🧵1/6 Vuhledar🇺🇦, 31.01 - 07:00 AM update:
Vuhledar holds. All previous assaults have been repulsed so far. The enemy has failed to establish control near Vuhledar. Any information about russian forces in Vuhledar is a part of their PsyOps.
2/6 The enemy hasn't reduced the number of assaults, however, the quality of assaults has dropped significantly for two reasons:
- weather conditions
- high casualties
3/6 The most experienced and motivated forces were eliminated during the first days of assaults. The 155th brigade has sustained high casualties both in men and armor, and their importance on the battlefield is dwindling.
4/6 a Large number of reserves in the Vuhledar area indicates that the enemy doesn't plan to give up on assaults or attempts to siege Vuhledar.
5/6 Information from fields confirms that the enemy's morale is on the low level, which forced the enemy to take repressive measures. Occupiers also keep their troops in an informational bubble and misinform troops about successes.
6/6 It's likely that the enemy will resume assault as soon as the weather conditions will allow, and losses will be replenished with mobilized and volunteers.
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🧵Vuhledar, 02.02 - 03:00 AM update: 1/4 A few days ago, I wrote that the enemy made a few interesting decisions. I would like to shed some light on it. After the first two days of the assault, it became clear to RU command that their plan of a rapid and sudden assault has failed
2/4 At first, I thought that they will accept the failure and will concentrate on holding their gains instead of developing the assault. Especially when some units in the 155th brigade, as well as reserves, refused to assault the "dachi" area.
3/4 Instead, they frantically started to move units from other areas. For example, have moved one more brigade from the 3d army corps, and a few battalions from the 36th army. The enemy also abruptly moved reserves which were supposed to advance in a different sector.
1/4 🧵🇺🇦Vuhledar, 27.01 - 22:00 update:
Vuhledar holds - the situation is stable at this moment. Enemy attempts to establish footholds near Vuhledar to develop the assault have failed. Attempts to outflank and take control over roads completely failed. Please re-tweet.
2/4 The enemy is demoralized by losses, which is why they are bringing additional reinforcements, but we will see in the nearest days if they will be able to throw them for another large assault.
3/4 It's known to us that they are trying to return wounded people to the frontlines just two days after the injury. Some squads and platoons sustained 80-90% casualties which significantly demoralizes the enemy.
🧵1/4 Vuhledar, 26.01 16:00 update: UAF continues to control Vuhledar and roads that connect with Vuhledar. The enemy tries to establish fire control over roads but so far failed to achieve its goals. The enemy failed to set up a foothold near Vuhledar
2/4 The enemy attempted to use a large number of vehicles for the assault, but after losing the majority of its vehicles, switched tactics to constant small infantry squad assaults covered by non-stop artillery shelling. The enemy continues assault from Mykil's'ke and Pavlivka
3/4 The information spread by russian propagandists about reaching Vuhledar itself is factually incorrect. Their attempts to establish control over the eastern "dachi" area have failed so far. The situation overall remains difficult
🧵After a series of serious defeats in the fall of 2022, Russian occupational forces faced serious logistical constraints, but they were able to adapt, which would also require more sophisticated answers from Ukraine and its allies.
During the Kherson liberation, Russian occupational forces (ROF) continued to utilize Myrne railway station and surrounding facilities to provide continuous logistical support for the entire Kherson army group.
Myrne station received several trains per day, loaded with ammo, vehicles, and troops. Some of these supplies were stored in facilities around the station. As soon as they became within Ukrainian reach, these facilities were stricken.
🧵Despite continuous reports from OSINT groups, researchers, and even officials, based on the available to me the information I can't confirm that Russians are having critical logistical issues. Here are some major points:
1. Yes, Russians have occasional shortages of some types of ammo, but overall we continue observing significant efforts to organize logistics and move humongous numbers of supplies across entire Russia.
2. Russian logistical routes have been significantly disrupted multiple times and it forced them to change ways to deliver supplies, and how to transport them. It makes it harder to deliver, but it also makes it safer for them.
🧵When the video of the LNR commander beating his subordinates surfaced, some people were surprised by this attitude. Considering that, I want to share some interesting stories told by POWs, as well as from other sources, which I will publish once the war will be over
Names, geographical locations, and some details are removed for security reasons, but things that I will share are something that occurs daily. Mostly they cover the November-early December period. This might give you a glimpse of what’s going on
Story#1. A unit of freshly mobilized arrives in a town not far from the frontline. A National Guard unit comprised of ethnic Chechens came to the unit and took away any valuable equipment such as thermal scopes. Those who decided to resist were beaten.