Mark Krutov Profile picture
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Views of my own. RT = interesting. Read the whole threads before replying. Email krotovm@rferl.org for inquiries.
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Mar 11 24 tweets 7 min read
🧵A Russian diplomat, pressured to leave Brussels amid espionage allegations, has been nominated for a key role in the OSCE. Another 19 diplomats were expelled too, with open sources clearly showing their ties to Russian intelligence (and yes, they liked posting on Strava). Image But first things first: meet Dmitry Iordanidi, a former deputy head of the @OSCE mission to Bosnia-Herzegovina with deep experience in the Balkans, who was nominated by Moscow to lead the organization’s mission to Serbia. Image
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Feb 27 19 tweets 7 min read
🧵/ link in the last post. Remember Bosnian Serb Davor Savičić, who recruited Serbs to fight in Ukraine? Using a leaked database of Russian WIAs, we found he’s a GRU colonel with personal tag V-0001 ('V' for 'Волки' – 'Wolves' – as his battalion was named after his callsign). Image It's well known that both 'private' military companies where Savičić fought, 'Wagner' & ‘Redut,’ were overseen by GRU (GU GSH). Previous investigations found several GRU staffers there, but it was never revealed that Savičić is a GRU colonel himself
Feb 21 20 tweets 6 min read
🧵With my colleagues, we analyzed the Russian Main Military Medical Directorate's database on 166,000 hospitalizations in Russian MoD facilities (Jan 2022–June 2024). It's incomplete but offers insights into the Russian army's dynamics. svoboda.org/a/tysyach-rane… First things first: THIS DATABASE SHOULD NOT BE USED TO ESTIMATE TOTALS. It doesn't have those hospitalized to civilian hospitals, very limited number of wounded in 'DNR' and 'LNR' hospitals, etc. Thanks to @MassDara and @Mortis_Banned for their comments on the data we studied.
Feb 11 22 tweets 7 min read
🧵/ Link in the last post. How much information can one get from a single blurred-out police video with the help of OSINT? Let’s find out together. No BS – we're talking 'possible precursors to chemical weapons or nerve agents' here, destined for Russia and seized in Spain. Back in October 2024, Spanish police reported the seizure of 13 tons of 'chemical products' in the port of Barcelona, destined for Russia. It was claimed to be the result of a two-year-long special operation. 4 people were arrested.
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Jan 10 5 tweets 2 min read
🧵Timur Praliev, arresred in the U.S. for illegally crossing the border from Mexico, received an official 'combat veteran ID' as a 'former Wagner fighter' less than a month ago, as we found together with @Mike_Eckel and @CarlSchreck. Image A photo of Praliev receiving his veteran ID was posted on VK on Dec. 12th. The event took place in Bashkortostan: . We found Praliev's empty VK acc., which lists the same YOB as in the U.S. court docs (1993), and one of his friends confirmed that it is him.archive.is/jYw10
Dec 14, 2024 4 tweets 2 min read
1/2 Comparison of Dec. 5 and Dec. 10 HR @Planet satellite images of the Russian airbase in Al-Jufra, Libya, shows an Il-76 loading/unloading, as well as newly appeared objects which I hesitate to ID (maybe radars?) 2/2 Exactly one year ago, in December 2023, the Al-Jufra base was attacked, resulting in damage to a Russian Il-76 plane.
Dec 12, 2024 18 tweets 7 min read
🧵/ Link in the last post. Remember the recent WaPo piece about Russia expanding its secret biological lab complex near Moscow? With @pustota, we proved that a Russian defense minister personally inspected it. We also found renders, images of the construction and inside the lab. Image
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The new biolabs are part of the 48th Central Scientific Research Institute of the Russian Ministry of Defense. First, we found this image of the new facility on the website of the construction company responsible for the finishing works. archive.is/3t3ppImage
Dec 2, 2024 7 tweets 3 min read
🧵/ link in the last post. Together with @Mike_Eckel and help from @C4ADS, we found that a Chinese company, which recently acquired a US plant in California and whose shares trade on the Swiss stock exchange, has shipped electronics to sanctioned Russian firms linked to military. Image Not only were electronics produced by this company found in Russian guided aerial bombs in Ukraine, but some shipments were also made to the infamous FSB unit 34435, an employer of the 'poisoning squad' responsible for the 2020 poisoning of Russian dissident Alexey Navalny. Image
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Nov 26, 2024 6 tweets 4 min read
1/2 Not only did the Russian MoD acknowledge for the first time that ATACMS hit their targets, but also published photos of the rockets, one taken near the 'Pantsir' installed at Khalino air base in July and visible in a @planet satellite image from Nov. 2nd. Image 2/2 More photos of the ATACMS missile parts from the Russian MoD, taken in Khalino (t.me/mod_russia/462…) and Lotarevka (t.me/mod_russia/462…), where the S-400 missile system was hit. Image
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Nov 21, 2024 5 tweets 3 min read
1/2 Just a small bit of OSINT on Russia's new 'Oreshnik' MRBM, allegedly used to strike Dnipro (per Putin): I found the exactly the same part on the Russian govt procurement site. Docs from 2013 show it's also used for the S-30 'Bulava' SLBM. tenderguru.ru/tender/10388996Image 2/2 The 'ИРЦУ' marking is used by the Central Research Institute of Automation and Hydraulics (TsNIIAG) and can also be found in the procurement records of the Votkinsk Plant, which assembles the 'Topol-M,' 'Yars,' and other Russian strategic missiles. star-pro.ru/proverka-kontr…Image
Oct 16, 2024 17 tweets 7 min read
🧵1/7 A quick thread: finding yet another 'Pantsir' in Moscow Oblast in 10 minutes with the help of OSINT. (The ad on the pole says, 'Will buy any car'😆) Image 2/7 Yesterday, I added a few more crowdsourced 'Pantsirs' to my map of post-2022 air defense systems installed in Moscow and Moscow Oblast after the first Ukrainian drone attack on the Russian capital, and I noticed a 'ring' pattern in their placement.
