Thread by @DefMon3

🇺🇦 Update🧵December 25th

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Yesterdays thread:

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Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today

Weather by @davidhelms570

https://twitter.com/davidhelms570/status/1607002041024643073

Overview images

Kupyansk
The AFU repulsed an attack around Lyman Pershyi. I consider this town contested. RU forces continue block the AFU expansion of the Kupyansk bridgehead, this most likely limits their logistical capabilities in this area.

Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Stel'makhivka and Novoselivs'ke. We keep seeing RU reinforcements being sent to the Svatove Kreminna front, this could be an indicator of RU feeling pressured or RU planning an offensive. I believe in the first option.

25km range indicator on Svatove front. In reality, with rocket assisted munition, AFU most likely can reach all of Svatove with 155mm artillery.

Kreminna
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshchanka and Chervonopopivka. Fighting is also ongoing in the forest south of Kreminna and Dibrova. Even if the AFU are closing in on Kreminna, I believe this fight is far from over.

That being said, the AFU are doing their best to make it unpleasant for the RuAF to stay in Kreminna. Pro-RU accounts claim the AFU are relentlessly hammering RU positions from 3 directions around Kreminna. They also claim the AFU are trying to break through but are unsuccessful.

Bakhmut north
The AFU repulsed attacks around Yakovlivka, Bakhmuts'ke, Soledar and Bakhmut. RU forces has clearly lost momentum and the initiative is slightly tipping over in the favor of the AFU.

Analysts like @KofmanMichael are indicating RU forces might need to conserve ammunition. This will have restraining effects on the RuAF which is very artillery dependent. A lot of times they just target an area until the AFU have to retreat and move in to empty positions.

We also need to keep in mind, the AFU have similar ammo issues. At this point I'm not sure how this will affect the offensive potential of both sides. Operational pauses before limited local offensives might be needed to accumulate resources in the future.

Pro-ru complaints about the munition shortage.
Full translated text: pastebin.com/Zx207HuP

Source: t.me/romanov_92/330…

Bakhmut south
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Klishchiivka, Kurdyumivka and Pivnichne. No major change in this direction, except for minor AFU gains in Opytne this week. I believe RU forces try to establish positions west of the canal but fail with high losses.

Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Krasnohorivka, Vesele and Marinka. RuAF continues with their attempts to encircle the heavily fortified Avdiivka, without success.

The Ukrainian general staff reports a strike on a Southern Military District command post in Zabaryne while a meeting was being held. They claim 70 wounded.

RU MoD released a video of 2nd Guards Taman Motor Rifle Division conducting training at Obuz-Lesnovsky Training Area in Belarus.

I believe this is the CBRN company doing some smoking training.....
t.me/mod_russia_en/…

RKhM-6 from the 2nd Guards Taman Motor Rifle Division conducting training in Belarus. t.me/mod_russia_en/…

Awkward moment

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Sorry for all those reposts, but twitter just breaks the threads, block content and just lags out some times.

That should be Trump