Will Schryver Profile picture
Geopolitics - History, Empires, and War - Macroeconomics and Markets - Data Analytics - Music English / Italiano
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Jun 22 17 tweets 4 min read
🧵The Geostrategic Importance of Kaliningrad

So the most recent move on the RISK board sees the US and its dutiful NATO vassals opting to play the Suwalki Gap card.

Let’s explore the likely perspectives of the respective combatants.

1/ For Russia:

Kaliningrad is a geostrategic imperative. Its defense would entail all the levels of escalation on the meter.

For the US/NATO:

“Restoring” Kaliningrad to the west would represent a *major* geostrategic setback for Russia.

2/
Jun 10 24 tweets 5 min read
🧵Ukraine War Summary – June 10, 2022

Reports now emerging that Ukrainian troops trapped in the industrial zone of Severodonetsk are seeking dialogue pursuant to surrender. Meanwhile all AFU resistance in the Donbas is rapidly collapsing.

Let’s review what led us here:

1/
The US spent eight long years and billions of dollars attempting to turn Ukraine into a radicalized proxy army they believed could deal an existential blow against Putin and Russian geopolitical resurgence. It was made into the largest and best-armed army in Europe.

2/
Jun 10 17 tweets 4 min read
🧵Ukraine War Update – June 9, 2022

The following thread is based on a reply I made to a follower in response to him linking me to a tweet by @KimDotCom:



1/
The US spent eight long years and billions of dollars attempting to turn Ukraine – and especially its 100k+ neo-Nazi troops – into a proxy army they believed could deal an existential blow against Putin and Russian geopolitical resurgence.

2/
May 27 7 tweets 2 min read
Brief🧵

Western analysts have, from the start, misunderstood & misrepresented Russian objectives. Everything Russia has done to-date has been guided by Putin's stated goals of "denazification" and "demilitarization".

Rapidly conquering territory is NOT a Russian objective.

1/ Yes, Russia intends to militarily conquer and then politically reconstitute Novorossiya – all the way to the Romanian border.

However, the *means* by which they will achieve this end is to systematically destroy virtually ALL Ukrainian military capacity: DEMILITARIZATION.

2/
May 26 8 tweets 3 min read
🧵Ukraine War Update: 2022-05-26

Ukrainian forces in the Donbas now fall into two categories:

1- Trapped in the Severodonetsk/Lisichansk cauldron, with virtually no armor, vehicles, artillery, ammo, nor food -- and zero possibility of reinforcement/resupply.

1/ 2- Among the dozens of disorderly groups trying to escape through the forests southwest of the main battle zone.

Command and control has broken down completely. Zelenskyy's spokesman, Arestovich, has begun to prepare the public mind for defeat:

t.me/levigodman/2649

2/
May 23 7 tweets 1 min read
Brief Ukraine War Update 🧵

The Russians spent the previous month carving Ukrainian forces in the Donbas into relatively small, isolated concentrations of troops. Then they proceeded to savage them with massed artillery 24/7.

1/
Now they are methodically advancing their mobile infantry into the shattered remnants under an umbrella of low-level close air support and drone-corrected precision artillery strikes.

Consequently, the demoralized Ukrainian soldiers are surrendering en masse.

2/
Apr 19 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵Ukraine War Update – 2022-04-19

As the Russians commence the final big battle of the war, I continue to be amazed by the resilience in many quarters of the myth of Ukrainian success – notwithstanding the complete absence of supporting evidence.

Let's examine the facts …

1/
First of all, you will recall that in the first few days of the war, there was indisputable video and photo evidence of destroyed Russian fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters, armor and tactical vehicles, dead Russian bodies, Russian soldiers taken prisoner, etc.

2/
Mar 6 10 tweets 3 min read
Counterpoint🧵

This is from @RUSI_org – a hoary UK think tank whose prestige owes, in great measure, to how well it assures its audience in the ever-dwindling British aristocracy that Her Majesty's Empire still holds meaningful sway in the world.

1/

rusi.org/explore-our-re… Its author, @Justin_Br0nk, argues that the sparse employment of the Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) in Ukraine strongly suggests they simply don't know how to execute complex major air operations – you know, like the major league pros in NATO countries do.

2/
Feb 25 8 tweets 2 min read
What Russia has done in Ukraine this week is just the beginning.

It now becomes imperative that the West take Putin at his word.

Important 🧵

1/
I've now carefully read through, for the second time, Putin's addresses to the world, delivered, respectively on February 21st and 24th, 2022. Both must also be viewed in the context of his landmark 2007 speech at the Munich Security Conference.

