DenZkul faked a video where he supposedly was at the front, but it was 8km from the front. So Wagner got angry with him. A few weeks later he exposited RU artillery positions. He has not been seen doing a report since mid December.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Makiivka, Bilohorivka, Verkhn'okam'yans'ke and Spirne. The AFU keep are keeping up the pressure on Kreminna. There is a lot of Psyops regarding Kreminna on telegram, it sometimes reach Twitter. Don't fall for it.
I think it's possible RuAF will have to withdraw back behind the Krasna river at some point. There are two bridges (for heavier traffic) over the Krasna river, if they are destroyed it gets a bit trickier for the Russians.
The Krasna is not a huge obstacle and can easily be crossed with a deployable bridge. It's likely they have already tried to move most of the important equipment to the east of the river.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Bilohorivka, Sil, Soledar and Bakhmut. The Russians are reporting they are attacking to the north, towards Rozdolivka. The Hungarian stick master Magyar reports the AFU has left mine 7 in Soledar and took positions outside the city.
Bakhmut S
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Klishchiivka and Mayorsk. Heavy heavy fighting is going on around Klishchiivka, but I think the town + fortifications west of it will hold for a while.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of
Novobakhmutivka, Krasnohorivka, Vodyane and Marinka. I do not expect any major movements in this area any time soon.
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?