Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Novoselivs'ke. Heavy fighting is goin on in this area and the Russians have recently sent reinforcements to Kuzemivka. I believe the 92nd Brigade are trying to present convincing arguments for RU to leave Kuzemivka.
Kreminna
Ukrainian generals staff reported the russians shelled in the area of Holykove. It's hard to assess the AFU progress based on that , but it's possible they are near the P-06 NW of the town.
Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Verkhn'okam'yanka and Bilohorivka. I believe the Russians want to attack in this direction to disrupt the Kreminna offensive.
Bakhmut
Krasnopolivka, Krasna Hora, Soledar, Paraskoviivka, Bakhmut, Ivanivske and Dyliivka. RU sources claim Klishchiivka has been captured, I believe this is true. It's unclear if they captured the high ground west of the town or if they made any real progress to the west.
I think it's time to wait for some visual confirmation. Wagner are usually very fast at posting videos of their captures, man times before they even captured the town.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of
Vodyane, Maryinka, Pobyeda and Novosilka. I have moved the estimated line of contact in Marinka slightly in favor of Ukraine based on geolocated footage. (Available on interactive map)
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Mala Tokmachka and Stepove. RU sources claimed great success but videos tell a different story. RU MoD claim they captured Lobkove, which I already has as under RU control.
(C) Rybar made several claims about captured settlements in the Zaporizhzhia direction. Their accuracy is about as good as mine when I'm trying to take a piss after 12 beers.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?