2/
Feb 25 6 tweets 1 min read
Short 🧵in relation to the war in Ukraine.

I've been sitting back and deliberately assessing what has now apparently transpired, and the evident trajectory of events in Ukraine.

My thoughts at this juncture:

1/
If Russia's plan was to take Kiev in short order, I submit they miscalculated gravely in believing it could be done by relying on lightly armed airborne forces to establish an air-bridge beach head.

2/
Dec 24, 2021 4 tweets 3 min read
@warrtalon @wolfstrength I submit this almost-unquestioning trust afforded "experts in their field" is the single biggest obstacle to effective critical thinking in our world today.

The reason logic used to be emphasized in higher education is because its utility and applicability span all fields.

1/
@warrtalon @wolfstrength I also submit that we currently live in the golden age of the autodidact. Any determined, intelligent researcher now has at his/her fingertips the "library of the ages"; near-immediate access to all emerging academic research; capacity to self-educate in virtually any field.

2/2
Sep 16, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
The myth of the Pandemic of the Unvaccinated is being dismantled brick by lying brick.

An excellent new study out of Wisconsin demonstrates that (as many foresaw) the US is now well into a rapidly growing #PandemicOfTheVaccinated.

-Short Thread-

1/4
There are several recently published studies that evince similar findings. And the data out of Israel over the past few months is virtually incontrovertible on the question, but this new study is very well-designed, with results difficult to dispute.

2/4

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Sep 5, 2021 6 tweets 2 min read
Remember: In the US corporatist system, corporate media is state media.

This "opinion piece" is an explicit statement of state intent to assume dictatorial dominion over one's person.

They seek to further extend and expand their "emergency powers".

1/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/… It remains to be seen if the powers that be can dictate, let alone enforce sweeping totalitarian social controls.

Because it won't stop at vaccinations. The lust for absolute power will swell.

Already the CDC is talking about "gun violence":

2/

realclearpolitics.com/video/2021/08/…
Jun 30, 2021 5 tweets 2 min read
@RWMaloneMD As a computer programmer of over 35 years, my intensive research into these mRNA vaccines has led me to view the matter in similar terms -- but with a programmer's perspective that suggests potential caveats. Permit me to explain:

1/5
@RWMaloneMD The human immune system – our "native" environment – routinely passes "instruction sets" to cells in order to address a detected event, such as an "invader" of exogenous origin. We have come to understand a lot of what goes on in this respect, BUT NOT ALL.

2/5
Dec 7, 2020 7 tweets 2 min read
Killing America Softly

~ A Short Thread ~

There will be much hand-wringing this year over the increase in US total deaths from 2019. Many will attribute this increase to Covid. But the truth is that the US death rate has been trending *dramatically* upward since 2009.

1/7 Image What has been the major cause of this dramatic rise in US mortality? The virus of despair: suicides, opioid addiction / overdoses, domestic violence … and, especially among the aged, the doctor's dry assessment of "failure to thrive".

2/7
Nov 11, 2020 7 tweets 3 min read
The Pfizer vaccine touted in the media as a life-saving, pandemic-ending miracle cure is nothing of the sort. Indeed, upon examination, it appears to be little more than a cynical scam designed to enrich Big Pharma executives indifferent to the potential risks.

- THREAD – *tl;dr version*

A 10/21/2020 analysis in the BMJ reveals that:

1-The Pfizer/Moderna vaccine trials claiming 90% efficacy are being GROSSLY MISREPRESENTED.

2-Neither of these putative vaccines promise to a) save lives; nor b) prevent transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

1/n
Mar 12, 2020 6 tweets 2 min read
-THREAD-

While everyone is obsessing over disintegrating financial markets and global pandemic, I've a few thoughts on matters still hiding in the shadows.

Trump's entire sandcastle narrative has now been washed away. There will be no more "greatest stock market in history".
1/
Of course, he is going to try to pin the blame on CV-19, the Federal Reserve, the Democrats, the presidents before him, etc.

And, in a way, he'll be right. But that doesn't matter. Trump made the choice to own these markets, and now he's reaping the whirlwind.

2/
Nov 8, 2019 8 tweets 2 min read
Make no mistake about it, this is narrative construction whose ultimate aim is war.

A rising China is not analogous to Hitler's Germany.

Nor has China done anything rising powers before them didn't do just as ruthlessly and efficiently.

bbc.com/news/business-… The Chinese have stolen secrets; played hard ball business, and expanded their power and influence with no more -- and arguably less -- acumen and violence than the Americans and British before them. They've applied themselves to the age-old game with impressive success. 1/