The 20+ most underappreciated/unrecognized power centers (literally) for the prosecution of Russia's war on Ukraine.

These are the workhorses of 🇷🇺🚊logistics & enable the delivery of more death to Ukraine than airbases in Engels or Kursh.

We'll never see 🛰️ images posted. 😤
/2 Each Traction Station has at least two (2) high voltage step down transformers about the size of a Russian tank or MLRS, which go figure can't move or be hidden.

The giant tank full of oil mounted above them guarantees a destructive fire, more certain than oil/fuel tanks.
/3 TBH I deprioritized the southern Luhansk route, given the route via Luhansk (city) is not electric rail & crossings of the Siever Donetsk River are compromised.

However, everything, incl heavy Dragon's Teeth & shells enter via Likhovskoy - Ivanivka route.

These will be added
/4 On the Rostov - Taganrog - Donetsk route, AFU recently #HIMARSTime'd the traction station at Ilovaisk.

Good chances Mandrikine & Krynychna traction stations were torched prior, but I have no confirmation of any🇺🇦🚀💥

IMHO this was a good sign AFU now appreciates their value.
/5 On the southern axis, the rail connection from Kerch is not electrified, however Sebastopol to Melitopol/Novo Bohdanivka is.

We know Orcs use rail heavily to steal🇺🇦grains & Ag equip

There's little indication RuAF is using limited diesel electrics from Dzhankoi to Melitopol.
/6 In the northeast, the value of the Belgorad link is of historical note.

Arguably Valuyki is a "has been" also.

I repeatedly see the non-electrified Valuyki - Starobilsk line pushed as some "darkhorse" 🇷🇺 logistics superweapon bc somebody looked at rail maps.

IMHO it is not.
7/ Then there is the Liski - Rossosh - Millerovo realignment completed in 2016 as a major priority from Putin & The Kremlin to get around previous transits of Ukrainian territory near Chertkovo.

Frankly, I'm tired of beating the AFU Must Absolutely Disable These Assets Drum.
8/ Finally, there's none of my skin in this game. I'm safe in America and this war has no impact on me whatsoever, while I could give 2 f*cks about military warporn.

It's not for me to decide what is💥but it is clear assets I OSINT/identify enable untold misery upon Ukrainians.
9/ These traction stations & electric transformers in 🇷🇺 I beat the drum endlessly, need to be addressed, taken seriously & prioritized above all others in Russia.

I have no reach, so please copy link to the 1st tweet & share 🧵widely with UA influencers.
tinyurl.com/RuPwrGrid

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More from @BruckenRuski

Mar 20
In yesterday’s 🇺🇦drone barrage of Kursk, @kromark suggested 🇷🇺EW near the 110kV substation was the target.

I’ll bite!

EW=RADAR to non-military types

Look at this post from December 2022, when Kursk AFB jet fuel storage tanks were the target for 🇺🇦

16 mo later LPTs are HVTs?
I have no reservations for scorched earth in 🇷🇺out 250km from 🇺🇦, w/ systematic destruction of 🇷🇺grid the backbone to this ‘drone sanctions’ enforced DMZ.

Value of this approach has been dismissed by so called ‘experts’ since day 1, unless it was explicitly military or fuel🎯
It is also dismissed by those claiming russia’s massive strikes on the🇺🇦grid was a ‘failure’ bc 🇷🇺 had no ‘military victories’. Apparently loss of industrial capacity and civilians is not ‘military victory’ enough for the western jarhead?
Read 8 tweets
Mar 6
How big & how much power do LPTs "transform" in large transmission hubs found in Russia?

Enough that you need 3 massive single phase LPTs, plus a redundant set to convert 750kv to 500kV or 500kV to 330kV or 220kV.

You can build to do "3x" through a pair of 3-phase for 220->110.
What is a "phase"? Those are the 3 big bundles of cables you see on transmission towers, each carrying a third of the AC power as it cycles 180 degrees from the others. R/G/W above.

Most 0rc 500/220kV stations have at least 1 additional 1-phase LPT on site, some 2. BLACK wire. Image
What are these?

Reactive Compensation, either 500kV or 750kV.

They don't convert voltages & are used for long distance transmission. They are single phase (RGW) & cost several million dollars each.

They are found in almost all 0rc stations, often equal to number of circuits. Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 7
🧵What's in Gubkin & consistent with reported 🇺🇦 UAV drone activity that occurred in "Belgorod" on February 6?

The critical, newly built Gubkin 330kv TS (grid hub), opposite the Metallurgicheskaya TS which 🔥

Hot Targets needing repeat hits to destroy their transformers...
1/7
Image
Gubkin TS

51.3157, 37.6425

Estimated Transformer Value: $12,330,000

(2) Two 330/110/035kV 3-Phase, 3-Winding Transformer

(1) One 110/035/xx kV 3-Phase, 3-Winding Transformer
2/7 Image
Lebedi TS - 330/110kV

51.2121, 37.6015

Estimated Transformer Value: $16,440,000

(3) Three 330/110/035kV 3-Phase, 3-Winding Transformer
3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 6
It is still not clear that Ukrainian leaders understand that russia's electric network is primarily there to support its oil & gas production, with civilian use low on the list of priorities.

Major grid hub transformers are infinitely more valuable than 10-40k barrel fuel tanks. Image
So much for claims 0rcs can't produce transformers for their export nuclear power plants.

To date, ~3 transformers of the size made at Siemens Voronezh have burned by UA, while none of largest size made at Toshiba Power Machines in St. Petersburg.

pmtt.ru/%d0%b3%d0%bb%d…
Image
What lead me down this pathway... a post regarding a meeting of @interrao CEO Boris Kovalchuk and Putin, highlighting non-events & trivialities occurring in Europe, missing InterRao's place in supporting the occupation since 2014 & war machine currently.

en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Read 5 tweets
Jul 30, 2023
Our Responsibility🧵
It was never my position to criticize the emotional feelings & outrage of Ukrainians, of whom I have 0 personal experience of my country being destroyed or my people being genocided, let alone direct connection to Ukraine prior to the full-scale invasion. 1/x Image
I only wish I was better at channeling these justified & purely human outbursts for vengeance into a narrative Ukrainians could use to mobilize support from those outside Ukraine. 2/x Image
To demand our leaders, give AFU everything it needs, including the permission to use weapons we supply against targets they deem threats to Ukraine on russian soil. 3/x
Read 13 tweets
Jul 15, 2023
🧵My prediction on impacts of General Zaluzhnyi's @CinC_AFU statements in @washingtonpost regarding US/UK lead Rules of Engagement for supplied weapon systems use/prohibition against any/all targets on/over Russian soil ...
1/12 Image
tldr: Western Influencers & Experts -
"Ukrainians are proven to be unbreakable, there's nothing for us to do here, and they've got this one too!"
2/12
Sad Reality - Western Experts & Influencers will read Zaluzhni's very clear statements as...
"If the West refuses to untie our hands [change its Rules of Engagement], then we will produce our own advanced weapons to strike targets inside russia we deem as threats to us."
3/12
Read 12 tweets

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