Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 1 6 tweets 4 min read
@lordwhorfin @JayinKyiv The US Army & USMC has had a consistent 1 death to 10 wounded ratio since ~2010 thanks to blood clotting bandages & squad level lifesaver training.

The terms of art are "Platinum 5-minutes" for life saver care & "Golden hour" for getting wounded to hospital level trauma care
1/
@lordwhorfin @JayinKyiv The Vietnam era US Army was tracking 1 dead to 4 wounded ratio with only 1960's Golden hour trauma are.

The difference is not just early blood clotting bandages & the training to use same in the squad.

21st century trauma care has a lot more whole blood.
2/
@lordwhorfin @JayinKyiv Something like 7 units of blood are used in gunshot wound cases in 21st century US inner city and military combat hospitals.

This prodigious use of whole blood saves lives.

3/
@lordwhorfin @JayinKyiv The reports I've read associated with Russian Army whole blood supply chains is the small 9 volt car/truck refrigerators used to move whole blood towards the battlefield & forward combat hospitals have been systematically looted.

4/
@lordwhorfin @JayinKyiv Hence my 2 to 3 dead to wounded across the whole Ukraine front and places like Bakhmut with Wagner penal troops/Mobiks at something like 1-to-1.

5/5

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Jan 3
Well, this sure supports my contention that Russian Mobiks lack the cold weather waterproof boots, and the clothing, to prevent trench foot and frostbite.

1/8
I've had a thread previously on non-combat/non-battle casualties where I addressed what was required to prevent mass cold injuries from trench foot & frostbite.

2/8
What has become apparent in the last few days is the Russian Army, rather than providing Mobiks with cold weather gear, is putting them in concentrated numbers in large public buildings in occupied Ukraine to prevent most of those injuries prior to committing them to battle.

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Jan 3
One of the pleasures of going WW2 historical research on General Douglas MacArthur's Section 22 radar hunters in the Southwest Pacific is the scope it gives you for looking at WW2.

Today's surprise involved Germany & Allied intelligence limitations.

1/9 Image
It turns out that the various Allied signals and radio intelligence organizations traded notes a lot. Case in point was the mapping of German very high frequency (VHF) radios.

I own quite a few WW2 references and this is the first time I've found a table as useful as this:
2/9 Image
And there is a similar table for the Luftwaffe.

3/9 Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 2
This is going to be an extended 🧵on consequences of Russian casualty rates on its culture and what it means for Russo-Ukrainian War termination.

What was notable about the 2014-to-2015 Donbass War/ATO was that more Russian troops were killed than the total number of...
1/
...Ukrainian civilians and AFU personnel killed by the Russians.

That is statistically unusual (see below), although the civilian vs. AFU deaths in the current war follow a similar pattern to other conflicts.


2/
A lot of Russia's losses appear to reflect the past pattern of the 1990's Chechnya campaigns, with AFU soldiers & Ukrainian government officials commenting on Russian tactics being based on Chechnya.

See:
Why the Russian Military Failed in Chechnya
globalsecurity.org/military/libra…
3/ Image
Read 23 tweets
Jan 2
Below is the beginning of a seven tweet analysis thread on the Ukrainian GMLRS strike at #Makeevka in occupied #Donetsk.

This 🧵and other sources are making 150 total Russian dead there on the very low end of possibility.

1/5
This is one of those sources.

Censor.NЕТ is referencing a Ukrainian National Resistance Centre report of the collapse of the Russian Army medical system in #Melitopol & the entirety of the occupied #LuhanskOblast region.

#Donetsk won't be better.

2/5
censor.net/en/news/339072…
Next the Department of Strategic Communications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (StratCom) on Telegram is reporting that "...about 400 mobilised Russians were killed and about 300 more invaders were wounded with varying degrees of severity."

3/5
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/…
Read 6 tweets
Jan 2
Useful BDA thread by @osint_east.👇

The scene reminds me of the 1988 Armenian earthquake and its building collapse victims.

See:
The 1988 earthquake in Soviet Armenia: a case study
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2142590/
1/6
Text from the link:

"Out of a population of 8,500, there were 4,202 (49.4%) deaths and 1,244 (14.6%) injured (casualty rate, 64.0%). Deaths and injuries were 67 and 11 times higher, respectively, among trapped than nontrapped victims. Being outside at the time of the...

2/6
...earthquake or having escaped to the outside from the collapsing structure was crucial for survival. Among persons found alive, 89% were rescued during the first 24 hours, mostly without the use of heavy equipment. This observation underscores the importance of swift...
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jan 1
Since we had a Shahed-136 drone swarm assault Kyiv on New Years.

It is a good time to resurface this 40 tweet threat analysis thread from October 2022 on the Shahed-136 threat and the need for a lot of cheap air defenses to deal with it.

1/
Ukraine in Jan 2023 now has more cheap gun based defenses with an LED tech reversion to WW2 spotlights for night engagement of Shahed-136.

2/
Nor are those the only cheap gun systems Ukraine has deployed since October 2022.

All of these gun trucks and mounts are networked together with Ukraines "Uber-like" distributed air defense alert software that assigns drone tracks to the nearest AAA asset.
3/
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(