~~We are 15 weeks into the NFL season~~
I hope Jalen Hurts is okay, the Bengals are good, the Bucs are not, the Vikings are exactly average, and the Vaunted Packers Defense is running out of time
I hope Jalen Hurts is okay, the Bengals are good, the Bucs are not, the Vikings are exactly average, and the Vaunted Packers Defense is running out of time
Quarterback passing efficiency on early and late downs
Of QBs still playing (ie not Jimmy G or Mariota), Trevor Lawrence is No. 4 in EPA/dropback on early downs! (and somehow Tannehill is still No. 5 with a practice squad roster)
Of QBs still playing (ie not Jimmy G or Mariota), Trevor Lawrence is No. 4 in EPA/dropback on early downs! (and somehow Tannehill is still No. 5 with a practice squad roster)
Recent tiers movement:
-- Stock down: Titans, Colts, Seahawks, Bucs, Browns offense
-- Stock up: Lions, 49ers, Browns defense
-- Stock down: Titans, Colts, Seahawks, Bucs, Browns offense
-- Stock up: Lions, 49ers, Browns defense
The rate at which each team takes a 1st & 10 and turns it into a new set of downs.
The Chiefs' offense is still chugging along
The Chiefs' offense is still chugging along
One year the Chiefs will have a good defense. But not this year
How teams have behaved on 4th downs this season
Every year it's the same group of teams at the top of this (Eagles, Bills, Lions, Packers, Browns, Ravens, and Doug Pederson)
Every year it's the same group of teams at the top of this (Eagles, Bills, Lions, Packers, Browns, Ravens, and Doug Pederson)
The Bengals are slingin' it!
32 of 32 NFL are more efficient passing than rushing on early downs
2 independent measures of how effective each team's pass protection has been:
-- ESPN: player tracking data
-- PFF: watching the tape
-- ESPN: player tracking data
-- PFF: watching the tape
All trench measures from ESPN and PFF
We deserve a Cowboys-Eagles playoff game with both teams at full strength
We deserve a Cowboys-Eagles playoff game with both teams at full strength
Pass protection ratings in one summary table with very carefully chosen weights
For some reason the Lions' pass protection has become an item of national interest so here is that I guess
Here is how *the players on the offensive line* (i.e., not counting TE, RB, etc) have graded in *true pass sets* only
QB efficiency (EPA/play) versus #tape
Falcons' RBs here are a good demonstration of RYOE being largely about run blocking / team factors
I wonder if Hall / Herbert would have kept this up if they had stayed healthy
Overlapping circles of White/Fournette are funny given that people are clamoring for White carries
I wonder if Hall / Herbert would have kept this up if they had stayed healthy
Overlapping circles of White/Fournette are funny given that people are clamoring for White carries
Insert caveats about RYOE but here's RYOE and % of carries that exceeded expected rushing yards
Betting markets do not seem especially concerned about the long-term ramifications of Jalen Hurts' injury
The Jaguars and Lions have made an appearance!
The Jaguars and Lions have made an appearance!
Point differential through week 15
There's basically 6 teams that markets see as having a real shot at a Super Bowl, and not surprisingly, they're the 6 teams with the best point differential
(the 11-3 Vikings are not one of those teams)
There's basically 6 teams that markets see as having a real shot at a Super Bowl, and not surprisingly, they're the 6 teams with the best point differential
(the 11-3 Vikings are not one of those teams)
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