1. 1986 by Sh. V.P. Singh [Input Credit] 2. 1991 by Dr. Manmohan Singh [Liberalisation] 3. 1997 by Sh. P. Chidambaram [Tax Relief] 4. 2000 by Sh. Yashwant Sinha [Enabled IT Boom] 5. Budget, 2021 by Smt. Nirmala Sitharaman [Infra]
Part 2: Sector Deep Dive 🧵
India Inc’s Q4FY25 earnings were steady — but the real story lies in the sectoral trends.
From banks to defence, here’s a snapshot of what’s working, what’s lagging, and where the next tailwind might be. 👇
#StocksToWatch
🩷 & 🔄 this insightful thread!
1/13 🏦 Banking & NBFCs
Secured credit demand held firm—driven by MSMEs.
🔸 Volatility in margins due to repo rate cut
🔸 Personal loans, microfinance saw caution
🔸 Asset quality stable in large banks, volatile in mid-sized names
Top Pick: Kotak Mahindra Bank (KOTMAH) — robust asset quality, strong CASA, healthy capital ratios.
2/13 💻 IT Sector
Growth remains muted in Tier-1s due to macro headwinds.
🔸 TCS/Infosys see weak discretionary spend
🔸 Delay in deal closures across BFSI/Retail
🔸 Midcap IT firms outperform on niche digital offerings
Top Pick: Persistent Systems (PERSYS) — strong revenue visibility, digital-led pipeline, efficient cost control.
#Q4FY25 earnings came in better than feared.
At the Nifty level:
- Adj. PAT growth: +3.2% YoY
- Topline (Sales) growth: +7.3% YoY
- Ex-financials PAT growth: a better +7.2% YoY
1/9 Here’s a breakdown of our Q4FY25 review and market outlook. 👇
2/9 Financials dragged, but other sectors held up.
- Ex-IndusInd, financials posted a modest +2.6% PAT growth
- Manufacturing EBITDA margins held steady at 19.1%, with a slight QoQ dip
- #PSUbanks and OMCs outperformed
3/9 Midcaps led the charge
- Midcap earnings: +15.8% YoY
- SmallCaps: +3.8% YoY, broadly tracking largecaps
- Boosted by a turnaround in select agro-chem and PSU banking names
2(a) | Fiscal Deficit Roadmap: A Positive Surprise!
🔸FY25RE fiscal deficit revised down to 4.8% vs 4.9% est.
🔸FY26 target at 4.4%, better than market expectations (~4.5%)
🔸Gross market borrowing hiked to ₹14.8 lakh cr (from ₹14.0 lakh cr in FY25)
Here is the Market Strategy 2025 by ICICI Direct’s research team! A 🧵.
CY24 was a roller-coaster for domestic equities, with Nifty hitting 26,300 in September before giving up half its gains to close with a 10% return. Mid and small caps outperformed, delivering 25%+ returns.
🔸#Nifty - Fair value pegged at 28,300 (21x PE on FY27E earnings).
🔸#Sensex - Target set at 94,300.
Record primary market activity with ₹3 lakh crore+ raised via IPOs, QIPs, and OFS, reflecting market maturity and depth for foreign investors.
After a modest 7% growth in Nifty earnings for FY25E, we anticipate a return to double-digit growth with a 15% CAGR over FY25-27E, driven by robust GDP growth, declining interest rates, and supportive policies.
(2/n)
🔸Indian households (directly and indirectly) now hold ₹138 lakh crore in equities, marking an impressive increase of ₹80 lakh crore over the past four years, up from ₹58 lakh crore.