DenZkul faked a video where he supposedly was at the front, but it was 8km from the front. So Wagner got angry with him. A few weeks later he exposited RU artillery positions. He has not been seen doing a report since mid December.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Makiivka, Bilohorivka, Verkhn'okam'yans'ke and Spirne. The AFU keep are keeping up the pressure on Kreminna. There is a lot of Psyops regarding Kreminna on telegram, it sometimes reach Twitter. Don't fall for it.
I think it's possible RuAF will have to withdraw back behind the Krasna river at some point. There are two bridges (for heavier traffic) over the Krasna river, if they are destroyed it gets a bit trickier for the Russians.
The Krasna is not a huge obstacle and can easily be crossed with a deployable bridge. It's likely they have already tried to move most of the important equipment to the east of the river.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Bilohorivka, Sil, Soledar and Bakhmut. The Russians are reporting they are attacking to the north, towards Rozdolivka. The Hungarian stick master Magyar reports the AFU has left mine 7 in Soledar and took positions outside the city.
Bakhmut S
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Klishchiivka and Mayorsk. Heavy heavy fighting is going on around Klishchiivka, but I think the town + fortifications west of it will hold for a while.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of
Novobakhmutivka, Krasnohorivka, Vodyane and Marinka. I do not expect any major movements in this area any time soon.
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🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.