1. Have sold Vapi Unit to Adani for ₹835crore which will help in capex, have 200 crore cash after deal 2. repaid its entire debt taken from various Financial Institutions 3. Promoters are buying at levels of 53 to 56 (0.20% till now) 4. Released full promoter pledge
5. Cheap Valuation
A. PE Ratio of 15 vs Container Corp PE ratio of 40
B. EVEBITDA of 7-7.5 which is the same valuation at which Adani bought company's Vapi unit
Note : Above ratios are after removing earnings of discont biz of Vapi Unit (Cont approx 50% PAT, Revenue, EBITDA)
6. Some capex is ongoing at other locations (including commodities)
7. Adani considering buying Container Corp if it happens sector and company both will re-rate from here on
Anti Thesis
1. Very low capacity utilization of 50%
2. Headline no. in Q3 would fall by 50% due to discontinued biz which may lead to some fall in stock prices
Guidance for Next 3 years : Whatever biz lost due to sale of vapi unit will cone from new Morbi unit in next 3 yr. So approx 20% growth rate
• • •
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On Dec 5, SEBI dropped a bombshell: an Interim Order cum Show Cause Notice against Mishtann Foods (MFL).
Here's a thread 🧵
Mishtann Foods is not just cooking rice, it's cooking its books.
#Redflags #corporategovernance #mishtannfoods
The Rise and the Red Flags 🚩
Market cap: ₹1600 Cr as of Dec 4, 2024(Before SEBI Order)
2 Lower Circuit of 20% in last 2 days
Public shareholders surged 800x in 6 years
(FY18: 516 → Sep 2024: 4.23 lakh)
Promoter Hitesh Patel sold ~3 Cr shares (₹50 Cr) in Jul-Aug 2024.
Before Analysing,
Some Suspicious Metrics 📊
₹1288 Cr sales with just ₹3 Cr in fixed assets (Asset T/O: 400x!)
Margins jumped from 2% to 28% in 4 yrs
Operating cash flow? Negative for 6 yrs
₹16 Cr inventory for ₹1288 Cr sales?
Just 5 permanent employees.
Before we move ahead, Beat The Street has been front runner in exposing multiple frauds, redflags and conducting forensic analysis on multiple listed entities
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Fund Diversion
Beat The Street have raised multiple concerns on fund diversion at Varanium Cloud - some of those have been noted by even SEBI also.