Kreminna-Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks around Chervonopopivka, Verkhn'okam'yans'ke and Spirne. It's more or less completely silent from the Svatove direction at the movement.
Bakhmut
The AFU replused attacks around Rozdolivka, Blagodatne, Bakhmut and Klishchiivka. The situation seems stabilized for now. There has not been any significant change the last few days.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of
Maryinka, Vugledar and Pavlivka. RuAF are using the 40th and 155th Naval Infantry Brigdes once again to attack in the Vugledar area. The RU NIBs have a decent track record and are considered among the better units in RuAF.
According to the latest information I have, RuAF have not entered the city it self and intense fighting is going on in the dachas SE of the city. RuAF are also trying to advance from the Pavlivka direction, unsure how far they have reach.
A small repetition of why Vuhledar is important for the Russians.
At the moment AFU have the Volnovakha-Donetsk railroad and H20 high way in artillery range. This affects the RU logistics from the eastern direction negatively.
As can be seen here, all railroad traffic must come via Crimea and the Kerch bridge, which I don't believe is fully operational for train traffic.
There are two railroad connection between Crimea and Kherson oblast. One results in a dead end, and the other is connected over a bridge. This means the entire RU southern frontline is extremely venerable once Ukraine receive longer range fires.
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.