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Dec 20 • 3 tweets • 1 min read
On a separate note if the claims of limited counter attacks are true then this confirms that the Ukrainians have push more men and resources in the meat grinder. Bakhmut in my opinion is now the deciding battle of the conflict.
People are very eager for bakhmut to hold but the longer it takes the more Ukrainian brigades are lost to the shelling in the disadvantageous defensive positions. Just keep the meat grinder moving so the Russians can let he artillery do the work.
Fall*

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ayden Profile picture
Dec 20
Does anyone know how to spot propaganda? It’s usually very easy to spot just by listening to the language used but another great way to tell is if everything is very neat and the information is presented in a way manageable to, in this case western audiences.
For a man in a fire team killing Russians his clothes are mighty clean almost as if he’s trying to present an image of professionalism and sense of ease. Remember this man is in and out of trashed out buildings firing on enemy tanks. +1 propaganda point for also destroying a tank
Notice also how he brings up a particular group of Ukrainians (Cossacks) who just so happen to be a major part of the Russian frontline fighting force. To polish it all off he gives no indication of where he because he’s probably on where near the front.
Read 5 tweets
ayden Profile picture
Dec 19
All Kiev strikes on December 19th early morning 🧵 twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
There were a lot this morning twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Some Gepard action twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 6 tweets
ayden Profile picture
Dec 17
During its briefing on yesterday's missile strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that decoys were used during the strike to deceive Ukrainian air defense. At the same time,
positions were opened and four radar stations of the Ukrainian S-300 air defense systems in the Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye regions were destroyed.
It is interesting that the destruction of four radar stations mentioned by the Russian defense department coincides with the data of the Ukrainian General Staff, which in its report yesterday indicated the use of four Kh-59 and Kh-31P aircraft missiles.
Read 4 tweets
ayden Profile picture
Dec 14
The personnel center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced in top secret the number of dead Ukrainian soldiers who were declared missing - 35,382 people. These are military personnel whose bodies were left on the battlefield - they were not taken home and were not buried.
Their families will not receive compensation because they are "missing."

The number from the certificate sent to the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Sergei Shaptala.
Whose official archive was hacked by Russian hackers from the Anarchist Kombatant group. Attached to the letter is a complete list of all the dead but missing servicemen as of November 30, 2022.
Read 4 tweets
ayden Profile picture
Dec 3
I wouldn’t get overly excited about some big Russian offensive from the north or in Kharkov this winter. Instead get ready for a long and slow offensive over the entire front line with 200,000 additional troops spread rather evenly.
The worst mistake the Russians can make, IMPO, is to give the west any reason to escalate in Ukraine. A massive land grab or decapitation of government when the west still has some interest in Ukraine could bring the US back in just as support is beginning fade.
A “slow grind”, as general Surovikin stated in his most recent public statements, is what I think everyone should expect over the following months. The goal should be the complete demoralisation of the AFU and more importantly forcing reality to dawn on its backers.
Read 5 tweets
ayden Profile picture
Dec 1
Some different mappings of the situation around Artemovsk/Bakhmut. The Russia plan seems to be the same as it was around Lisichansk. Take the high ground, cut off supply routes into Bakhmut, suppress Ukrainian positions is surrounding towns.
The recent Russian gains are focused primarily on a section of elevated terrain that provides perfect positions for artillery and spotting over supply routes into Bakhmut and Ukrainian positions in the city. The question is what’s Russias next course of advance?
If Klishchiivka falls to Ru then the settlement of Ivanlvske wold be under complete fire control. The town would probably not be assaulted as their would be threats from Chasiv Yar and Bakhmut but it wouldn’t be needed as Ukrainian positions in Bakhmut would be threatened.
Read 9 tweets

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