More than 80 Russians were killed during Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a school in occupied Lantrativka, Luhansk oblast of Ukraine. Not mobiks, but civilian contractors, who came there to dig trenches and build fortifications.🧵about our new OSINT investigation with @pustota
The strike on Lantrativka happened on Dec. 16th, at 3-4 AM. 3 GMRLS rockets nearly destroyed the building. "LPR" authorities reported 11 civilian casualties. t.me/LPR_JCCC/7805 The village is 20 km from the Russian border and 30 km from Ukrainian positions.
On Sunday, Jan 8th, Ukrainian bloger Anatolii Sharii published a video from the school filmed before the strike. First he called the strike "2nd Makiivka" (where several hundreds of Russian mobiks were killed).
Later on, Sharii resorted to a new theory – that a civilian contractors hired to dig trenches for Russian troops were lodged in the school. We found photos of that trenches on VK and geolocated them near Lantrativka at 49.963679, 38.281460 @geoconfirmed.
These trenches and fortifications can be seen on @planet sat images too, appeared there between Nov. 15th and Dec. 5th.
(Original @planet images, Nov. 15th, Dec. 5th and Jan. 8th.)
We spoke to the man who posted the trenches photos. He told us he came from Russia, after seing an ad on social media. Ads recruiting people to dig trenches in Donbass were reported back in December (t.me/mozhemobyasnit…)
This guy was lucky: his employer, "StroyKom" company, lodged them not in Lantrativka, but in Valuiki, in nearby Belgorod region of Russia. Every day there were brought to dig trenches on buses.
We geolocated the place were those workers stayed in Belgorod – former "Sakura" restaurant and club (50.206474, 38.105673).
This worker told us that most casualties in Lantrativka strike were workers too. "2 buses from Novosibirsk came at the same time we did. Roofers, carpenters. 3 HIMARS rockets, 11 official casualties, 84 unofficial".
He shared a previously unpublished photo of the aftermath of the strike, which he received from one of his friends. "Masters room have been completely blown to shreds", he says. Unfortunately, we were not able to confirm 84 casualties figure independently.
We also found other photos and videos of the trenches in that area. Some workers seem to be armed with the AKs.
Mudwatch, season 3.
On this video another worker says that people of different professions gathered together to dig trenches – from carpenters to plumbers. "Where the f**k are we?" – narrator asks. In Ukraine, guys, so watch yourself.
Our guy told us that recently they were evacuated from Lantrativka and their jobs were terminated "because fighting started in that area". He says after the HIMARS strike he’s afraid to come back to Ukraine.
What about salaries? Is it worthy to risk life by digging trenches on the occupied Ukrainian land? Yes: the received $90/10 hours shift, which is not bad at all for Russia.
"StroyKom" still hires people for the job like this – now to dig trenches and build fortifications in occupied part of Zaporizhzhia region (archive.is/BNUHX). The company, BTW, participated in construction of the infamous Crimea Bridge.
Another disputed question is if these civilian contractors can be qualified as a legitimate military targets. In case with trenches the answer is probably "yes", cause this kind of job is an "effective contribution to military action". hrw.org/news/2022/02/2…
1/5 An important P.S. to my Valdai thread. This clearly demonstrates that any piece agreements with Putin’s Russia don’t cost the paper they're written on. One day he will simply fabricate a pretext to breach any agreement without hesitation, regardless how absurd it will look.
2/5 The '91 drones targeting Putin’s residence' stunt was a way to pressure Ukraine (I really hope – and want to believe – this was not coordinated between the U.S. and Russia). Not a big deal by itself, but a reminder that Russian false-flag ops or psyops like this are common.
3/5 With a peace agreement, you can buy a year or less of breathing space. In 1938–1939, it was barely several months for Czechoslovakia – time that Britain bought through Chamberlain's policy of appeasement.
A @Planet satellite image of Novorossiysk taken today shows the aftermath of the Ukrainian underwater drone attack on a Russian Kilo-class submarine. Still hard to conduct a precise BDA, but at least we can see that the explosion occurred approximately 20 m from the vessel.
A still, high-resolution @Planet satellite image of the port of Novorossiysk showing damage from a Ukrainian submersible drone, taken today, Dec. 16, at 8:18 a.m. local time.
@planet Interestingly, back in 2021, Russia used this exact pier to place specially trained dolphins, which were later moved to Sevastopol. Good for them! (Although these dolphins are trained specifically to prevent attacks like the ones carried out by Ukraine.)
⚛️🇹🇷🧵Next year, Turkey’s 1st nuclear power plant, Akkuyu – built by Russia’s state-owned Rosatom – is finally set to go live after years of delays and scandals. Among its staff, we found a former GRU psyops officer. Our new investigation with @pustota exposes the full story 🔽
Meet Maxim Balabanov, who served for nearly 10 years, until 2017, in military unit 03126 in Leningrad Oblast – a SUPsO (psyops) unit of the Leningrad Military District.
He also listed as one of his addresses the location of another GRU unit, 20697 (St. Petersburg). As was discovered back in 2023, unit 20697 is another GRU psyops unit, whose officers pretended to act as politologysts and experts in their 'civic' life. ms.detector.media/internet/post/…
1/3 Finally, our investigation, together with @pustota, revealing several participants of the recent far-right and fascist organizations forum in St. Petersburg who did not want to be identified – including Hamburg Bürgerschaft MP Robert Risch from the AfD svoboda.org/a/rossiyskaya-…
2/3 Special thanks to @MackjackMaier for quickly revealing Risch’s identity, and kudos to the Belgian nationalists of 'Nation,' who accidentally shared his unblurred photo.
🧵/ link in the last post. Have you ever wanted to know where the infamous Russian 'Rubicon' drone center is based – and who commands it? Thanks to my colleagues @pustota, @legal0ve, and open sources (including Russian Tsar-Propagandist Vladimir Solovyov), we now know.
First of all, 'Rubicon' is not technically a military unit; it isn’t associated with any, has no publicly known registered entity, and its head’s name has never been disclosed.
Luckily, I found two letters of gratitude that 'Rubicon' sent to the Bratskoye Serdtse ('Brotherly Heart') charity, which is run by former members of the FSB and SVR. In them, you can see the surname and initials of Rubicon’s commander – S.V. Budnikov. фонд-братское-сердце.рф/upload/iblock/…
1/5 One of the Geran-2/Shahed-136 drones downed in Kyiv today had a catapult mount supplied by Chinese company less than 2 months ago, on 23rd of May. 46 days earlier, on April 9-11, the company, Suzhou Ecod Precision Manufacturing, took part in the St. Petersburg Technical fair.
3/5 Suzhou Ecod Precision Manufacturing was one of only two Chinese companies that took part in the St. Petersburg fair. The other one, Suzhou Hongyishan, specializes on 'standard and non-standard industrial parts, pneumatic and hydraulic components'. Neither of the 2 sanctioned.