🧵The misinformation hellscape is exploding under @elonmusk. It's not just that #myocarditis is trending, it's that all the tweets that come up are crazy conspiracy theory and none debunking it.
For most people, "myocarditis" is a reason to get the vaccine, not to avoid it.
🧵The vaccine causes it in tiny amounts.
The covid causes it in huge amounts.
Everyone will contract the covid at some point.
The vaccine lessons the severity of the disease when you catch it by huge amounts.
QED: if you (most people) don't want the myocarditis, get the vaccine
🧵I don't know about kids and athletes. I suspect this is still true, even though they are dramatically less likely to get a symptomatic infections, and dramatically more likely to experience this side effect from the vaccine.
🧵I'm a centrist so I'm pretty much in agreement that our trusted health authorities haven't been trustworthy on this, exaggerating the benefits and pushing for mandates.
But the other side listens to crazies spewing misinformation.
🧵At this point, it doesn't matter. You've either gotten vaccinated against covid, caught covid, or aren't ever going to get the vaccine. So it's mostly harmless misinformation at this point.
Yet, it's still bad this Twitter hellsite promotes it.
🧵What bothers me is their self-confidence. Before, they knew their ideas were unsupported and fringe. Now they are acting like their ideas are mainstream consensus -- that it's the "media" who are denying what "everyone knows".
No, no, 2 years of data disprove the crazies.
BTW, there's a ton of data showing the effectiveness. I'm doubtful of Pfizer's numbers, but pretty much all the data points to vaccines resulting in less chance of hospitalization/death. mcgill.ca/oss/article/co…
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Biden isn't shipping F-16s to Ukraine. I wonder why. Some reasons might be:
- it'll take a year before pilots are ready
- poorly trained pilots will just get them shot out of the sky
- Russia can reverse engineer tech from crashed planes
- it'll anger Russia
We are fighting a proxy war with a nuclear power at this point. I suspect this is the overriding calculation, to not provoke Russia into using nuclear weapons, with everything else merely excuses to do what we'd do anyway.
But I wonder at the training issue. We spend $millions per pilot to train them to use an F-16, and it'd take at least a year. We don't want poorly trained pilots getting shot down immediately with Russians picking through the wreckage recovering tech to reverse engineer.
1/🧵
A lot of smart people are dunking on this, joking about other ways to say "the French".
But I'm going to mostly defend this tweet. The point they are trying to get across is that almost no news story should have a reason to say "the French".
2/🧵
Consider the following. This will not be improved by replacing "most French people" with "most of the French".
Much of the AP stylebook is just that: style. It's not offensive vs. polite, it's just about weird phrasing.
3/🧵
It's also a bit racist.
In an AP newsroom, a writer might say something like "the French [people] were offended by Putin's statement today". How can the writer speak for all the French? Some were offended, but it's unlikely all were.
This dehumanizes them.
I hate this Politifact check mostly because it doesn't start by mentioning "survivorship bias".
Most people, vaccinated or not, contracted covid, often asymptomatic. Obviously, if you survived this with no ill effects, you made an adequate decision. politifact.com/factchecks/202…
The second reason I hate that is that the real debunk of Scott Adams is that he provides no evidence, zero, zilch, nada, not even a hint.
It's also true the evidence we have points the other way, but this doesn't necessarily disprove claims for which there might be new evidence.
The crazies aren't completely wrong about distrusting the CDC. The CDC is as much a political organization as a scientific one. Their mission isn't to give us truth but to herd us like cattle for our own benefit.
But the crazies fail to come up with evidence of their own.
What bothers me is the way the crazies think some new information has come to light. It hasn't. Sure, the authorities have slightly overstated the benefits, but that was known from the beginning. There's no "sudden deaths" or whatever else the crazies think is happening.
We need to have a rational discussion about how authorities fudge things a little bit "for your own good". But that shouldn't detract from the fact that it roughly has been for your own good.
I work in an industry (cybersecurity) where professionals hold the ethical belief they should lie in order to get people to to comply with what they think are best practices, "for your own good". It's a common thing, but it doesn't mean the policies aren't for your own good.
🧵Stupid @SwiftOnSecurity is giving me PTSD flashbacks.
In my early career I joined a team that demanded special computers with SCSI hard drives (which were significantly faster than IDE). Measurements showed disk drives being the bottleneck for compiles.
The flaw was we were using C++ putting all the code in header files causing them to need more memory than was available on the machine. Disk was the bottleneck because it now had to swap "virtual memory".
I spent a day fixing the worst .h header files, moving things out that could better just be put in .cpp source files.
Compilation was now over 10x faster. Only a couple source files caused swapping.
This is an important lesson in defining the term "conspiracy-theory". Snopes isn't saying it wasn't vaccine related, only that there's no evidence. If there were evidence, you could simply point to it. Moreover, "sudden death" isn't a thing. E.g. her father died to "sudden death"
The author of that tweet is a self-styled "critical-thinking". Well, this isn't "critical-thinking". Critical-thinking would disprove Snope's statement "no evidence" by pointing to the evidence.
Completely baseless means "this can change when new evidence appears".
It's those people claiming her death was caused by vaccines who are making claims before an autopsy. Those saying it's baseless until an autopsy are not the ones making the error.