Kupyansk-Siversk
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Bilogorivka. Continued silence from the north, so not much info to provide. UA general staff are reporting the RU forces are focusing on defense, which might mean the AFU are offensive.
Bakhmut N
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Rozdolivka, Krasna Hora and Bakhmut. RuAF are most likely doing incremental gains in this area, but I have not seen any visual evidence.
Bakhmut S
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Ivanivske, Klishchiivka and Druzhba. The actual status around Klishchiivka is still unknown, there has been no evidence of RU progress beyond the village.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Vodyane, Maryinka and Pobyeda. No significant change here in weeks. I assess the control of Maryinka to be about 50/50 despite Wargonzo claims of RuAF controlling 85%
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Vugledar and Prechistivka. All visual evidence indicate RuAF have failed to reach the city and hare suffering huge losses. The reports I get form trusted sources tell the same story.
Russian success is usually just their tanks burning and them not advancing at all.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?