Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today.
RU forces continue to shell civilian areas with absolutely no military value in the Chernihiv, Sumy, Kharkiv and Kherson region for the sole purpose of being assholes.
Kreminna - Sivers'k
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Nevs'ke, Chervonopopivka and Bilohorivka. I do not believe there is any major change in this area.
One thing should be noted, the last few days UA general staff have reported an increased amount of vehicles destroyed. I think it's possible some of these are indications of counter attacks in the Svatove area.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bilohorivka, Soledar Bakhmutske, Pidhorodne, Bakhmut and Klishchiivka. RuAF are making incremental gains in this area, both RuAF and AFU are allocating huge resources for the Bakhmut fight, and it is costly for both sides.
Donetsk, home of the donkey lovers.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of New York (yes really), Krasnohorivka, Vesele, Avdiivka and Mar'inka.
As can be seen around Avdiivka, Ru forces have been advancing and trying to encircle Avdiivka for years. This tells us a little bit about their abilities to capture heavily fortified towns. This also give us an indicator for the future of Bakhmut.
RU MoD claim RuAF have captured Dorozhnianka, I assume they mean the actual settlement and not the old ruins marked as Dorozhnyanka (which they wrote). I think this is possible, t.me/mod_russia_en/…
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The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility.
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances.
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992