More than 80 Russians were killed during Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a school in occupied Lantrativka, Luhansk oblast of Ukraine. Not mobiks, but civilian contractors, who came there to dig trenches and build fortifications.🧵about our new OSINT investigation with @pustota
The strike on Lantrativka happened on Dec. 16th, at 3-4 AM. 3 GMRLS rockets nearly destroyed the building. "LPR" authorities reported 11 civilian casualties. t.me/LPR_JCCC/7805 The village is 20 km from the Russian border and 30 km from Ukrainian positions.
On Sunday, Jan 8th, Ukrainian bloger Anatolii Sharii published a video from the school filmed before the strike. First he called the strike "2nd Makiivka" (where several hundreds of Russian mobiks were killed).
Later on, Sharii resorted to a new theory – that a civilian contractors hired to dig trenches for Russian troops were lodged in the school. We found photos of that trenches on VK and geolocated them near Lantrativka at 49.963679, 38.281460 @geoconfirmed.
These trenches and fortifications can be seen on @planet sat images too, appeared there between Nov. 15th and Dec. 5th.
(Original @planet images, Nov. 15th, Dec. 5th and Jan. 8th.)
We spoke to the man who posted the trenches photos. He told us he came from Russia, after seing an ad on social media. Ads recruiting people to dig trenches in Donbass were reported back in December (t.me/mozhemobyasnit…)
This guy was lucky: his employer, "StroyKom" company, lodged them not in Lantrativka, but in Valuiki, in nearby Belgorod region of Russia. Every day there were brought to dig trenches on buses.
We geolocated the place were those workers stayed in Belgorod – former "Sakura" restaurant and club (50.206474, 38.105673).
This worker told us that most casualties in Lantrativka strike were workers too. "2 buses from Novosibirsk came at the same time we did. Roofers, carpenters. 3 HIMARS rockets, 11 official casualties, 84 unofficial".
He shared a previously unpublished photo of the aftermath of the strike, which he received from one of his friends. "Masters room have been completely blown to shreds", he says. Unfortunately, we were not able to confirm 84 casualties figure independently.
We also found other photos and videos of the trenches in that area. Some workers seem to be armed with the AKs.
Mudwatch, season 3.
On this video another worker says that people of different professions gathered together to dig trenches – from carpenters to plumbers. "Where the f**k are we?" – narrator asks. In Ukraine, guys, so watch yourself.
Our guy told us that recently they were evacuated from Lantrativka and their jobs were terminated "because fighting started in that area". He says after the HIMARS strike he’s afraid to come back to Ukraine.
What about salaries? Is it worthy to risk life by digging trenches on the occupied Ukrainian land? Yes: the received $90/10 hours shift, which is not bad at all for Russia.
"StroyKom" still hires people for the job like this – now to dig trenches and build fortifications in occupied part of Zaporizhzhia region (archive.is/BNUHX). The company, BTW, participated in construction of the infamous Crimea Bridge.
Another disputed question is if these civilian contractors can be qualified as a legitimate military targets. In case with trenches the answer is probably "yes", cause this kind of job is an "effective contribution to military action". hrw.org/news/2022/02/2…
🧵/ link in the last tweet. Together with @pustota we reviewed recent Ukrainian strikes on Melitopol, a strategically important city on the way from Russia to occupied Crimea. Russian claims that there were only "civilians" in the "Hunter's Halt" restaurant are probably false.
1. The alleged time of the strike was less than 1 hour before the curfew. That’s not the time when ordinary "civilians" can afford to dine in the restaurant t.me/melotziv/31079.
2. Russia-appointed governor of Zaporizhzhia Oblast Evgeny Balitsky wrote that there were "peaceful locals dining" (t.me/BalitskyEV/586). Next day, Russian media tried to underline that the restaurant "luckily was empty at the moment of the strike" (t.me/izvestia/114955).
1/6 Aftermath of the Ukrainian UAV attack against Dyagilevo air base near Ryazan on new @planet imagery, taken on Dec 7th. Damaged Tu-22M disappeared, leaving only a shadow on the tarmac. At least 9 other Tu-22m bombers moved away from the base, as well as some other planes.
2/6 Original photos with and w/o levels correction. Reference photos taken on Dec. 1st. Impact site:
3/6 Some more disappeared Tu-22Ms. Would be grateful if someone can count disappeared planes more precisely than I did (some seem to be moved to other spots at the same base)!
Aftermath if the alleged Ukrainian strike at the Engels airbase, Dec 4th/Dec 6th @planet images comparison. Several fire trucks and a foam beneath Tu-95 is clearly visible (also I'd say some craters, but I'm not 100% sure).
Original images with and without levels correction:
🧵/ link in the last tweet. A tapped call reveals the high-ranked Russian officer, commander of the 27th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade Sergey Safonov, stabbed to death an elderly Ukrainian woman when retreating from the Kharkiv region. His comrade also shot her husband.
Today our colleagues from @cxemu investigative project published their OTG report about volunteers from the city of Izyum, who buried the bodies of local civilians and Ukrainian soldiers killed during the Russian occupation. radiosvoboda.org/a/skhemy-spovi…
Part of the story is a tapped call, obtained by @cxemu from UA authorities. A guy on the tape describes the chaotic retreat of the Russian forces.
🧵/ link in the last tweet. Together with @KOvsianyi from Ukrainian investigative project @cxemu and @Mike_Eckel we found a bunch of recently dug trenches and fortifications Russia made before its retreatment from Kherson and the right bank of Dnipro river.
In this thread I will post the satellite images of these trenches which we found on @planet. Photos were taken on November 10th. In the end I will post a video comparing these pics to Oct. 8th imagery.
1) 2 km long trench line north-east of Kakhovska PP (46.78808, 33.42760)
2) Fortifications for some equipment in this line of trenches (46.7807 33.4182)
Russian media report that Kirill Stremousov, Russian-appointed deputy head of Kherson Oblast, died in a car crash in Kherson region svoboda.org/a/rossiyskiy-z… ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
And to prove that it was not an isolated case, here's another photo of Stremousov (in yet another car) with the seatbelt buckled behind his back.
As many people noticed in Oct. when I posted the first photo, driving w/o the seatbelts is common for military all around the world to escape quickly. Though Stremousov wasn't a military guy and never showed up near any real combat areas. Maybe it was just a show-off for him.