Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Novoselivs'ke. Heavy fighting is goin on in this area and the Russians have recently sent reinforcements to Kuzemivka. I believe the 92nd Brigade are trying to present convincing arguments for RU to leave Kuzemivka.
Kreminna
Ukrainian generals staff reported the russians shelled in the area of Holykove. It's hard to assess the AFU progress based on that , but it's possible they are near the P-06 NW of the town.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Verkhn'okam'yanka and Bilohorivka. I believe the Russians want to attack in this direction to disrupt the Kreminna offensive.
Bakhmut
Krasnopolivka, Krasna Hora, Soledar, Paraskoviivka, Bakhmut, Ivanivske and Dyliivka. RU sources claim Klishchiivka has been captured, I believe this is true. It's unclear if they captured the high ground west of the town or if they made any real progress to the west.
I think it's time to wait for some visual confirmation. Wagner are usually very fast at posting videos of their captures, man times before they even captured the town.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of
Vodyane, Maryinka, Pobyeda and Novosilka. I have moved the estimated line of contact in Marinka slightly in favor of Ukraine based on geolocated footage. (Available on interactive map)
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Mala Tokmachka and Stepove. RU sources claimed great success but videos tell a different story. RU MoD claim they captured Lobkove, which I already has as under RU control.
(C) Rybar made several claims about captured settlements in the Zaporizhzhia direction. Their accuracy is about as good as mine when I'm trying to take a piss after 12 beers.
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.