Ty Keynes Profile picture
Jan 4, 2023 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Loanable Fund vs Endogenous Money.

A short film stylized in an old fashion silent movie-type format and utilizing the #Minsky #systemdynamics software.

Download Minsky for free: sourceforge.net/projects/minsk… (1/16)
Let's start with what you learn in the textbooks and hear on the news. It's the loanable fund's fallacy. (2/16)
The aggregate banking sector is broken into 4 accounts.

1. Reserves (Assets)
2. Customer1 Deposits (Liability)
3. Customer2 Deposits (Liability)
4 Bank Equity (Equity)

Note the initial conditions under each account. (3/16)
Image
Notice all rows must balance to zero, as per the rule of double-entry bookkeeping. The loanable fund's fantasy says customer 1 loans to customer 2. (4/16) Image
Since the bank facilitates this loan, they charge customer 2 interest. (5/16) Image
The bank kindly pays a portion of the interest to customer 1. (6/16) Image
The loan is repaid and the cycle begins all over again. (7/16) Image
Other than being fundamentally flawed as pointed out in the 2014 Bank of England paper titled: "Money Creation in a Modern Economy". (8/16)

The loanable funds model fails to address aggregate demand in the economy via the money creation process. (9/16)
Now let's take a look at how bank loans really work using endogenous money theory. First, we have to add a new account called "Issued Loans". (10/16) Image
The bank issues a loan, but this time it creates an asset under "Issued Loans". At the same time, the bank simultaneously creates a liability by marking up "Customer 1 Deposits". (11/16) Image
As before customer 2 pays interest to the bank for the loan. (12/16) Image
Finally, the loan is paid back to the bank canceling out both the asset and the liability. (13/16) Image
Imagine opening your monthly bank statement and seeing all your money is gone because it was loaned out! That's what neoclassical economists would have you believe with their loanable funds model. (14/16)
This school of thought forces us to reduce (or slow the growth) of the money supply during economic slumps. Thus reducing aggregate demand right when that demand is needed. (15/16)
This also creates an environment where too much lending happens in boom times, causing financial bubbles and system instability. (16/16)

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More from @TyKeynes

Sep 10, 2023
Macroeconomic Price Level Theories.

I've been trying to develop a coherent set of equations for the price level in my #systemdynamics model.

My conclusion on the matter: Its important to understand that these theories are not mutually exclusive. 🧵Thread 1/8 Current price level equations for the draft Economics Biophysical Dynamic Model.
Quantity Theory of Money (QTM):

QTM suggests that the price level is directly linked to the money supply. More money = higher prices (assuming other factors remain constant). It's a fundamental idea in monetary economics.🧵Thread 2/8 Nicolaus Copernicus
Monetarism:

Monetarists, like Milton Friedman, stress the importance of controlling the money supply growth rate to maintain stable prices. They argue that excessive money growth leads to inflation.🧵Thread 3/8 Milton Friedman
Read 8 tweets
Sep 7, 2023
I'm about 80% done my National Economic #systemdynamics model, Still have some subsystems that need to be added.

Should have a beta version for download (Using Minsky software) sometime in the next week on my Patreon page. 🧵Thread 1/16
It's stock flow consistent with a foreign sector. There is over 300 variables and parameters at this point. and about 90 feedback loops. I have 17 units of measure including time. 🧵2/16
I found it important to include both domestic and foreign bond holders, as this very much impacts currency values. 🧵3/16 Image
Read 16 tweets
May 8, 2023
Can we spend our way to a greener future? The World models demonstrate we can't. GDP and CO2 (and other pollutants) fit pretty tightly. We might just spend our way into a climate disaster. Let's be clear were sacrificing our existence for a material standard of living.🧵1/4 Image
In the world model, if I increase capital investment in the aggregate by 25% in 2025, I am able to maintain the material standard of living at the cost of the biosphere. Notice the food ratio does not increase with the additional capital investments. 🧵2/4 Image
Now if I reduce capital investment in aggregate in 2025 by 25%, sure we lose our all-important coping mechanism in the material standard of living, but notice our food ratio holds steady. 🧵3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
May 8, 2023
A little message for "some of you economists out there". Let’s say you borrow $100,000 to build a home and the homebuilder banks at your bank. The bank ends up with a $100,000 asset and a $100,000 liability (the loan and the deposit – loans create deposits). 🧵 Thread 1/14
The homebuilder will end up with $100,000 in retained earnings and you will end up with $100,000 in debt. If you net out the investment then the private sector has no change in financial assets and you might presume the private sector is no better off than it was before. 🧵 2/14
Remember, your $100,000 investment resulted in $100,000 in saving for the home builder. But are we actually no better off than we were before?  Of course not. You have a new home. 🧵Thread 3/14
Read 14 tweets
Feb 5, 2023
Bonds always finance government spending, which is beyond what the balance is in the "Treasury Account" at the Central Bank. Governments DO NOT create reserves, and Governments DO NOT create deposits. #Page1 #MMT
Let’s start with the assumption that the Gov wants to spend $60 billion, but the treasury account only has a $50 billion balance in it. I will also assume by law the treasury account cannot go negative to adhere to some self-imposed law. #Page2
To address this issue the Treasury will “create bonds” to cover the shortfall in the treasury account. Gov only creates IOUs. The first issue is there is not enough reserves in the banking sector to buy the bonds. #Page3
Read 13 tweets
Dec 20, 2022
I have been reading some comments from the #MMT community about @AnnPettifor latest blog in relation to taxes that don't fund government spending but bonds do. I think I can reconcile both Ann's position and MMTs. It is true taxes are collected after gov spending (1/6)
Even coming from a non MMT position, it is obvious the tax collection and spending never match, as spending bills are announced and some plan of tax rates are proposed to balance the gov spending after the fact. (2/6)
Where I believe Ann is right, and before I go in more detail the terminology and process differs from country to country. Bonds are auctioned off a week in advance to cover any sort falls in the gov account at the CB. (3/6)
Read 6 tweets

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