Thomas C. Theiner Profile picture
Jan 19 โ€ข 14 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
So much nonsense on twitter about the Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bomb (GLSDB)...

Ok, a thread ๐Ÿงต

GLSDB uses a Lockheed Martin M26 MLRS rocket section with a Boeing GBU-39/B Small Diameter Bomb.
1/n
The M26 was the original rocket used with the M270 to deliver cluster munitions. M26 rockets are being dismantled, which means lots of M26 rocket sections are available.
M26 rockets come in pods of six. Pods that are filled with rockets at Lockheed Martin's plant in Arkansas.
2/n
The GBU-39/B Small Diameter Bomb is made by Boeing. It is an INS/GPS guided glide bomb.

Each BRU-61/A Bomb Rack Unit carries four GBU-39/B (or GBU-39A/B, GBU-39B/B).

Almost all NATO fighters and bombers can deploy GBU-39/B.
3/n
Once released the bombs deploys wings and glide (!) to their target. Glide means the bombs are slow when compared to missiles.

And they are INS/GPS guided bombs, which means they can only (!) hit stationary targets.

And have a good look at the GBU-39/B's steel nose cone.
4/n
Lots of people are tweeting that the GLSDB can hit "moving targets"... yes, but only if you mate the M26 rocket section with a Boeing GBU-39B/B Laser Small Diameter Bomb (LSDB), which has a totally different nose cone, because you have to attach a laser seeker to the bomb.
5/n
Here is a photo of a GBU-39B/B after being released from a AC-130J Ghostrider.

GBU-39B/B are absolutely useless for Ukraine. They are laser-guided SDBs: meaning there needs to be a plane or drone lasering the (moving) target, which means you have a Ukrainian aircraft flying
6/n
at the ideal height for and within range of russian air defense systems.

Forget all the tweets about "moving targets" and "accuracy of 1 meter" - because those specs are for the GBU-39B/B, which Ukraine can't use.

Likewise there is no home-on-jam (HOJ) SDB version.
7/n
HOJ SDB are still in development. They would be used to autonomously strike jamming and radar systems, as does the AGM-88 HARM already given to Ukraine.

And now to the GBU-53/B, which is something different entirely.
8/n
The GBU-53/B or Stormbreaker or Small Diameter Bomb Increment II (SDB II) is made by Raytheon and uses GPS/INS guidance plus either a millimeter wave active radar homing or semi-active laser guidance or infrared homing seeker.
It's a completely new weapon system.
9/n
GBU-53/Bs are also way more expensive than GBU-39/B.

And as said before they are manufactured by Raytheon, while the GBU-39/B is made by Boeing, and the M26 rocket sections are made by Lockheed Martin, and the GLSDB was developed by Saab/Boeing.
10/n
What Ukraine will get are GPS/INS guided GBU-39/B on M26 rocket sections, which carry less explosive than a GMLRS M31 rocket and without the added punch of a supersonic GMLRS missile slamming into a target.

M31 GMLRS: 51 lb PBX-109
GBU-39/B: 36 lb AFX-757
11/n
Last but not least GLSDB isn't even in production... so before they can show up in Ukraine GLSDB has to enter production.

M26 rocket sections exist, GBU-39/B bombs exist - but the interstage connectors to mate these two need to be built. And the resulting rockets have to be
12/n
sent to Camden in Arkansas, where Lockheed Martin will mount them into M270/M142 HIMARS pods.

Yes, the GLSDB is a great weapon and will help Ukraine. But it will take some time to arrive and people need to stop mixing up GBU-39/B specs with GBU-39B/B and GBU-53/B specs.
13/n
Last but not least: the GBU-39A/B Focused Lethality Munition is a GBU-39/B variant with a carbon-fiber casing for ultra low fragmentation and a DIME explosive for a more focused-blast - both are used to reduce collateral damage.
Ukraine won't get it and doesn't need it.
14/end

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More from @noclador

Jan 19
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆSweden and the CV90:

Sweden acquired 355 CV90 IFVs (+ 194 support variants). The 355 CV90 come in eight versions. The main versions are:
โ€ข 9040A (pic 1)
โ€ข 9040B/B1 (pic 2)
โ€ข 9040C/C+ (pic 3)

The photos everyone is posting are actually the CV90 MkIV for Slovakia (pic 4)
1/n ImageImageImageImage
The three main versions are currently being upgraded:

9040A -> 9040D1
9040B/B1 -> 9040D2
9040C/C+ -> 9040E

Ukraine won't get C/C+/E, because Sweden has 145 and 143 should be in use with eleven mechanized companies.
Btw. this version is easy to recognize as the coaxial
2/n Image
machine gun has been removed and replaced by a machine gun on top of the tank's turret (see the photo with the firing machine gun).

