Long Thread🧵

Best Way to protect your Portfolio in a bear market

Portfolio Results:
2018 - 2021 - Portfolio 20X from 20K to 400K
2022 - 7% Draw Down

Below screenshot for the best hedge strategy. I'll go into details later.
There are a few people that been there with me thru hard times. I manage their portfolio and show gratitude ❤️

Thus not my name / my portfolio, my hedge is gone when I started to short Tesla back in September. Also I WILL NOT SHORT TSLA ON MY FRIEND'S ACCOUNT 💀
Upon ANY thesis. Always size in your move. I went 50% hedge. The other 50% gives you room to maneuver.

Upon taking the hedge, stock went against me, went back $1100. Sold 50%, profit taking and let my hedge run till today. Thus portfolio ran down only 7%.
Synthetic Short, the best hedge. If Stock drops $1 you gain $1. Delta Neutral for credit, without paying for PUTS.

A normal short, downside is unlimited, stocks can stonk.

Synthetic short gives you credit doing it ( calls are more expensive ) while your downside is limited.
How to Synthetic Short? For every 100 stocks. Sell 1 ATM call and Buy 1 ATM put. That's all.

If stock goes up - You miss the upside
If stock stay sideways or down - Capital protected
How to calculate? For the sold call:
Profit = Trade price - Current price = $81.23 - $12.25

Why? When you sold a CALL, to close position, buy it back.
How to calculate? For the bought put:
Profit = Current price - Trade price = $106.5 - $67.17

Why? When you bought a PUT, to close position you need to SELL it.
Hope you learn something! Invest Safe and stop listening to brokies who don't show you their performance P/L and not the money they pumped in. FKING MAJOR RED FLAG.

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More from @pakpakchicken

Dec 20
Celebrating a painful victory lap, bought another $150,000 $tsla.

I'm the ONLY ONE who 20X $tsla, sold at tops and short it down.

No matter where $tsla goes from here, I won. So fk you haters. Have fun staying poor 🤡

Wanted to record my journey here:
9 Months ago: War started, my matrix flipped red, asked everyone to stop DCA. Got cancelled and shit on.

6 Months ago: Regain my confidence. 1st appearance after I quit YT and told the world target $140
|
Again got called a scammer and shitted on 🖕
4 Months ago: Sold out at Tops


3 months ago: Close my shorts
( documented journey )
Read 4 tweets
Nov 18
1/ Stocks vs Crypto 🧵

Crypto is a hated trade right now while stocks is overvalued vs cost of capital.

My love for hated trades, avoiding over crowded trades gives me a good risk / reward ratio.

While i think there will be contagion effects of FTX, this is the plan:
2/ “bluechip” recovers 1st. The bluechip of crypto is #bitcoin and #Etherum

Will be adding both but more eth.

5% of crypto allocation will be moved up to 30%.

Starting to deploy my 80% cash. Eth below $1000 will be a steal.
3/ Tip on eth if you understand:

ultrasound.money

Crypto below a trillion market cap is stupid. Boomers will not understand. But simply put, if USD is the best of FIAT, imagine the pain of people living in turkey japan etc
Read 4 tweets
May 11
My sympathies for those invested in:
$luna $ust - From $120 to $2
or $arkk - $160 to $40
These numbers destroy lives, let's not shit on them, but what can we learn?

Few Lessons from my decade of investing related to this two scenarios
1) the markets will ALWAYS find ways to humble you, no matter how smart you are

2) it's alright to take profits from time to time

3) strong fundamentals does NOT mean your investment will be safe
4) does the product have market fit?

5) "passive" investing is a load of crap made up by idiots

6) humans fundamentally resist change

7) when market conditions change, CHANGE YOUR FKING STRATEGY. There's a reason why we don't drive looking into the rear view mirror.
Read 4 tweets

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