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Jan 1, 2023 14 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Ukraine Update🧵 January 1st

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Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today. As can be seen here, even if there are rumors of RuAF having some ammo issues, they still have enough to harass the civilian population around Kherson and Kharkiv city.
Weather by @davidhelms570
A bit of rain/snow expected at the end of the first week of the year.
Overview images

Keep in mind, the frontline is constantly moving and positions are changing hands.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack around Stel'makhivka. RU MoD reports fighting in the area of the magenta polygon. I believe over all the AFU is making incremental gains in the Svatove area.
Kreminna- Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshchanka and Bilohorivka. I adjusted the contested area a bit west of Kreminna. It seems RU forces are able to operate further west than previously though.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Soledar, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut and Ozarianivka. There might be some minor RU gains north of Bakhmut, but it seems AFU might have pushed back RuAF slightly in the Ozarianivka area.
Monkey town
The AFU repulsed attacks around Marinka and Pobjeda. Not much of interest is coming out of Marinka since RuAF stopped lying about progress there.
I have changed Dorozhnyanka from captured to contested, RU MoD reported it was captured yesterday, but there seems to be conflicting reports by Wargonzo.
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Satellite image from Kinburn peninsula.
Top image is from yesterday and show some destruction along the shore. Bottom image is reference image from April. 46.536, 31.581

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More from @DefMon3

Oct 11
The only reason for them to be there is for them to be spotted there. This is part of Russian hybrid warfare escalations.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182 Image
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop.
news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Read 5 tweets
Sep 12
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings. Image
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459 Image
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Read 12 tweets
Aug 9
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ. Image
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jul 8
Grok canceling vatniks 🤣 Image
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Read 32 tweets
Jul 5
This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
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Read 9 tweets

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