Alex Epstein Profile picture
Jan 13 21 tweets 6 min read
Calls to ban gas stoves are anti-science, anti-freedom, and anti-energy

Instead of informing us with accurate science about gas stoves so we can make better decisions, anti-fossil fuel activists are distorting science to justify forcing their anti-gas agenda on us.

🧵👇
Early 2023 has featured a carefully orchestrated campaign in which:

1. A paper whose lead author is an anti-fossil-fuel activist claims that gas stoves cause 12.7% of child asthma.
2. The Federal government and NY proposed bans on new gas stoves.

We should reject this campaign.
The campaign against gas stoves should be rejected for 3 reasons:
1. Families have the right incorporate any real science about gas stoves as they judge best
2. The 12.7% claim is a distortion of science
3. The anti-gas movement is a threat to our grid and therefore our health
Whether and how to use a gas or electric stove should be determined by individuals and families based on what they judge best. For example, many will rationally choose to use a cheaper, more functional gas stove with good ventilation as the best option.
There are many decisions that families make that affect kids’ health far more than a gas vs. electric stove: what kinds of food kids eat, how much exercise they get, and how much money parents allocate to health vs. other expenses.

Do governments then get to dictate all these?
Does anyone have the right to dictate what parents feed their kids, how much exercise kids get, and how much of their money families spend on healthcare?

No.

They only have the right to try to persuade parents with good info and arguments. The same applies to gas stoves.
Whenever someone offers you "science," not to inform your voluntary choices but to impose a ban on you, you can be confident that what they are calling science is a distortion.

This is certainly the case with the pseudo-precise claim that gas stoves case 12.7% of child asthma.
Any confident claim that something causes specifically X% of asthma is BS. Asthma is a cluster of symptoms that researchers do not have a clear causal picture of.

As NIH states, "The exact cause of asthma is unknown, and the causes may be different from person to person."
Strong evidence stoves are not a leading concern for asthma: In the US, both CA, a state with one of the highest gas stove uses, and ND, a state with one of the lowest gas stove uses, have some of the lowest asthma rates.
Observe that CDC data shows that between 1980 and the mid-1990s asthma rates almost doubled, despite a significant decline in air pollution. This is an *anti-correlation* that contradicts the narrative that asthma is mainly caused by pollution.
Honest scientists recognize that what causes asthma is unknown and might be many factors. Ambient air pollution was long blamed for asthma, but the data for ambient pollution and asthma anti-correlate in Western countries.

The gas stove banners are not honest scientists.
Despite significant decreases in US ambient air pollution over the last decades, asthma prevalence increased. Without a really precise understanding of all the moving pieces, detailed attribution to things like gas stoves without empirical research is pretentious pseudo-science.
The lead author of the paper used to argue for a gas stove ban is affiliated with the @RockyMtnInst, headed by Amory Lovins—an anti-energy "energy expert" who has said: "It would be little short of disastrous for us to discover a source of clean, cheap, abundant energy".
Opponents of fossil fuels consistently commit the same fallacy: they argue for restrictions or bans on fossil fuels by ignoring the enormous benefits of FFs and *catastrophizing* FFs’ negative side-effects.

Their latest effort is focused on life-giving natural gas.
Natural gas is completely crucial to our prosperity and therefore our health. Gas is our leading source of electricity *and* provides vital energy for heating and for gas stoves.

Anti-gas policies thus make us more dependent on electricity that is more expensive and unreliable.
Observe the trend of the anti-fossil-fuel movement telling us we need to electrify everything *and* opposing reliable electricity sources.

A crucial protection against this is the *right to use non-electric devices*: cars, heaters, and stoves. We must fight for this protection.
The CDC's latest asthma surveillance shows that the most important factors in asthma prevalence are *income* and ethnicity—with ethnicity likely being another income indicator.

As usual, wealth is health.

Decreasing wealth via anti-fossil-fuel policies is anti-health.
Anti-fossil-fuel activists have jumped on the opportunity to stir up panic about gas stoves. One parroted the "12.7%" fabrication, then ran a viral self-experiment finding his emissions above recommended levels. His "solution" is not better ventilation but forcing his agenda.
One of the biggest threats to our health is the use of pseudoscientific "health" claims about the side-effects of fossil fuels in order to deprive us of the life-and-health-saving benefits of fossil fuels—including abundant, affordable healthy food and modern medicine.
The proper response to the gas-stove-banners?

