Some updates from today (some of these things didn't happen today but I updated it today):
First, the gray area around Ploschanka is much larger than previously thought. Russia has much less control.
There was a warehouse destroyed in Kupyansk.
Ukraine HIMARSed the Fire station and music school in Kreminna.
Russia expanded their area of control south of Kreminna.
Ukraine HIMARSed Rubizhne (I don't actually know where)
North of Bakhmut, Ukraine reportedly counter attacked. I couldn't find confirmation so I didn't mark it. I just thought I would bring it up.
In the Klishchiivka area Russia is expanding their control west.
Near Avdiivka and Pisky I marked Russian expansion of control. It is really sad and pathetic how many casualties they took achieving this, like dozens and dozens of armored vehicles. Also, this area of control might be too liberal, some of this might still be contested.
Near Vuhledar, Russia expanded west a bit in the Mykilske dachas and are reportedly in the outskirts of Vuhledar itself. I've heard from multiple sources that Ukraine counter attacked, and one source claims Ukraine pushed Russia all the way back to the eastern part of the dachas.
Russia is also attacking the northern part of Pavlivka.
Russia is attacking the distant approaches to Prechystivka, Velyka Novosilka, Novopil, Poltavka...
and Hulyaipole. They are also attacking the northern outskirts of Dorozhnyanka. The eastern outskirts of Charivne, the south of Bilohirya, the southern outskirts of Mali Shcherbaky and the southern outskirts of Stepove. Finally, Russia is sending recon into Kamyanska.
To get a bigger picture of these towns.
In the Zaporizhzhia area, Ukraine blew up two ammo depots (explosion markers) and a S300 (highlighted missile icon) in addition to missile strikes on Tokmak and Basan.
Ukraine also took out the power in Horlivka, presumably with a missile strike.
In return, Russia performed precision missile strikes on Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro. And Attacked Kyiv with Shahed drones.
Apparently I forgot to put the image for Vuhledar
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The main thing that any educated person needs to keep in mind at all times is that realpolitik is fake and everyone who believes in it is typically universally wrong on every single word they ever say.
It is especially funny because realpolitik people are almost never experts in any domain, and they get their info from aggregators. And those aggregators know the realpolitik people use them, and as such present info in a way most likely to influence the realpolitik.
They end up just being unwitting amplifiers of misinformation.
Frankly I think the fastest way to end the war in Ukraine is not by sending tanks or by idiotic peace proposals. The fastest way is to set up factories across europe to produce 1000-2000 long range strike drones per day, and launch hundreds if not thousands of drones into Russia every single day until the country collapses. If they think sending 500 drones into Ukraine is a threat, see how they respond when 3000 drones fly into Russia.
With this many drones you can hammer every single factory, powerplant, substation, oil refinery, and mine in russia relentlessly.
Europe had a million drone program, to supply 1 million fpv drones. Fuck fpv drones. Have a 1 million drone program to supply 1 million strike drones. That's your million drones.
The "stupid westerners, sanctions do not work, we smuggle goods in illegally. muahaha, Russia unstoppable" people tickle me. Sanctions are not for stopping goods entirely, they are for increasing friction because the resources you spend smuggling are resources not spent growing
People fundamentally don't understand the purpose of a sanction. Sanctions are not to stop the war now, although they do damage Russia, the real goal of a sanction is long term economic damage to permanently shrink their economic growth on the timescale of decades.
The sanction is basically saying "okay, you're a threat to me today, and maybe I can't do much about it now, but I will shrink you and outgrow you so in 50-100 years you are no longer a threat to me at all". It is a long term play.
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.