First, Ukraine assaulted and took control of roughly half of Novoselivske.
Russians have taken most of Soledar, there are unconfirmed reports that Ukraine still holds the Hospital. Russia pushed forward units into Blahodatne etc but from what I understand they were overextended and didn't achieve much.
Situation in Bakhmut is more or less stable. Every day Russia captures positions. Every day Ukraine captures positions. Overall, not much changes. Ukraine attempted an offensive today in Bakhmut which didn't achieve much. Russia fired a lot of artillery and that was that.
The situation around Avdiivka is more or less stable. Russian attacks have lost their intensity.
Situation around Vuhledar has mostly died down. There are small positional battles.
Russia is attacking Velyka Novosilka, but its heavily defended and its unlikely anything will happen here.
Russia claimed some of the gray area around Hulyaipole. People wrongly claim Myrne and Dorozhnyanka were captured by Russia. They are gray zones, controlled by nobody. These towns sparked some unnecessary BS claims today.
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Lukashenko wants to make his own version of Wagner, but with fewer guns and more dancing.
Lukashenko said “Вагнер замечателен, но представьте, если бы он крутился на голове, как топор, а затем вскочил на ноги и сказал 'тада!' Тогда его друг мог бы перепрыгнуть через него и сделать какую-то крутую работу с ножом. Например, у-ху-ху ниндзя. Это было бы круто.”
Lukashenko says his Wagner will also be full of convicts. People convicted of partying too hard.
The major reason Russia is pushing their “we already captured Soledar” propaganda is the cold hard fact that the position Russia is currently in, where they control half of Soledar, is unsustainable in the long term. They would be eaten alive by artillery fire.
So they are using this propaganda to try and sow panic to get Ukraine to leave. They know how dangerous and risky their current position is. The issue is, so does Ukraine.
There are large number of accounts that have spent weeks or months reposting things to make it appear they are soldiers or attached to the situation on the ground somehow. Those accounts are now posting this Russian propaganda. This is the disinfo campaign at work.
According to a Ukrainian officer, these are the tactics Wagner uses to attack Soledar and how to counter them. Long story short: Ukraine needs counter battery fire and armored vehicles.
(I didn’t screenshot all the text because it didn’t fit)
Sometime last night and into this morning Ukraine lost their foothold in Bakhmutske and as a result they withdrew from the southern part of Soledar.
As expected, Russia attempted a breakthrough in Pidhorodne. It was very nearly successful, Ukraine almost lost the town. But the defenders beat out the Russians.
The Russians rotated south and attacked this residential area of Bakhmut, where apparently they had some success. Unknown to me the extent of this success.
This is my map for the current situation around Bakhmut and Soledar. Dark red represents recent movements.
Around Soledar, Russia is pushing around the city, they are unable to attack the city itself. Surrounding the city will be extraordinarily difficult, vastly more difficult than any map makes it look.
Recently, Ukraine has performed several large counter attacks in Soledar. One large attack pushed Russia back several blocks. Russia counter attacked and took much of the ground back. Another Ukrainian attack into the Bakhmutske area secured ground (that blue area in south)