There are 44 9040B/B1/D2 in Swedish inventory. I don't know if they are being used, but those would be an ideal package to send to Ukraine.
3/n Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 18
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Iraq 1980s: We need Sarin and Tabun to gas Iranians.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany: We can build you the factory for that and sell you the chemicals.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Excellent.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช How about some extra mustard gas to butcher Kurds?
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Thank you, you're the best.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡พ Libya 1990s: We need Sarin and Tabun
1/4
to gas.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Sorry, we got caught helping Iraq with that... so we can only sell you the factory. Ok?
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡พ Thank you, you're the best.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ Syria 2000s: We need Sarin to gas 100,000s
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Sorry, we got caught helping Iraq and Libya with that... so we can only sell you the
2/4
precursor chemicals.
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ Thank you, you're the best.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ russia 2010s: We need precision machinery to mass produce rockets and bombs to flatten Syrian and Ukrainian cities.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช No problem. Do you also want optics and electronics for tanks?
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Thank you, you're the best.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jan 13
A quick Caucasus thread ๐Ÿงต:

For a month now Azerbaijani "protestors" block the Lachin road between Armenia and Karabakh... ostensibly because of "ecological concerns". In reality it is about russia arming Armenian radicals in Karabakh to start a new war.
1/n Image
After the 2020 war Armenia agreed to remove its military from Azerbaijan and to deoccupy the regions it had invaded, depopulated and razed in the early 1990s. To ensure the ceasefire russian "peacekeepers" were deployed... and Armenia and Azerbaijan began to negotiate a peace
2/n
agreement, which infuriated/panics the Karabakh radicals, the Armenian diaspora, and the kremlin. Peace means all three lose their influence/control of Armenia proper and so the russian "peacekeepers" began to smuggle arms and ammo into Karabakh and the kremlin dispatched
3/n
Read 9 tweets
Jan 6
Marder, Bradley, AMX-10RCR - a short thread:

Germany is gonna give Ukraine Marder 1A3, which are 1990s tech, as stingy Merkel upgraded way too few Marder to 1A5 or 1A5A1 standard.

And something I dislike about the Marder is that the vehicle commander has to

1/6 Image
get out of the turret to fire the Milan anti-tank Guided missile...

But the Marder 1A3 is a very useful system, because it has better optics and comms than most infantry fighting vehicles Ukraine has now and so the Marders are gonna kill lots and lots of russian infantry.

2/6 Image
The Ukrainians will most likely get M2A2 ODS Bradleys, which aren't the most modern variants, but even the M2A2 ODS is already a league above the Marder, thanks to better optics, bigger caliber gun, and much more powerful TOW anti-tank guided missiles.

3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 5
March 2022:
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ We want to buy 100+ Marder.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: We have no Marders available.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ German industry has 200+ available.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: Not true.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช industry: We request an export license for 100 Marder.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: Hey Greece, want to buy 200 Marder?
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Yes, please.

1/4
April 2022:
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ What?
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: What?
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ You said no Marders are available!
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: Correct, no Marders available.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ You just offered Greece 200!
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: Exactly, now none are available.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช industry: We have still have 100 available moment you sign the export license.

2/4
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: What export license?
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช industry: The one we sent you last month.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: No you didn't.

May 2022:
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: Hey Slovakia, want to buy 100 Marder?
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ No, thanks. Send them to Ukraine instead.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Yes! Please!!!!
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Scholz: No Marders are available.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ WTF?

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Dec 21, 2022
People keep interpreting some strategic value to
Bakhmut, when there isn't any at all.

Bakhmut is a kremlin-internal power struggle: mafia-thug prigozhin wants to be the next russian defense minister, but only criticising the current defense minister
1/4
shoigu isn't gonna get him the job.
So prigozhin raised his own "army" to show putin that under his "leadership" russia would do better than with the corrupt, incompetent and cretinous shoigu.

Naturally shoigu knew this and gave prigozhin's gang of prison-recruited rapists,
2/4
murderers, thugs and thieves a front sector he knew would be extremely difficult to take... and so far prigozhin's gang has failed... now the very daft and violent prigozhin is throwing every piece of meat at Bakhmut in a desperate attempt to salvage his standing with putin.
3/4
Read 4 tweets

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