Tell them that you are interested in an valid science they want to offer you voluntarily—but that you will fight them to the death when they use pseudoscience to take away our freedom to produce and use energy.
If you're new to my work, follow me @AlexEpstein for extreme clarity on energy, environmental, and climate issues from a humanist perspective. Also, subscribe to my newsletter, featuring lots of concise, powerful, well-referenced energy talking points.

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More from @AlexEpstein

Jan 9
4 energy hearings the House should hold

Republicans are promising a pro-energy agenda.

Here are 4 essential topics they should take up:
1. Nuclear overregulation
2. Unreliable electricity
3. Lessons of Europe’s energy crisis
4. The "Inflation Reduction Act" disaster

🧵👇
Essential hearing 1: How to Decriminalize Nuclear and Unleash its Full Potential

This hearing would discuss the stalled potential of nuclear energy, what has caused it, and how to fix it.

It could be held by: @WaysandMeansGOP, @HouseCommerce, @GOPoversight, @TransportGOP
Fact: Nuclear energy has limitless potential. It is the cleanest and safest form of energy ever devised. And nuclear had a proven track record of being able to provide low-cost, ultra-reliable electricity before hostile government policies made it near impossible.
Read 28 tweets
Jan 6
The Biden Administration is rightly being criticized for not publicizing its own report documenting that Biden's Keystone KL cancellation caused billions in economic damage and destroyed thousands of productive jobs.

But the damage from killing Keystone was far, far greater.
👇
The biggest damage by far of the Keystone XL cancellation was the threatening message it sent to the oil and gas industry, which ever since then has been more averse to investing in oil/gas production, refining, and transport.
Two years ago I warned the Biden administration about the dangerous message they were sending to the natural gas pipeline industry and how that would harm our grid. Now we're seeing unprecedented national shortages of electricity.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 2
Why is @60Minutes featuring Paul Ehrlich, the anti-human ecologist who has been 180° wrong for 55 years??!!

“humanity is not sustainable. To maintain our lifestyle (yours and mine, basically) for the entire planet, you'd need 5 more Earths.”

More on Ehrlich’s catastrophizing
👇
Read 9 tweets
Dec 30, 2022
My Energy Story

The most frequent question I get asked is: “How did you end up doing this?”

Most people can’t imagine how or why someone would become a huge champion of fossil fuels, of all things.

And growing up, I never imagined I would.

Here’s what happened.
🧵👇
Part 1: Deciding to become a practical philosopher

Many assume I became a fossil fuel champion due to some combination of 1) industry money and 2) my personal background—e.g., my family was involved in fossil fuels, or I grew up in some pro-FF area.

Both couldn’t be more wrong.
I became a fossil fuel champion before I even knew anyone in the industry, let alone had a financial connection.

I had no family connection to fossil fuels.

And I grew up in a liberal area, Chevy Chase, MD, that had no connection to fossil fuels.
Read 62 tweets
Dec 24, 2022
Fellow @NFL fans who saw the Titans game delayed due to lack of electricity: it's time to wake up and recognize that this country's anti-reliable-electricity policies threaten everything about our way of life—including football.
To understand why we don't have reliable electricity and how to fix it, read my book Fossil Future—or at least this summary of it.
End preferences for unreliable electricity
alexepstein.substack.com/p/end-preferen…
Read 5 tweets
Dec 21, 2022
The fusion distraction

The green energy movement, including the Biden Administration, is celebrating a technical breakthrough in nuclear fusion, in order to distract from the catastrophic consequences of its anti-fission, anti-fossil-fuel policies.

🧵👇
In its first 2 years the Biden administration, through its anti-fossil fuel policies, has helped cause the worst energy crisis since the 1970s.

Instead of reversing course it’s using a technical breakthrough in fusion to pretend everything is going great.
alexepstein.substack.com/p/testimony-ho…
"This is what it looks like for America to lead," Energy Sec. Granholm recently said in celebration of a recent fusion breakthrough.

But a research breakthrough that, optimistically, will be useful in several decades, doesn’t change the fact of today’s ruinous energy policies.
Read 28 tweets

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