1. Have sold Vapi Unit to Adani for ₹835crore which will help in capex, have 200 crore cash after deal 2. repaid its entire debt taken from various Financial Institutions 3. Promoters are buying at levels of 53 to 56 (0.20% till now) 4. Released full promoter pledge
5. Cheap Valuation
A. PE Ratio of 15 vs Container Corp PE ratio of 40
B. EVEBITDA of 7-7.5 which is the same valuation at which Adani bought company's Vapi unit
Note : Above ratios are after removing earnings of discont biz of Vapi Unit (Cont approx 50% PAT, Revenue, EBITDA)
6. Some capex is ongoing at other locations (including commodities)
7. Adani considering buying Container Corp if it happens sector and company both will re-rate from here on
Anti Thesis
1. Very low capacity utilization of 50%
2. Headline no. in Q3 would fall by 50% due to discontinued biz which may lead to some fall in stock prices
Guidance for Next 3 years : Whatever biz lost due to sale of vapi unit will cone from new Morbi unit in next 3 yr. So approx 20% growth rate
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Fund Diversion
Beat The Street have raised multiple concerns on fund diversion at Varanium Cloud - some of those have been noted by even SEBI also.
The global consumption of refined copper has exhibited a remarkable upward trend over the past century, growing from 0.5 million metric tonnes in 1900 to approximately 25 million tonnes in 2020.
According to the USGS, copper reserves amounted to around 890 Mt in 2022.