Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack around Novoselivs'ke. It's been more than a week since the AFU reported attacks on Stel'makhivka, which might indicate some advance by the AFU towards Kolomyichykha.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshchanka, Chervonopopivka and Bilohorivka. UA general staff once again reported a RU shelling in the area of Holykove. Wargonzo have reported several time RU forces shelled Dibrova. Which make me believe RU forces left the town.
I do not think the AFU will attack Kreminna head on from the shout there. I think they will try to attack it from the north to force a RU retreat.
Soledar
The AFU repulsed attacks around Rozdolivka, Vasyukivka, Krasna Hora and Yahidne. The situation is this area is unclear to me, the reports does not really match the visual evidence at this point. This is my best estimation.
RuMOD claimed they captured Blahodatne, I think this is likely. The AFU has high ground west of the road and might have taken positions in prepared defenses there.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed an attack around Predtechine. The same goes for this area, there is no visual evidence showing RU progress beyond the high ground around Klishchiivka. Geolocated locations represented by blue/red dots.
Donkey lovers central
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Vodyane and Marinka. No visual evidence of Vodyane being captured by RU forces, despite claims months ago.
Zaporizhzhia direction @Deepstate_UA reports there is a lot of smoke but not a lot of fire from the RU side. There have been a lot of claims but no visual evidence of RU advances in the area. They most likely report success before they even start their offensives.
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.