Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack around Novoselivs'ke. It's been more than a week since the AFU reported attacks on Stel'makhivka, which might indicate some advance by the AFU towards Kolomyichykha.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Ploshchanka, Chervonopopivka and Bilohorivka. UA general staff once again reported a RU shelling in the area of Holykove. Wargonzo have reported several time RU forces shelled Dibrova. Which make me believe RU forces left the town.
I do not think the AFU will attack Kreminna head on from the shout there. I think they will try to attack it from the north to force a RU retreat.
Soledar
The AFU repulsed attacks around Rozdolivka, Vasyukivka, Krasna Hora and Yahidne. The situation is this area is unclear to me, the reports does not really match the visual evidence at this point. This is my best estimation.
RuMOD claimed they captured Blahodatne, I think this is likely. The AFU has high ground west of the road and might have taken positions in prepared defenses there.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed an attack around Predtechine. The same goes for this area, there is no visual evidence showing RU progress beyond the high ground around Klishchiivka. Geolocated locations represented by blue/red dots.
Donkey lovers central
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Vodyane and Marinka. No visual evidence of Vodyane being captured by RU forces, despite claims months ago.
Zaporizhzhia direction @Deepstate_UA reports there is a lot of smoke but not a lot of fire from the RU side. There have been a lot of claims but no visual evidence of RU advances in the area. They most likely report success before they even start their offensives.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?