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Tar ⚡ Profile picture
@itsTarH
Jan 30, 2023 • 10 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
#AartiPharmaLabs lists today, here are some slides from my presentation at @ias_summit to help you understand the business ⤵️

The current share price is expensive, I wouldn't be a buyer at this price 🛑

D: Not an investment recommendation ImageImageImageImage
@ias_summit At 315/share, the market is implying a market cap of ~2850.75cr to the company or a PE multiple of ~18x TTM earnings
@ias_summit Since, the implied valuation is towards a premium & there are large institutional holdings in Aarti Industries, expect decent amount of selling in next few weeks

On the other hand, I also believe promoters will raise stake so need to monitor this for sometime before entering
@ias_summit 20.6 Lakh shares worth ~52cr delivered today in Aarti Pharma

This is likely promoter buying Image
Managed to get a big bag of shares at avg of ~260/share

Preparation helps. Image
Prices have finally reached in sync between BSE and NSE

No more arbitrage
Promoter increased their stake by 0.78%

(sorry my previous tweet was incorrect, deleted it and reposted with correct information) Image
~8.1 lakh more shares bought by the promoter group

bseindia.com/stock-share-pr… Image
Latest Credit Rating Note on the company ⤵️

crisil.com/mnt/winshare/R…
Mutual Fund Feb 2023 Activity

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More from @itsTarH

Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Aug 18
PC Jewellers is in talk of FinTown, so lets break down why its actually up⤵️

You will learn about 'One Time Settlements', imp of reading corporate announcements & why corporate governance is of extreme importance in companies

Screenshots from thewrap.investkaroindia.inImage
Lets talk about 'One Time Settlements' (OTS) first

OTS are tools used by banks to settle large amounts of debt that would otherwise be non-recoverable as the borrowing party would become bankrupt

As part of Vivadh se Vishwas scheme Ministry of Finance directed all PSBs to ramp up OTSImage
As a result there has been an increase of one time settlement announcements lately with PC Jewellers taking the lead

Other companies that have opted for OTS are A2Z Infra, Rajshree Sugars, Orient Green Power, Sea TV, Shah Metacorp, Punjab communications and many more Image
Read 14 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jun 10, 2023
1/ It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee. In this thread, I will explain:

1. What is Behavioral Finance?
2. What are biases and how do they impact 99% of investors?
3. What are different types of biases and how to overcome them?

Let's dive right in. Image
2/ Behavioral finance is a field that studies how psychological, human biases and emotions influence financial and investment decision-making. Image
3/ Humans by nature are driven by emotions and are a irrational species.

This irrationality seeps through in investing, finance and global capital markets.
Read 39 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jun 3, 2023
1/ It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee. In this thread, I will explain:

1. What is cost of capital and WACC?
2. How does a company's capital structure impact its valuations?
3. How to code WACC as a field in screener?

Let's dive right in. Image
2/ Before we start to explore cost of capital, we first need to understand what is meant by capital structure of a company. Image
3/ Any business at a very simplified level, works in three steps

Step 1: Raise funds from various types of investors
Step 2: Use those funds to build projects that generate higher returns
Step 3: Deliver excess returns back to investors Image
Read 38 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Mar 15, 2023
US Fed's new Emergency Stabilization Plan

1⃣ Provide loans to banks
2⃣ Value US Treasuries held by banks at par for collateral, even if they are currently not valued at par
3⃣ Inject USD 25B into banking system

They are calling it BTLP

Its essentially QE with a different label
It took Fed ~2 years to sell $600B and only a few days to reverse 50% of that

Just last week alone Fed bought $300B worth of assets

Current size of Fed Balance Sheet ~8.5Trillion USD Image
This is the MOVE index, its volatility index for Bonds, similar to what VIX is for equities

The only time when MOVE was higher than current levels, was in 2008 Image
Read 4 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Mar 1, 2023
Why you should not be wasting your time with microcaps (less than 500cr market cap)

A data driven analysis 🧵👇
As of last week, there are ~4250 listed companies in 🇮🇳 stock market representing about ~3.23T USD

Of these 4250, about ~49% (2069) are below 100cr market cap and further about ~21% (900) are between 100cr to 500cr market cap

Effectively ~70% of listed universe is below 500cr
The rest 30% (1281) of listed companies are above 500cr market cap.

Here too we can refined it further.
Read 14 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jan 1, 2023
All upgrades I have made to my investing process in 2022

1⃣ Automated macro/ global financial health monitoring
2⃣ Metric + Data driven monitoring of price + volume in Indian stocks
3⃣ Incorporated technicals & stages into buy/sell process
4⃣ Automated analysis of insider buying
5⃣ Proper Industry & Sub Industry Classification of all stocks > 100cr market cap
6⃣ Automated signal generation of bulk/block deals
7⃣ Create a bot to fetch, save and organize research reports into G Drive
8⃣ Better organization of notes & research material via Discord
9⃣ Custom alerts in screener for low float stocks, WACC multiples, EBITDA expansion & financial shenanigans

🔟 Automated daily classification and filtering of relevant BSE Announcements

Next Up: Automating classification and tracking of all special situations
Read 4 tweets

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