🧵Despite continuous reports from OSINT groups, researchers, and even officials, based on the available to me the information I can't confirm that Russians are having critical logistical issues. Here are some major points:
1. Yes, Russians have occasional shortages of some types of ammo, but overall we continue observing significant efforts to organize logistics and move humongous numbers of supplies across entire Russia.
2. Russian logistical routes have been significantly disrupted multiple times and it forced them to change ways to deliver supplies, and how to transport them. It makes it harder to deliver, but it also makes it safer for them.
3. Because their logistical routes were disrupted, people falsely assumed that Russians are running out of ammo. This is false and factually incorrect
4. We continue to observe massive preparations of mobilized units, formations of new regiments, and other organizational units. Unlike initial mobilization, this time they are putting more effort into preparing and supplying units.
5. Russia continues the build-up of units with emphasis on offensive capabilities, compromised mostly of mobilized mixed with rotated units.
These past weeks have been very busy, and I am not able to provide weekly updates, however, I will try to get back to the casual routine as soon as the situation will allow. It would be helpful if you like this thread🇺🇦
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