
Sep 3, 2021
EU BlaBla heard a 1000 times

self-referential system/bubble talking to itself

to get this straight :

⏩AFG desatrous withdrawal is NO game changer. it does not change the strategic outlook like the 2014 RUS invasion into UKR (AFG geostrat position is a challenge, though)
⏩ it is NO wakeup call.
the EU and Member States know since decades that they have a gap between discourse and capabilities.

they have no appetite to change it and close the gap
⏩current pledges are the usual hectic activism - nothing more
Read 4 tweets

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