BudgIT Nigeria Profile picture
Jan 5 10 tweets 4 min read
Dear Nigerians,

@MBuhari has asked @nassnigeria to approve the securitization of FG's N22.7tn debt to @cenbank.

Is it legal for @nassnigeria to approve the request of the FG to securitize the Ways & Means, which goes against the CBN Act?

Thread!
Since 2015, the FG has asked @cenbank to provide advances to fund its fiscal deficit without any requirement for cost-cutting measures/fiscal control. The law stipulates that such advances should be limited to 5% of the previous year's revenues. This law has not been followed.
Also, Section 38 of the CBN Act mandates the FG to repay all advances made by the CBN to it at the end of the financial year in which the advances were received. Failure to repay the advances in full implies that the FG will not be eligible for further advances by the CBN.
While FG has continuously breached the CBN Act, it now seeks the @nassnigeria’s approval to offload N22.7tn debt for 40 years at a 9% interest rate. Findings have shown that it will be difficult to sell such debt at the specified rate.
Currently, the FG has been on a borrowing binge as domestic debt increased from N8.3tn in June 2015 to N21.6tn as of June 2022, & foreign debt rose from $10b in 2015 to $39.66b in 2022.
Similarly, interest paid in Ways and Means (CBN Debt to FG) grew from N9.51b in 2017 to N1.22tn in 2021. In the meantime. the CBN's new debt adds at least N2.5tn annually to Nigeria’s debt servicing costs.
According to a recent MTF, Nigeria's debt servicing cost is projected to reach N10tn in 2025. If National Assembly approves this action, FG's public debt will rise from its current state by 59% - from $89.5b to $142b.
In 2021, FG used 91% of its N4.64tn revenue to service public debt. Unless something drastic happens with revenue growth, the FG will spend more on servicing debt. This has implications for inflation, economic confidence, higher interest rates & weakened exchange rates.
Is it legal for the National Assembly to approve the request of the Federal Government to securitise the Ways and Means, which is in clear breach of the CBN Act? More importantly, what were the borrowings used for? #AskQuestion #GetInvolved
See Section 38 for further clarification👇

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More from @BudgITng

Dec 13, 2022
We conducted an analysis on the quality of @nassnigeria’s FG Budget reviews. Our findings point to gross abuse of appropriation powers, fueling inefficiency & waste that contribute to poor service delivery and ineffective economic policy.

See more: yourbudgit.com/data/ 1/5
1,522 projects with a cumulative cost of N186.61bn were inserted into the #2022budget of @FmardNg. Key allocations to projects that are crucial to achieving the strategic goal of the Nat Devt Plan were drastically reduced to create fiscal space for the @nassnigeria insertions.2/5
Worrisomely, a number of projects in the 2022 approved budget can be directly linked to principal officers of the National Assembly. It would seem that National Assembly members are becoming more emboldened to put their names on public projects funded with taxpayers' money. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Dec 12, 2022
How is the @NigeriaGov improving public procurement? Is SFTAS intervention working?

According to the @WorldBank SFTAS assessment report, only 15 of 36 states met the DLI 6.1 requirement, while 16 met the DLI 6.2 requirement and published data on all contracts awarded.

Thread!
Let’s take a step back to understand open contracting!

Open contracting is a system of procurement that allows disclosure of procurement data at all stages and engagement and feedback from other stakeholders. #FixOurOil
To improve public procurement, the @NigeriaGov created a portal that allows the increase and disclosure of procurement information to all stakeholders to ensure efficient service delivery, improved transparency, and accountability. #FixOurOil
Read 8 tweets
Nov 1, 2022
Hello Nigerians,

President @MBuhari has proposed a record budget of N20.51tn for the 2023 fiscal year. This is anchored on a revenue projection of N9.73tn & a deficit of N10.78tn. The budget, If approved, will be 19.80% higher than the N17.12tn approved for 2022.

Thread
Of the total N20.51tn, debt service has the highest allocation of N6.31trn, while personnel cost and capital expenditure will gulp N4.99tn & N4.93tn, respectively. N744.11b has been earmarked for statutory transfer, of which the @nassnigeria & @njcNig will receive N159b & N150b.
To finance the budget, the Federal Government projects an oil production of 1.69 million barrels per day at $70 per barrel. The projected GDP growth will be at 3.75% with an exchange rate of N435.57/$ and an inflation rate of 17.16%.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 31, 2022
@BudgITng, in collaboration with @oxfam, continues to advocate for accountability and transparency in the extractive sector through #opencontracting. #FixOurOil

Thread!
Open contracting is a procurement method that supports feedback and increases competition among potential contractors. It is crucial for transparency purposes and will help prevent fraud and corruption. #FixOurOil
Countries worldwide are adopting open contracting to promote best practices for public procurement disclosures and participation. Nigeria is one of the countries making great efforts to increase contract transparency. #FixOurOil
Read 7 tweets
Aug 26, 2022
All you should know about FG's allocation to the security sector in 2022.

Let's start with the Nigerian Army's budget which stood at N580bn.

Of this amount, the agency planned to spend N2.4bn on ammunition, N3.35bn on ADV weapons simulator and N3bn on accommodation.

Thread! Image
Let's take a step backwards.

FG's total budget for security in 2022 stood at N2.7tn. Of this amount, personnel cost raked in N1.98tn while capital expenditure stood at N329bn. Image
A further breakdown shows the amount earmarked for each security outfit.

Defence: N1.19tn
Ministry of Interior: N297.1bn
Police: N783bn and the
Office of the NSA: N212.7bn. Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 25, 2022
Dear @MBuhari,

Between Jan & Apr 2022 alone, Nigeria spent >100% of its revenue on debt service, surpassing IMF's prediction for 2026.

This is amidst growing subsidy payments and a 13-month high inflation of 17.7% that has pushed many into poverty.

We are concerned.

Thread!
In our Consultation Memo released in Feb 2022, we highlighted several reform issues bordering on Nigeria’s public financial management that affect the very core of governance, separation of powers, expenditure efficiency, and the livelihoods of millions of Nigerians;
...83 million of whom live in extreme poverty.

4 months later, some of those challenges still persist, with additional ones that-if not properly managed, would fiscal crisis for an already impoverished nation.
Read 13 tweets

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