Sep 23, 2024 46 tweets 15 min read
🧵/ link in the last post. With @Maja_Zivanovic & @MilosKatic, we spoke to a Serbian mercenary who fought for Russia in Ukraine from Nov '22 to June '23. He revealed poor training, tensions with Russian commanders, and shell companies behind recruiting Serbs for the war. Image Serbs fighting for Russia since 2014 (via 'Wagner' then) isn’t new, but we seem to be the first Western media journalists to interview one. Of course, we didn’t take his words (and photos he provided) at face value; we corroborated them with other sources, including OSINT.
Sep 6, 2024 9 tweets 3 min read
🧶"They cut our money, that's a fact." 40+ pages of WhatsApp messages between U.S.-indicted Alexander Ionov and his FSB handlers depict RU agents as both funny and miserable, yet still malicious. For instance, it appears Ionov was instrumental in helping to ban @occrp in Russia. Those WhatsApp chats also suggest how Ionov and the FSB agents (who used iCloud to back up their WhatsApp data) were busted. Image
Sep 5, 2024 18 tweets 5 min read
🧵/ link in the last post. Andrey Averyanov, ex-head of GRU sabotage unit 29155, visited Israel twice before the war in Ukraine, including Feb 10, 2022, when Israeli PM Naftali Bennett urged the EU not to renew the Iran nuclear deal. Averyanov then began frequent trips to Iran. Image A leaked Russian border database shows Averyanov, linked to Skripal's poisoning, Vrbetice explosions, and Khangoshvili's assassination, visited Israel for just one day on Feb 8 and 10, 2022, ruling out 'tourism' was a purpose.
Aug 31, 2024 4 tweets 2 min read
📉1/2 Interesting case. 2 'Pantsirs' were installed near the Kubinka airfield in Moscow oblast in Aug. '23, prior to the 'Army-2023' forum. Not later than in April '24 one of them was removed, though the forum took place there that year too. HR satellite images by @planet.
2/2 You can find this and other Russian post-war air defense positions in Moscow and Moscow Oblast, including some on top of garbage piles and 'Flakturm' towers, on my dynamic map here: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
Aug 27, 2024 7 tweets 3 min read
1/4 🌉The Russian army constructed a 4th pontoon bridge across the Seym River in the Kursk oblast, near Zvannoye, 1.8 kilometers from the damaged main bridge (51.382030, 34.528200 @GeoConfirmed). It can be seen on @planet satellite image taken yesterday, on Aug. 26th Image 2/4 This @planet HR satellite image shows both the new pontoon bridge and the old stationary bridge, which was damaged by Ukraine earlier. Image
Aug 19, 2024 5 tweets 3 min read
A high-resolution @planet satellite image taken on Aug. 17th shows the pontoon bridge across the Seym River, constructed by the Russians between Aug. 15 and Aug. 16, east of Glushkovo village in Kursk Oblast (51.35109, 34.67668), after Ukraine began targeting bridges in the area.
Image Yet another pontoon bridge across the Seym river build built by Russians east of Zavannoe (51.376050, 34.612800). Satellite image by @planet taken on August, 17th. Image
Aug 14, 2024 23 tweets 8 min read
🧵/ Link in the last post. There are increasing reports in Russia about conscripts being sent to Kursk for reinforcement after the Russian army failed to push back Ukrainian forces there. Together with @pustota, we decided to take a deeper look into this issue. Image First of all, this is not the first case of using conscripts in combat during this war. The most infamous one dates back to June 2022. themoscowtimes.com/2022/06/07/rus…
Aug 9, 2024 10 tweets 7 min read
🧵I created an interactive Google Map showing all 15 vehicles (14 trucks and 1 rescue 'Bukhanka') from the Russian military convoy destroyed by Ukraine last night near Rylsk, Kursk Oblast. Multiple dead bodies can be seen inside the trucks. google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

Image The Yandex.Mirrors dashcam snapshots collection from 2021 was used for geolocation, which I tried to make as precise as possible. However, I may have missed a few meters here and there – apologies in advance for any inaccuracies. yandex.ru/maps/-/CDcoa4JD
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Jul 27, 2024 8 tweets 4 min read
🧵Today, the Ukrainian military intelligence, HUR, claimed a strike on the Russian National Helicopter Center Mil & Kamov in Tomilino, Moscow Oblast, on July 21. I found the initial source for the videos they published and geolocated one of them. See the next posts for details🔽
Image The geolocated video. Source: 'Overheard in Tomilino' VK group (), posted at 8AM on July 21. Geolocation: POV 55.657014, 37.921943. This pretty much confirms the fire in the heli center premises, also confirmed by many people who commented on that post. archive.is/oO8gH


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Jul 15, 2024 17 tweets 5 min read
🧵1/7 New Pantsir-S1 on a tower has been recently installed just 3.7 kilometers from Vladimir Putin's residence on Valdai Lake, according to updated Google Earth imagery dated May 6th, 2024. 57.979219, 33.302010 Image 2/7 A bigger picture: Image