In any case, I never suggested the US/NATO are "dangerous" -- except to themselves and Ukraine.
NATO built its Mother of All Proxy Armies in Ukraine to harm Russia, which has responded by destroying it.
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@SydneyFreedberg The original, very formidable AFU was wrecked by July. The second, much smaller and more poorly equipped NATO/AFU hybrid army has now been wrecked, necessitating this current attempt to cobble together a third, which will be substantially weaker than the previous two.
2/
@SydneyFreedberg The Russians wrecked the first two armies with one hand tied behind their back. Now they have mobilized, equipped, and trained 300k reservists + ~100k new volunteers. In total, they have close to 500k uncommitted troops poised to move when Gerasimov gives the order.
3/
@SydneyFreedberg From the moment in early February 2022 when the AFU concentrated its forces and commenced its artillery preparation to attack the Donbass, this war became existential for all parties involved – Russia, NATO, and Ukraine. Its inevitable outcome should now be clear to all.
4/
@SydneyFreedberg The only question left unanswered is at what point the US/NATO will come to grips with that inevitable outcome, and cease its self-destructive (and murderous, to Ukraine) insanity in a desperate bid to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.
5/
@SydneyFreedberg The greatest danger is posed by the #EmpireAtAllCosts cult in Washington and London. If those fools succeed in persuading their political leaders to sanction direct military intervention into this war, it will prove catastrophic, and very possibly result in nuclear war.
6/
@SydneyFreedberg Those who believe direct US intervention in this war can turn its tide are militarily clueless idiots. As I have repeatedly argued, the US could not win and must not fight a war against Russia in eastern Europe.
@SydneyFreedberg Aside from the crazy Poles and the impotent Baltic chihuahuas, no other European NATO members will join an Anglo-American intervention in Ukraine. And even if they did, they could not sustain high-intensity warfare for more than about 6 weeks.
8/
@SydneyFreedberg This would then place them on the horns of an even worse dilemma than they face right now: withdraw in humiliation, or destroy western civilization by resorting to nuclear strikes against Russia.
9/
@SydneyFreedberg Expanding NATO towards Russia’s borders over the past quarter century was a HUGE strategic blunder. Russia was impotent for many years to do much about it, but they aren’t anymore. Now they demand NATO return to its 1997 borders – and they mean it.
@SydneyFreedberg For reasons that go far beyond this war in Ukraine, American global hegemony is over.
As a result of this war, NATO will cease as a viable alliance.
China, Russia, and Iran will become dominant in their respective spheres of influence.
A multipolar world has returned.
11/
@SydneyFreedberg The United States must choose to accept these inexorable realities and refocus on domestic concerns, or destroy itself in a futile attempt to forestall the inevitable.
12/end
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A search for “object of war” in my posting history will reveal how often I have reiterated this concept.
I recognized early on that the Russians were fighting a war of attrition whose paramount objective was to utterly annihilate the forces arrayed against them in Ukraine.
3/
Good thread. It aligns with many things I have been writing about for the past few years, both here on Twitter/X and on my substack blog.
I think I am considerably more dubious of the strength of the US surface fleet, and particularly in terms of its capability to project power across the globe against any of its formidable potential adversaries.
If you have a few minutes and are so inclined, I'll link to a couple of my blog posts in replies to this post.
A great many Americans believe totalitarian rule could be and soon will be imposed in the United States. I have frequently addressed this question over the years. I have assembled a thread of representative posts below.
🧵 Thread of old tweets about the brilliant Kary Mullis, Nobel Prize-winning inventor of PCR (Polymerase Chain Reaction) -- the so-called "test" for detecting things like SARS-COV-2.
Many commenters have suggested that Prigozhin's excoriation of Russian leadership (and regular army) will serve to demoralize the remainder of Russian forces fighting in Ukraine.
This is, I am convinced, a conclusion entirely misconceived.
1/6
The host of Russian regulars is, I am strongly persuaded, heartily sick and tired of hearing the popular narrative of Wagner “winning the war for Russia” and Prigozhin’s frequent unwarranted monopolization of quasi-exclusive credit for Russian successes in this war.
2/
The Russian regulars who have professionally exacted huge costs of Ukrainian forces elsewhere along the line of contact over the past several months are likely glad to see the exaggerated Wagner story arc come to an end for the time being.
3/
In my view, there is effectively zero possibility the Ukrainians can sustain a credible offensive against Russian forces, and when it fails, the Russians will then move to seize the remainder of the four oblasts that have already approved referenda to join Russia.
1/4
In fact, as I have repeatedly argued since February 27, 2022, the Russians are almost certain to reclaim all of historical Novorossiya to the Danube – likely including Transnistria.
And there will be little the AFU will be able to do to impede them.
2/
Of course, this would represent a humiliating defeat for the empire and its European vassal states. And therefore the question becomes: are they crazy enough to try to prevent – or at least attempt to *delay* this outcome via military means?