Keep in mind, the frontline is constantly moving and positions are changing hands.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack around Stel'makhivka. Wargonzo reported RU attacks on Stel'makhivka and Dzherelne which made me retract the RU line from the town and move in the UA forward line to include the town.
Last night there were people asking for information about RU troop movement along the road indicated in magenta. The AFU shelled Svatove all night, in the area of the train station, possibly giving the reinforcements a warm welcome.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Bilohorivka. I assume the attack was made by the newly arrived Lada lottery contenders of the 7th regiment of the so called LNR. No news regarding Kreminna.
Wargonzo reports attacks in the direction of Rozdolivka, Vesele and Vyimka.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Soledar, Ivanivske (must be in the direction of) and Klishchiivka. There might be some small gains by the RU on the eastern side, but nothing confirmed.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Kam'yanka, Vesele, Avdiivka, Krasnohorivka and Mar'inka. RuAF are constantly pushing for the encirclement of Avdiivka without success.
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?